UFC Fight Night 61, February 22nd, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil

[kickserv]

Fight Card
----------------------------------------------------------
Frank Mir vs. Antonio Silva
Edson Barboza vs. Michael Johnson
Sam Alvey vs. Cezar Ferreira
Rustam Khabilov vs. Adriano Martins
Iuri Alcantara vs. Frankie Saenz
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sean Strickland
Jessica Andrade vs. Marion Reneau
Matt Dwyer:canada1 vs. William Macario
Mike De La Torre vs. Tiago Trator
Wendell Oliveira vs. T.J. Waldburger
Cody Gibson vs. Douglas Silva
Ivan Jorge vs. Josh Shockley



If Mir loses badly I could see him retiring.

 

[THE_THONG]

brazilian parlay?

 

[akatdrake]

Frank Mir vs. Antonio Silva
Edson Barboza vs. Michael Johnson
Sam Alvey vs. Cezar Ferreira
Rustam Khabilov vs. Adriano Martins
Iuri Alcantara vs. Frankie Saenz
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sean Strickland
Jessica Andrade vs. Marion Reneau
Matt Dwyer vs. William Macario
Mike De La Torre vs. Tiago Trator
Wendell Oliveira vs. T.J. Waldburger
Cody Gibson vs. Douglas Silva
Ivan Jorge vs. Josh Shockley

Gosh, I don't see anything I really want to bet on this card at all. Mir/Silva post TRT are slivers of themselves. Johnson coming off injury. Ferreira's chin could go at anytime, Alvey not spectacular but solid. Khabilov is nice, but -500, Martins can hold his own on the ground and could be active. Alcantara would be solid paired with Khabilov, but parlay is -270 eek. Andrade off injury and Reneau just fought. Ick.

 

[ukgaz]

Yeah looks a tough card to bet. Mir is on 4 fight loss streak through he went the distance with two power hitters in Cormier and Overeem even though his chin is shot. Silva's chin is shot as well though he went 5 with power hitter Hunt. Mir really needs the same game plan that he did against Nelson but that was 4 years ago and that Mir is long gone. U1.5 rounds at +105 looks good to me. If that does not hit then this fight will be fought in the clinch and against the cage.

I do like Johnson but coming off a layoff. The game-plan is simple on paper. Keep this in boxing range not kicking range and pressure.

Really like the Martins/Khabilov fight. Both guys lost their biggest fights and are really good but different grapplers. Martins should tire in the later rounds.

So plays are
U1.5 Rounds Mir vs Silva +105
Johnson +150
O2.5 Rounds Martins vs Khabilov -155

 

[kickserv]

T.J. Waldburger out of Sunday's UFC Fight Night 61 bout with Wendell Oliveira

http://mmajunkie.com/2015/02/t-j-wa...ufc-fight-night-61-bout-with-wendell-oliveira

 

[akatdrake]

I am not sure about the Mir/Silva unders. At first it looks pretty good, but I think about Mir's chin... he's struggled with fighters who have pushed him up against the cage and tried to control him. That's not really much of Silva's game, is it? I feel like Mir can move a little better, and if it goes to the ground, I feel like both would welcome it (especially if Silva's chin is gone or gets rocked early). Silva might end up GnPd Mir ala Brock UFC 100 if Mir becomes overzealous on the ground, but we'll see

 

[kickserv]

2015 MMA Record
---------------------------------------------
Prop Bet 1-3
Fighter vs. Fighter 1-8
Over/Under 0-2
Parlays 0-3

-11.25 Joe Rogans


Frankie Saenz beat Iuri Alcantara $8.00 (+700) *half Joe Rogan

Josh Shockley beat Ivan Jorge $3.10 (+210) *0.75 Joe Rogan

Santiago Ponzinibbio beat Sean Strickland $2.85 (+185) *0.75 Joe Rogan

Mike De La Torre beat Tiago Trator $2.90 (+190) *0.75 Joe Rogan

Matt Dwyer:canada1 beat William Macario $4.40 (+340) *0.75 Joe Rogan

 

[gardenweasel]

[kick...do you know the scheduling breakdown of this card?.....with the waldburger fight off,i thought I heard Karen whatshername on the ufc show say that all the fights would be on fox sports 1......

or are thry still doing one fight on fight pass?(I hate when these fights are cancelled...it`s hard to get a bead on the scheduling changes).....

if you aren`t sure,that`s fine...

thanks...

 

[gardenweasel]

btw...the female fight should be a barnburner...this reneau girl comes to fight and andade is always uber-aggressive...

 

[kickserv]

[kick...do you know the scheduling breakdown of this card?.....with the waldburger fight off,i thought I heard Karen whatshername on the ufc show say that all the fights would be on fox sports 1......

Josh Shockley fight on Fight Pass

 

[akatdrake]

Sam Alvey to win via decision over Mutante +700 for 0.5 units

 

[kickserv]

Ivan Jorge def. Josh Shockley by Unanimous Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28


Close fight but obviously a close decision will go to the man from Brazil. Neither guy did anything in third round but I guess Jorge did more.

Ivan Jorge stand up sucked.

The underdog Josh Shockley should have won that fight but he was too exhausted to get it done.

 

[kickserv]

Douglas Silva def. Cody Gibson via unanimous decision 29-28, 30-27, 29-28

The +225 underdog pulls off the upset.

Brazil 2-0 on the night so far.

Some hometown judging already, gee what a shocker:mj07:

 

[kickserv]

Mike de la Torre def. Tiago ?Trator? dos Santos e Silva via KO (Punches) R1 2:59


The +190 underdog smokes the Brazilian, now that is how you eliminate the hometown judges. Just smoke em and be done with it. Man Torre looked good:scared

 

[gardenweasel]

just finished playing several pars with "mir/beefooo doesn`t go the distance" as the kicker...and the line just moved from -450 to -485...

anybody think theres any way this 5 round fight goes to the cards?....

 

[gardenweasel]

damn !...matt dwyer from british Columbia(hell,I didn`t even know the brits still controlled territory in south America)......





























/////////////

 

[kickserv]

Matt Dwyer def. William Macario by KO (punch) at 3:14, R1


OH CANADA


The Canuck at +365 odds with a huge win.:00hour:00hour:00hour

Superman punch on the Brazilian...and he was out:00hour:00hour:00hour

BOOM

:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1

What a win:00hour

 

[THE_THONG]

Matt Dwyer def. William Macario by KO (punch) at 3:14, R1


OH CANADA


The Canuck at +365 odds with a huge win.:00hour:00hour:00hour

Superman punch on the Brazilian...and he was out:00hour:00hour:00hour

BOOM

:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1:canada1

What a win:00hour

he can afford to go to tim hortons with that 50k

 

[kickserv]

he can afford to go to tim hortons with that 50k

Still lots of fights left but he is looking good for a bunch of Timbits.

 

[kickserv]

adding........


Marion Reneau def. Jessica Andrade $3.45 (+245) *0.75 Joe Rogans