Utah vs Oregon line movement & consensus

[~Buckshot~]

Greetings all,

Will someone please post casino numbers for number of plays and where the money is for Utah vs Oregon?

I find the line movement interesting, open 5ish and rocket to 6.5, stayed there all week and now moves to 7 but the site I use shows 55% on Oregon. Moving off the 6.5 to 7 is a key number as everyone here knows and would be justified if the books were slammed with Utah money but I just don't see it nor do I think that's where the real money is. Few have seen Utah play whereas Oregon has had more national games and I feel nationally Utah is still looked at as the old MWC team that moved up to the Pac 12 versus the consistent P5 winner they are.

Long time Utah supporter, season ticket holder 15 years and I've seen every snap this year. Both wife and son are currently getting graduate degrees from the U. I made a max for me moneyline play when the line came out, heart play not head play as I rarely if ever lay -240 but figure if I lose I'll just add it to the cost of tuition but want to root for a win and not worry about the cover.

Truly believe this is a special team, ala 2004 and 2008, seniors came back for this game after the Washington debacle last year and really feel Utah has what it takes to win this game.

Cheers to all, enjoy the game tonight and GO UTES!

 

[Old School]

given the rain and 22 MPH winds what would you say the score will be..

 

[Delmarhustler]

Fellow Ute alum here, this is a special team we got this year. I Can?t wait for this game! BOL with your play tonight buckshot :0074

 

[~Buckshot~]

given the rain and 22 MPH winds what would you say the score will be..

I think the weather doesn't affect Utah offense much at all. Although the wind may be a bit more than we're used to, game conditions in SLC are routinely like this so it's nothing new to us. We can run the ball, have all year on everybody so the biggest impact could be the passing game however Huntley's accuracy with the short to intermediate passes has improved significantly this year and the weather will have less effect on those routes. The deep ball is a different story however Utah doesn't have to complete those throws, we only have to attempt them. That keeps the defense honest and allows both the run game and the short passing game to thrive. In addition, the emergence of Kuithe helps loads, send Simpkins, Dixon and Thompson deep, hit Kuithe underneath all set up by the occasional deep ball, complete or not.

On defense, since the USC game you can see what we've done and it's not a fluke, doing it game in and game out, holding teams below or well below their averages. Full disclosure, don't follow Oregon football, merely track them by common opponent and box scores but have to think the weather effects them more. They will not be able to run on us, no one has so far, which makes them more dependent on the passing game but without a run game combined with the weather making throws difficult, I fail to see how they are going to move the ball on a consistent basis.

In addition, Utah is among the national leaders in time of possession and fewest plays on defense because we're so effective at ball control on offense and defensively stopping teams on third down, fail to see enough possessions by Oregon to put up decent numbers.

All that being said, I guess I would lean under. If Oregon wins it will be because Utah didn't get theirs but they're not gonna put up 30+. If Utah wins Kyle won't put the hammer down, he never does, and will grind out clock in second half.

One more thought, and I'd love to hear from Oregon fan here, but if Utah gets up at half or early third I can see Oregon quitting. There has to be a bit of disappointment in that locker room after the ASU loss. Combine that with being smacked in the mouth by a physical team like Utah and then if they get behind, may just pack it in. Could be a second half, second half under or live play.

 

[Old School]

Buckshot....GOOD STUFF.................:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour:00hour

 

[BuddyWright]

The wind is the biggest problem tonight much more than the rain factor.Oregon averages over 30 passes a game and Utah averages 17 so obviously Oregon should be more effected by the wind than Utah...if the wind wasn't blowing tonight I'd be all on Oregon but with 22 plus knts of wind I see a Utes win.... GL on your games