some props up at 5 dimes....might as well get the ball rolling...
-being that i have dos santos as kicker in a few pars,i`m gonna hedge with small "carwin wins in rd 1 at +355" and "carwin itd at +175"....just in case carwin drops the straight right hand while dos santos is throwing that uppercut from way outside...carwin takes dos santos down and humps his way to a decision and it turns into a clusterfuck for me...
-also liked florian itd at +174.....he may be emaciated at 145...who knows?.....nunes is like a poor man`s aldo with all the crazy kicks and attacks so i`m thinking that florian may try and get this to the ground and finish with g&p or a sub...he`s finished 13 out of 14 so far....one thing i noticed was that nunes has 11 stoppages in 16 wins...but none came since he started fighting in the wec/ufc(5 straight decisions)...if florian makes the cut successfully,he`ll have a 4 inch height advantage and a very large reach advantage....and i doubt he wants to try and grind out a tough decision vs a whirling dervish like nunes who brings it for 3 rounds....
but,if florian comes in looking like james irvin at middleweight?......rollin` the dice(thankfully) at + odds..
-maybe a 3-way par with carwin-dos santos won`t go 3/herman-einemo won`t go 3/cerrone straight at .75 to win 1...herman finishes...sets a tough pace...and gassed in his only legit loss...einemo used to be an elite grappler(has a win over roger gracie,which is a big deal)...coming off a long layoff but finished in all 6 wins....herman`s finished 19 out of 20 opponents...
-grabbed some maia at even money...in what appears to be a true toss-up...
-grabbed a small weidman-220/poirer-325 par at roughly even money early on...weidman`s gone throught the roof...don`t like that....
-the more i look at this,the more i want to take a whack at darren elkins at +200...his losses are to oliveira(who looked like a decent fighter) and a 170 pounder ..... his win over pat curran is impressive to me...
i`m aware of omigawa`s recent success in japan(some split decisions vs tough opponents)..he`s a tough guy...but sometimes japanese fighters that look great in japan just don`t do well here...culture shock?...who knows...
-elkins+200.....very small..wee may be right and omigawa may very well be just too experienced...
*small props for fun......
- stout/edwards fotn at a pathetic +350......not exactly a generous line,but it looks like it could be a 3 round stand-up battle that should be extremely fan friendly....
-herman ko of the night at +850(i doubt that herman wants to see the canvas vs einemo...very dangerous knees and kicks)...
-munoz k.o. of he night at +1100(much higher than i anticipated...just throwing it in for the value due to munoz` penchant for pulling his ass out of bad situations with a big shot)
-dos santos k.o. of the night at +350(figuring that if carwin stops dos santos,he`ll hurt him and then pound him out....but i wouldn`t blame anyone for taking carwin at +650...that uppercut that cigano throws from way outside is gonna get countered at some point...and carwin`s straight right hand fits the bill)......
considering edwards via decision at +325(another shaded line..they`re smart)...
flailing around here,but these are fun without footing too large a stake....
g.l....
