UTEP TOL Total Play

[socrstud]

THIS IS WHAT I TOOK:

small play on over 60, $60 to win 52

I got it in early b/c I think the line is going to move a little north...

GLA

 

[DerekNJND]

small play on over 60
I got it in early b/c I think the line is going to move a little north...

GLA

To the contrary, the line opened at 62, and has gone DOWN to 60. Odd too because 80% of the action is on the OVER. I try not to "overanalyze" line moves, but I do pay extra attention during bowl season, just b/c information is at a premium, ESPECIALLY with these teams from lesser known conferences and schools.

Also, I'm very wary of betting the OVER with a good running team in the game. The only way this gets over is if UTEP jumps out to the early lead and Toledo has to pass the whole game to play catchup.

FWIW, I simulated the game on NCAA 2006 on my PS2. Toledo won 38-28. Doesnt mean jack right? Well I simulated the SMU/ASU game last night and SMU won by 12. :scared :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

 

[DerekNJND]

FWIW, I simulated the game on NCAA 2006 on my PS2. Toledo won 38-28. Doesnt mean jack right? Well I simulated the SMU/ASU game last night and SMU won by 12. :scared :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

Gonna fire up the PS2 for another simulation today. See if theres any consistency or Toledo's 10 point win was a fluke. :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

 

[Rcxslam]

To the contrary, the line opened at 62, and has gone DOWN to 60. Odd too because 80% of the action is on the OVER. I try not to "overanalyze" line moves, but I do pay extra attention during bowl season, just b/c information is at a premium, ESPECIALLY with these teams from lesser known conferences and schools.

Also, I'm very wary of betting the OVER with a good running team in the game. The only way this gets over is if UTEP jumps out to the early lead and Toledo has to pass the whole game to play catchup.

FWIW, I simulated the game on NCAA 2006 on my PS2. Toledo won 38-28. Doesnt mean jack right? Well I simulated the SMU/ASU game last night and SMU won by 12. :scared :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:

dude, that is not as funny as you might think...I don't think it was you, but someone also did simulations for these games last year on their ps2 and was hitting at a very high percentage....l :mj07:

 

[socrstud]

That's scary....I think Toledo wins this one, but they play horrible in bowls for whatever reason....The O/U has jumped back up to 62....I'm going to wait until HT to bet on a side if the O looks good....Let me know how the simulation goes

 

[DerekNJND]

That's scary....I think Toledo wins this one, but they play horrible in bowls for whatever reason....The O/U has jumped back up to 62....I'm going to wait until HT to bet on a side if the O looks good....Let me know how the simulation goes

haha will do. Theres weird action on the total, down a few points, now back up. I have to think the smart money came in first on the under and now public is on the OVER. I dont claim to be a lines expert, but last night it was at 60 with 80% backing it, today that number is 90% and it has risen to 62. Must be public money.

 

[DerekNJND]

dude, that is not as funny as you might think...I don't think it was you, but someone also did simulations for these games last year on their ps2 and was hitting at a very high percentage....l :mj07:

Def wasnt me, but I am a very supersticious person. At least you know you're getting an objective opinion

 

[DerekNJND]

OK, this is just getting FREAKY now. If you've seen the prop Team Totals for each team tonight, you will know why. Toledo won the second simulation as well, 34-28. Seems like the PS2 is pretty confident on two things:

Toledo wins by more than 3 AND
UTEP scores 28 points on the nose

:mj07: :mj07:

But if anyone really has the balls to follow the "PS2 trend", then Toledo is the play After it predicted SMU's double digit, but no cover win, it IS tempting

 

[BRUSHMAN]

I say you try it one more time!2 out of the three

 

[socrstud]

Def try one more time lol!

 

[socrstud]

Over lookin good, hoping that UTEP is favored, cuz I'm takin TOL

 

[DerekNJND]

And the PS2 goes to 2-0 on side plays for the Bowl Season. The simulation's consistent TOLEDO covers and GMAN's advice saved me from losing my $100 on UTEP.

Stay tuned for tomorrow's simulation results for the pointsetta bowl and the las vegas bowl.


DISCLAIMER: I am not responsible for any losses incurred when coattailing based on simulation results.

 

[DerekNJND]

OK. Now that I'm on break from school, but still at my apartment, its sad to say I have alot of time on my hands. Keep that in mind as you read this:

The PS2 has spoken:

Cal won both simulations convincingly. First game was 42-28, second was 41-13. The PS2 believes CAL will cover, but is unsure on the total!

Navy beat CSU 16-14, in a boring, sloppy game. The side looks too close to play, but I was already thinking UNDER before I saw the simulated game, and now I"M SOLD!! Strange thing is I could totally see a final score like that tonight.

Keep in mind the PS2 is 2-0 in bowl games YTD.

 

[Agent 0659]

Do you update injuries and such?

 

[DerekNJND]

If someone big on offense is out i bench them. I'm doin this mainly for fun . I'm not betting CAl. Not yet anyhow, still pondering a call on that game

 

[DerekNJND]

just ran it again...csu 31-21...game is NOT buying Navy coverin 3.5 tonight, and neither am I..Interestingly enough, another UNDER too.

 

[socrstud]

Lets see the 2 outa 3 lol