Tuesday Service Plays 9/23/2008

kozski61

Go Leafs Go
Forum Member
Jan 15, 2006
2,103
5
38
Cleveland
Note: ATS and Sports Reporter have requested their plays and write-ups not be posted on MadJack's forum.



ProCapper Sports
Just thought I would share this. I followed this guy on this site a few years back in basketball and he was unreal. I have stayed in touch with him even after he went tout and sucked it up. He has been doing really well in football and made me quite a bit of money. Tonight he told me he has his biggest play of the year in baseball so I put half my bankroll on it. He advised me not to because that is never a good idea no matter how good the play but I could not refuse. He made me most of the money so even if it loses I figure it was money he made me in the first place.

Brewers/Pirates OVER 9 (20 Units)




Profitsportspicks

B4P BlackCat
MLB, 7:10 PM EST
Florida vs Washington
Pick: Florida -126

MLB, 8:10 PM EST
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota
Pick: OVER 8.5 -105

MLB, 10:15 PM EST
Colorado vs San Francisco
Pick: San Francisco -1.5 +140

Oriental Expert
MLB, 7:05 PM EST
Kansas City vs Detroit
Pick: OVER 9.5 +105

MLB, 8:05 PM EST
Oakland vs Texas
Pick: UNDER 11 -105

SLC Eddie
MLB, 7:10 PM EST
Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets
Pick: OVER 8 +100

MLB, 8:10 PM EST
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota
Pick: Minnesota -132

Good Luck Today Everyone!





Tue, 09/23/08 - 8:10 PMGreg Shaker | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet980 MIN (-130)BetUS vs 979 CWS
Analysis:
Please note that the Pregame software does not list the Padre/Dodger, nor the Cubs/Mets games. So, I am putting all 3 plays here...



MLB: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins - Twins (Vazquez/Baker) -130 | Unit Value: 3 UNIT "Game of the Month"
Game Date: 9/23/2008
Note: The Math is easy for this one. Minnesota is 2.5 games behind and a loss tonight puts their chances of getting into the playoffs almost and impossibility. It is do or die time and they do have a good chance of accomplishing their goal, with the WhiteSox struggling here at the dome, winning just once in six games this season. Chicago is in the position they are in due to a poor September and preasure is getting to this team. Vazquez has beaten Minnesota twice at home this season, moving to 5-0 with a 3.19 ERA in seven starts against the Twins since the beginning of 2007. However, he's only 1-4 with a 5.68 lifetime ERA at the Metrodome. He's also had problems with the Twins' top hitters, especially Justin Morneau, who's 14-of-39 with six homers in their meetings. Baker has had his problems verses the Sox, but he has been very good at home this year and the Twins have also been very good here. It will be a packed house and a playoff atmosphere and the Twins will not hesitate to go to their Pen, which is one of the best in the Bigs. That is especially true when they throw here, maintaining an ERA of Under 2.5 runs all year at the Dome. After their huge roadtrip, the Twins return home to play their biggest game of the year. I do not think they will disapoint us and that is why I will lay the -130, much more than I usually do.



MLB: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers - Dodgers -1.5 (Leblanc/Billingsley) -120 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 9/23/2008
Note: Despite not playing so well lately, the Los Angeles Dodgers open the final week of the season atop the NL West and very much in control of their fate. The Wildcard is not an option and they enter this game just 2 ahead of the DBacks. They will have their best thrower on the hill for this one and although Chad had his worst outing of the season, last time out, he has been very good when they have needed him. He had posted a 1.86 ERA in winning his previous three outings, and he has been very good here at home. In fact he is 5-0 with a 1.67 ERA in his last six starts at Dodger Stadium. The Padre thrower has been in the Majors just 3 weeks but has already faced the Dodgers 2 times. That is to the advantage to the Dodger hitters, having seen him often and recently. He has not been too spiffy and he will be under a lot of preasure tonight throwing on the road and facing a team that has hit southpaws better than rightside throwers. I will lay the 1.5 runs here..

MLB: Chicago Cubs at New York Mets - Mets -1.5 (Marshall/Santana) -115 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 9/23/2008
Note: Looking ahead to the postseason, Chicago?s Sean Marshall takes the mound in place of Rich Harden, who will pitch Thursday after Carlos Zambrano throws Wednesday. "We're starting to get ourselves re-arranged for postseason," Chicago manager Lou Piniella said yesterday. While it is not written in stone, the Cubs will more than likely be resting some key players over the next few days as well. The Mets are being hounded by the Phillies and Brewers for the Wildcard and this game is about as much of a must win as it gets. Santana is proving his worth lately. He allowed one run and eight hits while striking out eight in seven innings of a 7-2 win over Washington on Thursday to improve to 7-0 with a 2.26 ERA in his last 15 starts. The Mets have hit lefties well and they should be able to score enough runs to get this game for themselves and Johan, so I will lay the 1.5 runs.




Tue, 09/23/08 - 8:10 PMTony George | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet980 MIN (-110)BetUS vs 979 CWS
Analysis:


Minnesota -133

Like the Twins at home here. Their starter tonight, Scott Baker is 9-4 on the year, but 3-1 at home, with an ERA just over 3, and has allowed just 50 hits in 61 innings pitched at home. Minnesota took 3 out of 4 games in this series back in July at home, and the Sox are just 35-43 away from home on the season and start Vasquez tonight who is just 5-8 on the road with an ERA approaching 5 for the season. Minny off a 2-2 road split at the D Rays who are one of the leagues best, they will welcome a home game and some time to get out of a 4-6 slump their last 10 games, and the White Sox here as a team are only hitting right handers at .238 the last 10 games.

Play 1.5 Units on Minnesota...thanks and good luck..Check out my Playoff package guys, I OWN the preseason!! Tony George




Tue, 09/23/08 - 8:05 PMStan Sharp | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet977 OAK (+118)BetUS vs 978 TEX
Analysis: Stan has Bet OAKLAND in tonight's Baseball action. Stan expects Oakland starter Josh Outman to have a Big outing on the road tonight. Look for Oakland to win this one. TAKE OAKLAND as STAN'S UNDERDOG UPSET BIG BET OF THE MONTH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.



*** EZ WINNERS MLB ***

5 STAR: (982) SEATTLE (+$128) over LA Angels
(Action)
(Risking $500 to win $640)
9:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (957) PITTSBURGH (+$178) over Milwaukee
(Listing Karstens only)
(Risking $200 to win $356)
6PM Central Time

2 STAR: (973) KANSAS CITY (-$114) over Detroit
(Listing Greinke only)
(Risking $228 to win $200)
6:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (980) MINNESOTA (-$129) over Chicago
(Listing Baker only)
(Risking $258 to win $200)
7:10PM Central Time




Gamebreaker (gbwins)
Mets RL
Mil RL
Angels
Florida
Tampa Game 1 w/Shields




Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We are currently on a 175-83 since joining this web site with all of our GUARANTEED SELECTIONS! Today we are featuring another RED HOT BASEBALL POWER PLAY WINNER! You can take advanatge of our LATE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER for just $25 and you will be a WINNER or there will be no charge! 9/23/2008
LATE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER
Tampa Bay w/Shields -155 5:05 EST




Jim Feist

Monster MLB Tripleheader, featuring Jim's Baseball Game of the year,


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(981) LA Angels
(982) SEA Mariners
Take " (981) LA Angels "
Game of the Year: Angels.
The best team in the AL against the worst team, at a great price. Play the Angels.

(953) FLA Marlins
(954) WAS Nationals
Take " (953) FLA Marlins "
5-Star on the Marlins.
It's a stretch, but Florida still has something to play for in the National League East standings. Play the Marlins.

(955) CHC Cubs
(956) NYM Mets
Take " under "
Inner Circle Game of the month: Cubs/Mets under.
Play the Cubs/Mets under the total.




NSA

20-angels-140
10-kc-115
10-tb-135 game2
10-cle+105
10-ari+100
10-twins-135





Gold Medal Club MLB Selection



#971 Cleveland @ #972 Boston 7:05 pm
Lee vs Wakefield LP

PLAY ON # 971 CLEVELAND/Lee EVEN



Computer Plays

Tampa Bay Rays -170
Philadelphia Phillies -280 * *
New York Mets - 230




sports Kingz

florida -130




Mr A

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles' Jered Weaver (11-10, 4.16 ERA) is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 6-2 with a 4.65 ERA in 10 career starts against the Mariners

Seattle's Ryan Feierabend (1-4, 7.25) is 1-2 with a 8.22 ERA in his last three starts. The lefthander is 0-3 with a 7.98 ERA in three career starts against the Angels.

The tumbling Mariners have lost 12 straight and nine of its last 10 games against Los Angeles whereas the hot Angels have won ten of their last 12 games and its last five on the road.

Take Los Angeles to take their sixth straight victory over the Mariners at Safeco Field. Seattle's Ryan Feierabend is struggling. The left-hander has pitched horribly in his last two starts. He allowed eight runs over 3 1/3 innings in his last start, a 12-0 loss at Kansas City on Thursday. The Angels have been successful versus the Mariners, going 33-12 in the last 45 meetings.

Los Angeles Angels -135




VEGAS EXPERTS

Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros
Tuesday, September 23rd, 8:05 PM ET

Our hearts really go out to the Astros, whose incredible second-half rally came to an end with the onset of Hurricane Ike and the team's subsequent displacement. However, look for them to get a win tonight against an opponent they've dominated all season long. Only reason this line is where it it is because the Reds send Edinson Volquez to the hill, but Cincy has packed it in for the year, and he won't be enough to overcome the Reds 2-10 mark vs. Houston this year. Astros starter Wandy Rodriguez has actually been sharper than Volquez recently, posting a 0.66 ERA in his L3 starts.

Play on: Houston




Tue, 09/23/08 - 8:10 PMMatty O'Shea | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet980 MIN (-135)BetUS vs 979 CWS
Analysis: White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen has used motivational tactics all season in an effort to get the most out of his players. However, I believe he may have made one critical mistake during the final week of the season in calling out starting pitcher Javier Vazquez for not being a big-game pitcher heading into a key three-game series against the Twins. Vazquez will pitch in the series opener on Tuesday and doesn't seem fazed by Guillen's comments. "I'm not looking to have to change minds if people feel that way," Vazquez said. "I won't be paying attention to that. If I do well or if I don't, I'll still go home at the end of my career and be the same person." Guillen has a valid point, but I think his comments will backfire on him in this spot. Vazquez is just 1-4 with a 5.68 ERA during his career at the Metrodome and 5-8 away from home this season with a 4.85 ERA. He got hammered in his last road start at Yankee Stadium on Thursday, surrendering seven runs and six hits in a season-low 3.2 innings on only three days of rest. The Twins are 5-1 vs. Chicago at home this year and will be sending Scott Baker to the mound. Baker is 3-1 in 10 home starts with a 3.28 ERA and got a no-decision in his last start against the White Sox back on July 31, resulting in an eventual 10-6 victory. Minnesota needs to win this game to have a shot at taking over first place with a sweep, so bet the Twins as my Triple Dime AL Game O' the Year.





Tue, 09/23/08 - 8:05 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet978 TEX (-134)Bodog vs 977 OAK
Analysis:
TEXAS ? This is a huge series for the Rangers and A?s. On the surface, it may not seem like it because both Texas and Oakland have been eliminated from playoff contention. However, make no mistake about it, both of these teams are fully focused on finishing in second place in the AL West. Each team wants that spot and they know to make serious inroads toward it they need to take care of business in this series. Though I am typing up this analysis prior to the completion of Monday night?s game, I do know that no matter what happens in that game, the Rangers and Athletics will be separated by no more than a game and a half in the standings heading into Tuesday. Plus, if Oakland wins Monday?s game then they will only be separated by a half game in the standings. Either way, the rest of this series means a lot to each team and, in the case of Tuesday?s game, the Rangers have a big pitching edge. Oakland is handing the ball to Josh Outman for Tuesday night?s game. The left-hander just turned 24 about a week ago and he?s struggled so far at the MLB level. This will be just his fifth game (and third start) and he?s getting hit at a .296 clip so far. Also, he?s walked five and given up ten hits for a total of 15 base runners in 9.3 innings in his two starts since moving into the rotation. To make matters worse he now has the misfortune of facing the Rangers for the second time in less than two weeks. This will be the first time the inexperienced hurler will be giving a team a ?second look? and that is often when the ?wheels come off? for a young hurler. Keep in mind it also doesn?t help that the first time he faced them was in Oakland and now he has to face them in hitter-friendly Texas where the Rangers have the top batting average and top slugging percentage in the majors! While the Rangers lineup pounds the ball tonight, look for them to also get a very strong performance on the mound courtesy of Dustin Nippert! The Rangers right-hander has faced the A?s twice this season and allowed just one earned run on eight hits in nine innings of work while striking out ten! He is coming off of a rough start versus the Tigers in his last outing. However, Nippert had been rock solid in his three prior starts as he had allowed four earned runs on 16 hits in 17.3 innings of work. In Nippert?s last 21.7 innings he?s struck out 24. That is a key number because it shows how good his stuff is and with the A?s offense being one of the worst in baseball, we can rely on the Rangers hurler to shut them down while his teammates pile on the runs against Outman. That?s what makes this such a strong play and the line value is fantastic with a low number posted on this game. The Rangers are the Big Play Tuesday! Best of luck ? Nick ?The BookieKiller? Parsons





JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 23 2008 7:05PM

Prediction: New York Yankees

Reason: The Yankees have won 8 of their last 9 games. New York has won their last 5 divisional games. In their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning home record the Yankees are 7-3. New York has won 9 of Mussina's last 11 starts. In his last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record the Yankees are 13-3. New York is 20-8 in his last 28 starts. The Jays played pretty well down the stretch but over their last few games their lack of offense has cost them. The Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The Jays are 5-16 in Litsch's last 21 starts. The Jays are 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs. the Yankees while NY is 4-1 in Mussina's last 5 starts vs. Toronto. Play on the New York Yankees -.




WILD BILL

G1 Baltimore Orioles +155 (5 units)
Marlins -125 (5 units)
Pirates+170 (5 units)
G2 Baltimore Orioles +120 (5 units)
White Sox +120 (5 units)
San Diego Padres +215 (5 units)
Nationals - Florida Marlins Under 9 (5 units)
Dodgers - Padres Over 7 1/2 (5 units)





THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (95-60) at N.Y. Mets (86-70)
A sensational pitching matchup is on tap at Shea Stadium, as the N.L. Central champion Cubs send Rich Harden to the mound (5-1, 1.66 ERA) opposite Johan Santana (14-7, 2.65), who takes the mound trying to keep the Mets in the playoff hunt.
New York opened a season-ending seven-game homestand at Shea Stadium with Monday?s 9-5 loss to the Cubs. Coupled with the Phillies? 6-2 win over the Braves on Monday, the Mets trail Philadelphia by 2? games in the N.L. East race, but they lead the Brewers by one game in the chase for the wild card. Jerry Manuel?s club has lost three in a row and six of its last nine, but is still on runs of 24-12 at home, 13-7 against right-handed starters, 6-2 on Tuesdays, 4-1 against the N.L. Central and 8-1 behind Santana.
Chicago, which locked up its second straight division title on Saturday, clinched home-field advantage throughout the National League playoffs with last night?s victory. Lou Pineilla?s squad is on streaks of 9-2 overall, 20-7 on the road, 11-4 against the N.L. East and 13-3 versus lefty starters.
The Cubs are now 3-0 against the Mets this season, winning all three games by the combined score of 24-7, but New York is 4-1 in the last fie meetings at Shea Stadium.
Harden has been rock solid since Chicago traded for him in July, allowing one or no earned runs in eight of his 10 starts, and he?s 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in three road outings in a Cubs uniform. On Thursday against Milwaukee at home, Harden yielded a run on one hit and six walks over five innings, failing to get a decision as Chicago rallied for a 7-6 victory, its eighth straight win in games Harden has started.
Santana, who will be trying to record his 13th consecutive quality start tonight, has won six straight decisions going back to June, and he?s posted a 2.07 ERA in 10 starts since the beginning of August. On Thursday, the hard-throwing lefty dominated the Nationals, allowing a single run on eight hits in seven innings, cruising to a 7-2 victory.
Santana is 7-3 with a 2.26 ERA in 15 starts at home, and the Mets are 6-1 in his last seven outings at Shea. Also, he hasn?t faced the Cubs this season, but going back to his days with the Twins, he?s 1-0 versus Chicago with a 1.38 ERA in four appearances (one start) spanning 13 innings.
The over is 11-3-1 in the last 15 head-to-head clashes between the Cubs and Mets, including 7-1 in the last eight at Shea. The over is also 5-1 in the Mets? last six overall and 13-5-1 in their last 19 at home, but Chicago sports under streaks of 8-4-1 overall, 6-1 on the road and 4-1 with Harden on the mound.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE




AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (86-69) at Minnesota Twins (84-72)
The two teams atop the standings in the A.L. Central kick off their most important series of the season at the Metrodome, with the White Sox pitting veteran Javier Vazquez (12-15, 4.32) against Minnesota youngster Scott Baker (9-4, 3.69).
Chicago leads the Central by 2? games and can lock up the division title with a sweep of this three-game series. The White Sox are in the midst of a 10-game road trip that has seen them go 3-4 so far, and they?ve lost nine of their last 14 games on the highway. On the bright side, the Pale Hose are on positive runs of 10-3 after an off day, 5-1 within the division and 10-4 on Tuesdays, but they?ve dropped 20 of their last 27 on artificial turf.
The Twins are limping to the finish line, having lost six of their last eight overall (all on the road) and four straight to A.L. Central rivals. However, they?re 45-20 in their last 65 games in the Metrodome, where they?ll spend the final week of the season, and 15-3 in their last 18 after a day off.
The home team has dominated this rivalry in 2008, winning 12 of the 15 meetings, with the Twins going 5-1 hosting Chicago. Also, the Twins have won four of Baker?s last five starts against the White Sox, but Chicago is 5-0 the last five times Vazquez has opposed Minnesota.
After posting a 1.83 ERA in his first three September starts, Vazquez imploded in his last trip to the mound Thursday at Yankee Stadium, giving up seven runs (six earned) on six hits and four walks over just 3 2/3 innings, losing 9-2. Chicago is just 2-4 in the right-hander?s last six starts. On the road this year, Vazquez is 5-8 with a 4.85 ERA.
Like Vazquez, Baker is coming off a rough outing, as he lasted just 4 2/3 innings at Cleveland on Wednesday, surrendering four runs and six hits and getting a no-decision in his team?s 6-4 loss. Minnesota is just 4-5 in the right-hander?s last nines starts, but seven of those came on the road. At home this season, Baker is 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA in 10 tries, seven of which the Twins have won.
Vazquez is 6-5 with a 4.86 ERA in 15 career starts against the Twins, including 2-0 despite a 5.11 ERA in two outings this year. Meanwhile, Baker has faced Chicago seven times, going 2-2 despite a beefy 7.99 ERA (1-0 with a 5.73 ERA in two outings vs. the Sox in 2008).
The over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these rivals (3-1 in Minnesota), 6-0 in Baker?s last six starts against the White Sox (4-0 at home) and 5-0-1 in Vazquez?s last six outings versus Minnesota (4-1 in the dome). Also, the over for the Twins is on runs of 5-1 overall, 8-0-2 on Tuesdays, 8-1-1 against winning teams, 7-3-1 in divisional battles, 9-3-1 on turf, 4-0 with Baker on the mound overall and 5-1 with Baker starting at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



SCOTT FERRALL

BEST IN BOLD

SANTANA and the METS over the Cubs at Shea (no early line)--Johan will beat Harden because he's been lights out lately for NY

Philly and Hamels -300 over the Braves at Citzens--automatic !

Washington +115 over Florida in DC

Dodgers -240 with Billingsley over the padres at the Revine

Mussina -110 wins his 19th and Yanks take out the Jays at Rogers




MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Chargers (-9) Monday night.

Today it's the Diamondbacks. The deficit is 170 sirignanos.




HONDO

September 23, 2008

The Cubs added to the Metamucils' misery out at the Lame Duck Dump last night, which enabled Hondo to increase his collection of disposable dead presidents to a delightful 700 ditmars.

Tonight, he'll double-dip with Moose and Lee - 10 units apiece on the Yankees and Indians.




Armvin Sports Mlb

9/23/2008 Toronto Blue Jays 103




Dave Cokin

(959) CIN Reds
(960) HOU Astros
Take "(959) CIN Reds"
Edinson Volquez has had a great season and while he hasn't been as dominant since the break as he was in the early portion of the campaign, he's still very tough. Wandy Rodriguez is less than 100% physically and doesn't figure to go more than five or six innings here. The 'Stros are still alive but I see them taking a crucial loss tonight. The Reds are the choice.



Jim Feist

(975) NYY Yankees
(976) TOR Blue Jays
Take "(975) NYY Yankees"
Toronto had a nice late season run, but it's all over, losing 7 of 12 games. The offense has really cooled off. They take on a Yankees team that, with the pressure off, is playing excekkebt baseball. NY just won 8 of 9 games to close out Yankee stadium. The pitching has been very good and now their top pitcher of the season goes, Mike Mussina (18-9) who has a shot at 20 wins. He's had little trouble with the Blue Jays this season (3.09 ERA), and liftime he's 24-12 against them. Toronto starter Jesse Litsch has faced the Bronx Bombers twice this season.....and got bombed, with an 0-2 record and a 7.88 ERA. They've pounded him for 17 hits in 8 innings. In fact, in 21 career innings he's allowed 40 NY base runners! Have to back the hot team with the far motivated starter. Play the Yankees.



JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-0 yest
MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR TUES
San Francisco-160 (Lincecum)
Los Angeles Angels-138 (Weaver)




VEGAS STEAM LINE

Winner for Tuesday: Take CLEVELAND/BOSTON UNDER the total of 9



cappers Access

kc Royals
Chi White Sox





Brandon Lang
TUESDAY 10 Dime Marlins



Insider Sports Report

Arizona/St. Louis (MLB) UNDER 8.5
 
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