taoist said:
Tony, you are correct about all 3 of those teams; however, I have another question for you.... When is the last time that any team has gone perfect ATS by either covering or not covering for the entire season???
what about totals wise? Texas is 6-0 ATS AND 6-0 OVER this year.
i guess the law of averages say that rice should cover eventually as the spread will catch up to them. but i still wonder if LVSC is overrating rice. this team appears to be as bad as Temple but the lines still dont seem to reflect it.
you just have to cap it like any other game.
1) will utep win? almost undoubtedly.
2) is utep looking ahead? probably. they play Tulsa who leads their division.
3) Can Rice lose by 20 or more at home? Sure, it happened with Tulsa and Navy already.
4) can utep win by 20 or more on the road? they didnt with nmsu but utep gave up the backdoor after being up 31-0 in the first half. they rolled tulane by 24 away from home.
essentially you are looking at a top 25 team vs one of the worst 5 teams in the country. utep can beat them by 3 td's if they wanted.
maybe utep 1h line would be a safer bet to avoid any backdoor covers with the scrubs in. i think utep will want to remain healthy and get ready for tulsa.