A few quick game notes for tonight:
Spurs as a dog after losing on the road are 5-14 SU (-9.6 ppg) in their last 19. Nugs at home vs. unrested opponents with a total greater than 205 are 21-1 SU (+15 ppg) since the 2010 season. If you take the total out and just consider they are a home favorite vs. unrested opponent they are 30-5 SU (+12.2 ppg) last 35. When they Nuggets are seeking revenge, since the 2010 season, for an away loss as a home favorite they are 18-4 SU (+12.3 ppg). Tought back to back for the Spurs who have had a brutal schedule to start the season.
Team on no rest (Minny) that lost in Orlando and lose in Miami lose by an average of 11.9 ppg (since 1995) and are 17-40 ATS. Obviously, this is operating on the idea that Minny will lose. The total has since moved above 200, but it opened at 198 when I looked at the game, and is hovering right around 200. When the Heat play at home with a total equal or less than 200 and they are an 8 or more point favorite, they are 28-4 (+12.7 ppg) this calendar year. Minnesota away with a total less than 200 and a dog of 8 or more are 0-22 SU (-13.6 ppg) since March, 2009.
The Pacers seeking same season revenge for a home loss on the road are 6-2 SU (+2.2 ppg) in their last 8. The Bucks playing at home when they have a revenge game tomorrow (playing Memphis on ESPN) are 2-10 SU (-5.2 ppg) in their last 12. The Pacers have had some great road wins this season, and I just think they are the better more consistent team.
The Jazz have won six of the last seven meetings vs. the Nets, and they have not been a dog in this matchup since 2006! Deron Williams clearly stated that the Jazz offense is much better for him than the Nets, and that he is not as good a player. The Nets have been struggling recently, and they have a revenge game tomorrow vs. the Knicks. Deron Williams should be the player who cares the most about the matchup tonight, but he might not even really want to win, just to prove his own point that the Jazz have a better system! Great timing for those comments!! The Nets at home with a revenge game tomorrow are 4-7 SU (-3.8 ppg).
The Cavs are coming off a one possession loss. As a home favorite in this situation, teams are 16-3 SU (+8.4 ppg) so far this season. I just still am not buying that the Raptors are any good, and think the Cavs have played a lot of close games and may get a good solid win tonight. I realize the Nets would apply for this situation as well, but I think here is enough other factors to go against them tonight.
Good luck...
