Unc / Uconn ML parlay

[Real_Vision]

This comes out to -126 for me. UNC is a disaster, the bubble everyone is obsessed with popped 10 days ago, and isn’t that crazy if you consider how last season ended.

BUT the number is begging for ND money, speaking of teams that are awful ATS, ND has to be right up there with unc, particularly at home.

i like the spot with ND staying close at UVA and Duke last week, and not one UNC optimist to be found.

uconn and providence actually match up well, but again it’s the spot that I like. And a revenge game, I think prov handed Uconn their first loss of the year, and has looked great at home, but remember these guys just lost on the road to the Johnnies 10 days ago and it wasn’t really as close as the score indicates. It’s like a mirror image of the first matchup, Uconn feels underrated here, and a third class story in the Big East.

i think they’ll both (UNC + UCONN) get the SU wins tonight, will not lay the points on either, but it’s actually the size of each line that makes me want to avoid ND and Prov.

4x -126.

The UNC # could move against me, this is a tricky one but how shocking is it really for ND to lose another ACC game at home and Providence to split the season series w/Uconn?

GL all

 

[Four Corners]

For the Heels to be favored by anyone on the road is an invitation for home team money. lol only road wins are Louisville + Syracuse. Nance has been a huge disappointment and we miss Brady Manek s energy and 3 pt shooting from last year. No optimist here so you can check that box. Besides RJ Davis and Bacot I just don't see a lot of fight from the rest. ND has played better of late. I took Heels (ML) on 2 teamer w Prov +7'.....GL on your 2 teamer RV

 

[Real_Vision]

For the Heels to be favored by anyone on the road is an invitation for home team money. lol only road wins are Louisville + Syracuse. Nance has been a huge disappointment and we miss Brady Manek s energy and 3 pt shooting from last year. No optimist here so you can check that box. Besides RJ Davis and Bacot I just don't see a lot of fight from the rest. ND has played better of late. I took Heels (ML) on 2 teamer w Prov +7'.....GL on your 2 teamer RV

Thanks 4C, it is not a fun position ‘long’ UNC, Irish have been so bad ATS this yr, and besides L’ville probably the toughest watch. Those thrillers vs Gtech my Gosh.

what scares me is the 3-pt shooting, and vs a lethargic tarheel team they’re not coming back if they get punched in the mouth.

it’s the narrative that’s intriguing. I watched a good deal of UNC / ncst i think it was sunday, and they went so far out of their way to lay it on us about UNC. Like they’re not a bubble team, I don’t understand why that’s a debate, and when i get pumped full of this team sucks then see a cozy line 2 days later, it feels like a trap , the ND side. Probably NOT worth getting involved, avoiding a trap is just as easy when you sit it out, but i’m insane and live in a world where all the ragging on unc is a heist lol.

their best ATS spread (due to 3 games sample size) is 1-2 as a road fav. And that 1 might’ve been at the Citadel.

is it the right level of uncomfortable or just a bad idea?

gl man

 

[Real_Vision]

That was not worth -128. The ML parlay was the safe play, didn’t trust unc to lay the points, and that was my lifeline.

i don’t think i’ve played unc this year before tonight, i knew it’d be tricky but what a waste of life sweating that terrible game out.

but it felt really uncomfortable to take unc in the hole on a ML as favs, but uncomfortable is usually the right side. Ugh