Tyson/Lewis Take

Junior44

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First of all, I'm not quite sure if this is actually going to be a boxing match or a carnival, but as a boxing fan, I'm hoping it's the former. From a wagering perspective, I think you'd more skilled filling out a keno card then betting on a Tyson fight. Just way, way too much turbulance to make an educated wager. Like it or not, Tyson is still the biggest draw in boxing and with Holyfield's victory over Rahman last weekend, the prospects of Tyson-Holyfield III are probably pretty enticing for the powers that be (Don King). For those that believe that boxing is a just a big conspiracy (for the record, I do not), a Tyson victory is salivating. But, assuming that an actual boxing match develops, here is how I see it. I'm a big Lewis guy. Lewis' major flaw is taking his opponents too lightly and (at times) lack of preparation. He has lost only twice in his career, both by knockout, and both were, in my opinion a result of Lewis getting lazy and not taking the other guy seriously. He was a pretty impressive (meaning worthy opponents) 25-0 when he fought McCall. He came in overconfident and got caught by a blast. After that loss, he then rattled off 14-straight wins (I'm counting his "draw" vs Holyfield as a win) again against some pretty good competition (Mercer, Morrison, Akinwande, Golota, Holyfield, Grant, Tua, among others). And then it happened again, he got caught napping against Rahman. He was unprepared and he paid for it. He showed what he can do when focused and absolutely destroyed Rahman in the 2nd fight. I cannot see any way that Lewis comes into this fight against Tyson anything less than fully focused. I think a young and hungry Tyson easily would take him here if it was 1986. But, take a look at Tyson. Since he got out of the hole, his most impressive win is a toss-up between Botha (who he was losing badly to before he KO'd him) and Frank Bruno. That's a span of 11 years folks. Coincidentally, after this fight he dodged Lewis to fight Holyfield instead. Conspiracy theories aside, I would be seriously surprised to see Lewis lose this fight. I think Lewis has unfairly been branded with glass jaw syndrome and I see a focused Lewis frustrating Tyson and putting him away somewhere in the early to middle rounds. Would a Tyson KO surprise me? No. But, with Tyson, I've grown accustomed to not being surprised by much.

Best Bet: Under 9 Rounds -180
 

TexasBC6

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Well said Junior44 - and for what it's worth, I agree with your take on the fight. When Lewis prepares well and appears to care, he wins. Doubt he will be coming into this one unprepared. GL.
 

gardenweasel

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on the prop front....olympic has lewis minus no points(deducted) at even money.....i really don`t think 6`5" eddie cotton(who has been instructed to keep things seriously under control)lets things get to hairy....i can`t remember the last time lennox has been penalized for a foul....he`d have a tough time hitting mike low.....the only potential problem could be simultaneous fouls if mike gets crazy and things get out of control(i think it`s a pretty good wager)....more on the fight later.
 

gardenweasel

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lewis win vs war emblem win or place(-115....if both come in it`s a push....lewis now -220 at olympic.).....lewis win vs sunday break win,place or show(-115,also a push if both come in).
 

Junior44

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gardenweasel - I think a wager on whether or not Lewis will commit a foul is extremely risky. Granted, Lewis is not a dirty fighter, but if Tyson fouls Lewis, I would not put it past Lennox to foul him back. Boxers almost always find a way to retaliate, sometimes several rounds later..........even if the initial incident isn't actually "ruled" a foul in the ring. It's akin to football, where the guy who retaliates usually gets the 15-yarder. It wouldn't surprise me if say, Tyson were to bite Lewis' nose off, Lennox would go ahead and bite Mike's lip off.
 

Junior44

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Re: Tyson/Lewis Take

Junior44 said:
I think Lewis has unfairly been branded with glass jaw syndrome and I see a focused Lewis frustrating Tyson and putting him away somewhere in the early to middle rounds.

Best Bet: Under 9 Rounds -180

Winna winna chicken dinna!!
 
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