U.S. Senior Open

Stanley

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Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)

Hale Irwin to win 16/1 e.w. @ available generally
Playing in very cold temperatures and 30mph winds in North-East Scotland is far from ideal preparation for the following week's event. Even moreso when that event is in Ohio, it is a major and it involves the over-50s! These three selections share one important criteria: they didn't travel to Scotland last week. With Irwin, there is plenty of evidence of a return to form after losing confidence in his game in March-June. He finished 7th in the Bank of America Championship last month and it took an extremely impressive finish by Peter Jacobsen to deny him the Ford Senior Players Championship, the last Senior major, last month. With a record in this event from nine starts that reads two wins, two runner-ups finishes and a top-5 finish in every year bar two, he looks ideally suited to profit this week.

Jay Haas to win 20/1 e.w. @ SkyBet and Ladbrokes
Maybe I have missed some news item about Haas losing his clubs or something, but I can't see why Haas' odds have more than doubled since the last major three weeks ago. The impressive Senior debuts of Loren Roberts and Greg Norman will have played some effect, but he was not so low down the odds list last time out. And this is a player who, despite only finishing 18th on that occasion, improve his leaderboard position in every round. He is still a player who has finished in the top-3 in three of six Champions Tour starts, including last year's U.S. Senior Open, and finished in the top-20 in five of his last nine U.S. Opens.

D.A. Weibring to win 33/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Weibring has proved to be a frustrating player to back since winning the Bruno's Memorial Classic in May. He finished 2nd in the Allianz Championship, but has then finished 6th, 4th, 6th and 5th resulting in either near-misses or low payout from dead-heats when backed. Not surprisingly, he finished 6th in this event last year. So many near-misses can become irksome, but 33/1 is ample compensation for a player who contends so regularly that he ranks 1st in Top-10 Finishes and in the top-5 for Scoring Average on the Champions Tour.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (2pts unless stated)

D.A. Weibring to beat Dana Quigley -111 @ Centrebet
Backing Weibring to have a very good week with two more plays. Quigley looks as though he should be fit enough to play this week after having had acupuncture, shiatsu massage and three hours of therapy on his hip every day last week, but even if he were fully fit, he should struggle to beat Weibring. In eight previous attempts in this event he has never finished in the top-10, whereas Weibring finished 6th on his debut last year. And after Quigley finished 1st and 2nd in the first two events of 2005, his head-to-head record against Weibring is poor: in 13 common events, Weibring has prevailed nine times, Quigley three times and they have tied once. This should be another Weibring top-10 and a higher finish than Quigley.

D.A. Weibring to beat Des Smyth -111 @ Paddy Power [4pts]
Five Dimes make Weibring -130 and that is still is huge understatement, in my opinion. The most consistent player on Tour against someone who lost a playoff for the Senior British Open last week. Not only is the travelling a factor, but so is the mental letdown from spurning such great chances for victory and the complete reversal in climactic conditions: from the cold and 30mph winds of Aberdeen, the players were greeted with stifling 100 degree heat on Monday. Weibring finished nine shots ahead of Smyth last year and has finished ahead of him in four of their last five common events, so there is clearly a strong home bias in Paddy Power's pricing of this match.
(also available at Five Dimes)
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Jul 13, 1999
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didn't do to well despite Morris having 9-2 adv on Floyd last 11 outings--will try a few more extremes today and find out how bad ole Murph is. Uncharateristic Open setting with minimal rough and soft greens and no wind makes this strage venue for open.

3rd rd all picks - 1/2 stroke
Smyth -110 over Floyd
Weibring -120 over Eaks
Weibring +100 over Summerhays

These selections collectively have a 31-2 adv over their opponents in 2005 events--but appears to be murphys week so far so caution advised.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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4th rd
Smyth -105 over Floyd (-1/2) at WW HW

gonna try this one more time--Floyd 0-11 vs Smyth before this week and hadn't beat him in 3rd or 4th rd--till yesterday
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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I'm pulling with you Weibring backers--got a little place double in play--could be rough day for cbet.

STATUS Description Price Wager USD Payout Results
Accepted Women's British Open - Tournament - Top 5 - JANG, Jeong Win 11.00 10.00 797.50
U.S. Senior Open - Tournament - Top 5 - WEIBRING, D.A. Win 7.25
79.75 Effective Price

Single Bets
STATUS Description Price Wager USD Payout Results
Accepted U.S. Senior Open - Tournament - Top 5 - WEIBRING, D.A. Win 10.00 10.00 100.00

Single Bets
STATUS Description Price Wager USD Payout Results
Accepted Women's British Open - Tournament - Top 5 - JANG, Jeong Win 11.00 19.99 219.89
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 1-2; +3.25pts

Irwin 25th
Haas 22nd
Weibring 2nd

Tough loss in this event. Doyle had set the mark at 10-under-par in the clubhouse and Weibring only had to par the last two holes to lift the title, but he found neither fairway and neither green in regulation and finally missed from 10-feet to force a playoff.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 2-0; +6.00pts

Weibring/Quigley WON by 4
Weibring/Smyth WON by 4

At least Weibring's wobble didn't jeopardise these plays as well.

Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 17-32; +30.12pts
Matchups: 26-10; +35.77pts
 
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