Turkish Airlines Open

[Stanley]

Round 1 play (4pts):

Charl Schwartzel to beat Henrik Stenson +100 @ Bet365
There are two reasons to oppose Stenson: (i) he is leading the Race to Dubai which tends to lead to poor play at the end of the season with the greater pressure involved, and that is even moreso this year as Stenson has the chance to win the TransAtlantic double having won the FedEx Cup following his victory in the Tour Championship on the PGA Tour; and (ii) he is the final group alongside Justin Rose and the $3 million appearance money player, Tiger Woods ... that really ramps up the pressure. For his part, Schwartzel is coming off a win and has finished in the top-30 in 11 of his last 12 starts; Stenson has finished outside the top-30 in each of the last two weeks.

[unofficial rd1 system play: Bourdy tb Casey +100]

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Ross Fisher(40/1) e.w.
David Howell(125/1) e.w.

GL

 

[Stanley]

Round 3 play (4pts):

Tiger Woods to beat Henrik Stenson -125 @ 5Dimes
Opposing Stenson who has won from the front after 36 holes, but only when already ahead of the rest of the pack at this stage. He is 0-for-5 when tied for the lead after two rounds. Conversely, Woods is 7-for-11 when one shot off the lead after 36 holes in the last eight years.

[unofficial rd3 system plays: Poulter tb Sterne -150; Harrington tb Grace -115; Harrington tb Wood -116]

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

4th Round

Schwartzel over Weisburger -135
Molinari over Pepperell -130