Tuesday

[Happy Hippo]

ATS: 111-80-4 (+34.5)
OU: 63-54-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 4-7 (+3.05)


Hornets

The Hornets are the best road dog team in the league this year. This season, they are 15-5-1 ATS as a road dog. Since the 2010 season, they are 52-29-1 as a road dog. They are especially good coming off a road dog win as a road dog. In the last twelve, they are 5-7 SU (-2.1 ppg) and 10-2 ATS.

The Lakers playing as a home favorite when they have a game on the road the next day are 7-3 SU and 3-7 ATS (average line -7.7) in their last ten. When they are a home favorite playing against a team off a road win as a dog, they are 4-9-0 ATS since the 2010 season. Teams playing as a home favorite after two games where they covered the spread by at least five points are 67-42 SU (+3.7 ppg) and 42-65-2 ATS (average line -6.1) since the 2011 season. If their opponent is coming off a road win as a dog in this situation, they are 53-25 SU (+2.9 ppg) and 25-35 ATS.

The Lakers have shot over 50% from the field in their last two games, and still have barely got over the 100 mark in both. After a game in which they scored 105 or more points, the Lakers are 15-25 ATS as a favorite since the 2010 season. They have not shot over 50% in any of the last 5 meetings with the Hornets. The Lakers as a home favorite in a regular season game are 5-6 SU and 0-11 ATS in their last eleven when they score less than 100 points. The Lakers have averaged 97 points against the Hornets in their last ten outings. Monty Williams : ?We don't have enough firepower to go out and try to outscore teams. We have to play a game that is relatively ugly at times.?

The Hornets are 5-11 SU and 11-5 ATS on the road as a dog seeking same season revenge for a home loss since last season. When seeking revenge for a same season loss, they are 28-14 ATS in the last two seasons. Since the 2009 season, the Lakers are 13-27 ATS as a home favorite when they beat a team on the road already this season.

These two teams met in early December in New Orleans. The Lakers were a 4.5 point favorite on the road, and they won and covered in a game where they had no rest coming off a two point loss at Houston. Gasol and Nash did not play in that game, but neither did Eric Gordon, so for the sake of argument, let?s just say injuries were a wash (although really they probably were worse for the Lakers). Now, the Lakers are at home off of two nice wins, including a win over one of the best team in the league right now, and the line opened at 7? Hmmmm.....

The Lakers are 3-10 ATS at home against the Hornets since the 2006 season. After two home games where the Lakers won by 9 or more in both, they are 11-6 SU (+3.6 ppg) and 5-11-1 ATS since the 2009 season when playing as a home favorite. The Lakers are 6-5 SU (+3.1) and 2-9 ATS in their last eleven as a home favorite of 5 or more with a game total of 196 or less.




Blazers

The Blazers are coming off a two game match up against the Clippers. Teams that played the same opponent in back to back games at home, then on the road, are 12-3 SU (+11.1 ppg) and 11-4 ATS in the last 15 when playing at home as a favorite. The Blazers are 8-1 SU (+13.5) and 8-1 ATS when playing at home after a game in which they scored less than 90 points. In conference match ups, the Blazers are 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS in their last twelve when seeking home revenge as a favorite for a same season double digit road loss when their opponent is coming off a home game. The Mavericks shot over 60% from the field in their home win earlier this season over the Blazers, and teams trying to win on the road against the same team when they shot over 60% are 6-17 SU and 9-14 ATS in the rematch since the 1995 season.

Teams playing as a home favorite after a double digit road loss are 33-11 SU (+6.3 ppg) and 26-17-1 ATS since the 2009 season, when their opponent is coming off a double digit home win and both teams are rested. High scoring teams (average between 98 and 102 ppg) playing against lower scoring teams (92 to 98 ppg) are 13-34 SU (-4.5 ppg) and 14-32-1 ATS after playing in three games where the total has gone over 205 points, when the line is between -3 and +3.

I am betting the Blazers, but I try to deliver any really pertinent trends that I find. So buyer beware!!

The Mavericks as a road dog coming off a double digit win are 7-4 SU and 10-1 ATS in their last eleven. The Mavericks as a road dog after beating the same team in the same season are 6-5 SU (+1.3 ppg) and 9-2 ATS in their last eleven.



Blazers -2
Hornets +7.5



Good luck...

 

[DZ]

Hippo, I like the Hornets too (also under), but going to wait until the line moves up a bit more.

BOL tonight :toast:

 

[Mr.]

Glad to see you on NO bol!

 

[BadAngel]

GL Happy H

 

[LuvThemDogs]

Thanks for posting HH!

 

[canuckfan77]

:toast:

 

[FightingBac]

Good Luck tonight

 

[ageecee]

Do Lakers have a letdown after the OKC win?

 

[grindstone]

ATS: 111-80-4 (+34.5)
OU: 63-54-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 4-7 (+3.05)


Hornets

The Hornets are the best road dog team in the league this year. This season, they are 15-5-1 ATS as a road dog. Since the 2010 season, they are 52-29-1 as a road dog. They are especially good coming off a road dog win as a road dog. In the last twelve, they are 5-7 SU (-2.1 ppg) and 10-2 ATS.

The Lakers playing as a home favorite when they have a game on the road the next day are 7-3 SU and 3-7 ATS (average line -7.7) in their last ten. When they are a home favorite playing against a team off a road win as a dog, they are 4-9-0 ATS since the 2010 season. Teams playing as a home favorite after two games where they covered the spread by at least five points are 67-42 SU (+3.7 ppg) and 42-65-2 ATS (average line -6.1) since the 2011 season. If their opponent is coming off a road win as a dog in this situation, they are 53-25 SU (+2.9 ppg) and 25-35 ATS.

The Lakers have shot over 50% from the field in their last two games, and still have barely got over the 100 mark in both. After a game in which they scored 105 or more points, the Lakers are 15-25 ATS as a favorite since the 2010 season. They have not shot over 50% in any of the last 5 meetings with the Hornets. The Lakers as a home favorite in a regular season game are 5-6 SU and 0-11 ATS in their last eleven when they score less than 100 points. The Lakers have averaged 97 points against the Hornets in their last ten outings. Monty Williams : ?We don't have enough firepower to go out and try to outscore teams. We have to play a game that is relatively ugly at times.?

The Hornets are 5-11 SU and 11-5 ATS on the road as a dog seeking same season revenge for a home loss since last season. When seeking revenge for a same season loss, they are 28-14 ATS in the last two seasons. Since the 2009 season, the Lakers are 13-27 ATS as a home favorite when they beat a team on the road already this season.

These two teams met in early December in New Orleans. The Lakers were a 4.5 point favorite on the road, and they won and covered in a game where they had no rest coming off a two point loss at Houston. Gasol and Nash did not play in that game, but neither did Eric Gordon, so for the sake of argument, let?s just say injuries were a wash (although really they probably were worse for the Lakers). Now, the Lakers are at home off of two nice wins, including a win over one of the best team in the league right now, and the line opened at 7? Hmmmm.....

The Lakers are 3-10 ATS at home against the Hornets since the 2006 season. After two home games where the Lakers won by 9 or more in both, they are 11-6 SU (+3.6 ppg) and 5-11-1 ATS since the 2009 season when playing as a home favorite. The Lakers are 6-5 SU (+3.1) and 2-9 ATS in their last eleven as a home favorite of 5 or more with a game total of 196 or less.




Blazers

The Blazers are coming off a two game match up against the Clippers. Teams that played the same opponent in back to back games at home, then on the road, are 12-3 SU (+11.1 ppg) and 11-4 ATS in the last 15 when playing at home as a favorite. The Blazers are 8-1 SU (+13.5) and 8-1 ATS when playing at home after a game in which they scored less than 90 points. In conference match ups, the Blazers are 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS in their last twelve when seeking home revenge as a favorite for a same season double digit road loss when their opponent is coming off a home game. The Mavericks shot over 60% from the field in their home win earlier this season over the Blazers, and teams trying to win on the road against the same team when they shot over 60% are 6-17 SU and 9-14 ATS in the rematch since the 1995 season.

Teams playing as a home favorite after a double digit road loss are 33-11 SU (+6.3 ppg) and 26-17-1 ATS since the 2009 season, when their opponent is coming off a double digit home win and both teams are rested. High scoring teams (average between 98 and 102 ppg) playing against lower scoring teams (92 to 98 ppg) are 13-34 SU (-4.5 ppg) and 14-32-1 ATS after playing in three games where the total has gone over 205 points, when the line is between -3 and +3.

I am betting the Blazers, but I try to deliver any really pertinent trends that I find. So buyer beware!!

The Mavericks as a road dog coming off a double digit win are 7-4 SU and 10-1 ATS in their last eleven. The Mavericks as a road dog after beating the same team in the same season are 6-5 SU (+1.3 ppg) and 9-2 ATS in their last eleven.



Blazers -2
Hornets +7.5



Good luck...

HH Like them both GL

 

[Jaxx]

Love your write-ups HH. Runnin with the Hornets.
GL

 

[Happy Hippo]

Do Lakers have a letdown after the OKC win?

I don't really see it as a letdown. They have no where to go but up, and they all know it. They have to come out and play hard every night to make themselves relevant right now. I am not fading the Lakers. In a post a couple weeks ago, I said that I still treat them as a winning team, as I think opponents will treat them when they play. Teams get up to play the Lakers.

I am betting on the Hornets. Since Eric Gordon returned to the lineup, 7 of their 12 games have been against teams with a winning record. They are 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS in these games. Popovich had a great quote about how it would be really bad for teams to discount the Hornets. They are a really good road team. They could easily get blown out in this spot tonight, but they can also be very irritating defensively and could pull out the upset, or the cover. Based on all the trends I could find, I think this is a good spot for them.

Is it a great fantastic match up and spot? No, that's why I put just one unit on it. I am still unsure of the Laker's consistency. Hopefully the Hornets can make a game of it.

Cheers

 

[Happy Hippo]

Love your write-ups HH. Runnin with the Hornets.
GL

Thank you sir. I do spend a lot of time on it, and appreciate all the positive comments in my threads.

Can't win them all, but I do try my hardest!

:toast:

 

[Jaxx]

Thank you sir. I do spend a lot of time on it, and appreciate all the positive comments in my threads.

Can't win them all, but I do try my hardest!

:toast:

Yea but you won that one an win alot more than you lose! Very Nice!

:toast:

 

[Happy Hippo]

Sorry to anyone who followed that Blazers pick. The day before I got unlucky with the Nuggets, and last night I got lucky with the Blazers to get the push. I know the line had moved by the time I formulated my post. The Mavs was the right side of that game, but don't ever discount the Blazers. They have had more fourth quarter comebacks on me than any other team. A great second half team to bet on in good spots!

Hornets did some work for us though

An interesting note as we move on. The Lakers have not had a 3 game ATS winning streak yet this season. They are now 0-6 ATS when they are on a 2 game ATS win streak. To me, this still speaks to their inconsistency. Should be interesting to see how they do on their upcoming road trip.