UFC 177, August 30th, Sacramento, California

kickserv

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Fight Card
------------------------------------------------------------------------

T.J. Dillashaw vs. Renan Barao
Danny Castillo vs. Tony Ferguson
Shayna Baszler vs. Bethe Correia
Carlos Diego Ferreira vs. Ramsey Nijem
Damon Jackson vs. Yancy Medeiros
Derek Brunson vs. Lorenz Larkin
Henry Cejudo vs. Scott Jorgensen
Anthony Hamilton vs. Ruan Potts
Anthony Birchak vs. Joe Soto
Cain Carrizosa vs. Chris Wade



Be very interesting to see how T.J. Dillashaw does after pulling off one of the biggest upsets in MMA history.
 

kickserv

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2014 MMA Record
---------------------------------------------
Prop Bet 5-5
Fighter vs. Fighter 13-21
Over/Under 1-5
Parlays 5-25

-4.35 Joe Rogans



Bethe Correia beat Shayna Baszler $1.75 (-133) *3 Joe Rogans:scared




SHAYNA "THE QUEEN OF SPADES" BASZLER is not good...end of analysis.
 

akatdrake

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With you on Correia, Kick for three units as well. I'll be rewatching her fights and likely putting more on it. You're right Baszler may have been good - but she seems to be that older school of women's MMA that is just plain outclassed nowadays.
 

gardenweasel

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With you on Correia, Kick for three units as well. I'll be rewatching her fights and likely putting more on it. You're right Baszler may have been good - but she seems to be that older school of women's MMA that is just plain outclassed nowadays.

exactly....she subs correia or nothing.....
 

akatdrake

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Cain Carrizosa is a lanky undefeated BJJ artist standing at 6'0" who's fought at Bellator and most-recently with Tachi Palace Fights. He is pretty active from his back, always grip fighting and isolating a limb, throwing elbows, etc. He really loves to use the overhook while on the bottom to isolate the arm for the triangle/armbar. I think this fits right into Wade's style. He likes to strike at angles like Dillashaw, Cruz, etc, but doesn't have the lateral movement those guys do - obviously. He likes to set his strikes up to clinch and get the fight to the ground. When he has to strike, he sometimes throws wild and drops his hands.

Chris Wade is kickboxer with a wrestling background who has made an appearance in WSOF (his only career loss). He leads his combos a lot with kicks, but doesn't throw them with speed and intention. This leads to a lot of counter punches and has him susceptible to the takedown. It also looks like he's got good takedown defense when he doesn't respect his opponents standup (vs Vinicius Agudo ROC 38). Though it looks like he's got a pretty good chin. He's been involved in many decisions (only two submission wins, no KO wins). He's built like a brick sh1thouse and his cardio looks fine. Like a wrestler and kickboxer, he's not all that great on his back - doesn't have a closed guard and his transitions/defense while in guard consist of eating punches and holding onto his opponent so the ref will stand them up. When in his opponent's guard, he doesn't go for submissions, but more of a wrestlefu3cker with a sprinkling of ground and pound.

Traditionally when this fight hits the mat, the position-improving wrestler will get outpointed by the more active BJJ fighter, even if on the ground. I think this is probably a wash on the feet and likely will have Cain bring it to the ground via takedown or pulling guard. Both of these fighters have some glaring weaknesses but look like they have some parts of their game that will give others trouble. I'd see ground and pound vs BJJ and with two green fighters in the UFC, the line is probably closer to even instead of Wade -130/Cain +100. If Wade gets more action and Cain's line gets better, I'll probably bite for a half-unit. Or if I can find a prop on Cain by submission..
 

gardenweasel

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ruan potts is terrible

but I have to watch some more footage of hamilton

seen a little, he doesn't look too hot either

I`m thinking what you`re thinking......if I could be sure that Hamilton wasn`t a stiff,i`d be on him(haven`t been able to square that yet in my mind...but he might be good enough to put in a small throwaway par with correai)...

next week`s card is very interesting.....also looking down the road at roy nelson vs (already took big county at +140) hunt........
 

THE_THONG

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gotta pick brunson over larkin

larkin losing too many marbles, fight iq sliding down fast, beat up like a jenna jameson's vag on comeback
 

akatdrake

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gotta pick brunson over larkin

larkin losing too many marbles, fight iq sliding down fast, beat up like a jenna jameson's vag on comeback

I hope you're right on this analogy because I hope you can use it for other fight(er)s.
 

kickserv

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akatdrake

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Bethe Correia -145 over Shayna Baszler for 3 units
Cain Carrizosa +100 over Chris Wade for 0.5 units
Carlos Diego Ferreira over Ramsey Nijem
Bethe Correia over Shayna Baszler
TJ Dillashaw over Joe Soto +170 for 0.5 units

Adding:
Bethe Borreia wins by decision +110 for 2 units
Shayna Baszler wins by submission +350 for 0.5 units

Good luck guys!
 
Last edited:

kickserv

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adding so it looks like this now..........


Bethe Correia beat Shayna Baszler $1.75 (-133) *3 Joe Rogans:scared


Parlay #1
----------------------------------------------------
Anthony Hamilton
Damon Jackson
Bethe Correia

odds = $4.69 (+369) *1 Joe Rogan


Parlay #2
------------------------------------------------
Anthony Hamilton
Damon Jackson
Bethe Correia
Chris Wade
Ramsey Nijem

odds = $21.99 (+2099) *half Joe Rogan
 

akatdrake

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Apr 26, 2014
396
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Cain Carrizosa is a lanky undefeated BJJ artist standing at 6'0" who's fought at Bellator and most-recently with Tachi Palace Fights. He is pretty active from his back, always grip fighting and isolating a limb, throwing elbows, etc. He really loves to use the overhook while on the bottom to isolate the arm for the triangle/armbar. I think this fits right into Wade's style. He likes to strike at angles like Dillashaw, Cruz, etc, but doesn't have the lateral movement those guys do - obviously. He likes to set his strikes up to clinch and get the fight to the ground. When he has to strike, he sometimes throws wild and drops his hands.

Chris Wade is kickboxer with a wrestling background who has made an appearance in WSOF (his only career loss). He leads his combos a lot with kicks, but doesn't throw them with speed and intention. This leads to a lot of counter punches and has him susceptible to the takedown. It also looks like he's got good takedown defense when he doesn't respect his opponents standup (vs Vinicius Agudo ROC 38). Though it looks like he's got a pretty good chin. He's been involved in many decisions (only two submission wins, no KO wins). He's built like a brick sh1thouse and his cardio looks fine. Like a wrestler and kickboxer, he's not all that great on his back - doesn't have a closed guard and his transitions/defense while in guard consist of eating punches and holding onto his opponent so the ref will stand them up. When in his opponent's guard, he doesn't go for submissions, but more of a wrestlefu3cker with a sprinkling of ground and pound.

Traditionally when this fight hits the mat, the position-improving wrestler will get outpointed by the more active BJJ fighter, even if on the ground. I think this is probably a wash on the feet and likely will have Cain bring it to the ground via takedown or pulling guard. Both of these fighters have some glaring weaknesses but look like they have some parts of their game that will give others trouble. I'd see ground and pound vs BJJ and with two green fighters in the UFC, the line is probably closer to even instead of Wade -130/Cain +100. If Wade gets more action and Cain's line gets better, I'll probably bite for a half-unit. Or if I can find a prop on Cain by submission..

Ooops. :) Pretty sweet finish by Chris Wade. Write-up and research for naught. Boo! C'mon Kick, one leg down!
 
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