Valero Texas Open
- Thread starter cole
- Start date
$200.00 $220.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:50am PGA Golf 113 Bud Cauley (Tourn) +110* vs Jordan Spieth (Tourn)
$200.00 $280.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am PGA Golf 116 Charley Hoffman (Tourn) +140* vs Jimmy Walker (Tourn)
$200.00 $282.50 Pending 4/4/13 8:30am PGA Golf 112 Padraig Harrington (Tourn) +141* vs Cameron Tringale (Tourn)
$200.00 $292.50 Pending 4/4/13 2:00pm PGA Golf 128 Brian Gay (Tourn) +146* vs Harris English (Tourn)
$50.00 $3,000.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +6000 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - Brian Davis*
$50.00 $3,000.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +6000 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - John Huh*
$50.00 $5,000.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +10000 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - Sang-Moon Bae*
$50.00 $6,250.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +12500 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - Ricky Barnes*
$100.00 $1,200.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1200 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Brendan Steele*
$100.00 $1,500.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1500 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - John Huh*
$100.00 $1,600.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1600 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Kevin Chappell*
$100.00 $1,650.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1650 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Bryce Molder*
$100.00 $1,800.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1800 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Brian Davis*
$100.00 $3,500.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +3500 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Cameron Percy*
$200.00 $280.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am PGA Golf 116 Charley Hoffman (Tourn) +140* vs Jimmy Walker (Tourn)
$200.00 $282.50 Pending 4/4/13 8:30am PGA Golf 112 Padraig Harrington (Tourn) +141* vs Cameron Tringale (Tourn)
$200.00 $292.50 Pending 4/4/13 2:00pm PGA Golf 128 Brian Gay (Tourn) +146* vs Harris English (Tourn)
$50.00 $3,000.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +6000 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - Brian Davis*
$50.00 $3,000.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +6000 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - John Huh*
$50.00 $5,000.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +10000 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - Sang-Moon Bae*
$50.00 $6,250.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +12500 Valero Texas Open - 1st Rnd Leader - Ricky Barnes*
$100.00 $1,200.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1200 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Brendan Steele*
$100.00 $1,500.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1500 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - John Huh*
$100.00 $1,600.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1600 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Kevin Chappell*
$100.00 $1,650.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1650 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Bryce Molder*
$100.00 $1,800.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1800 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Brian Davis*
$100.00 $3,500.00 Pending 4/4/13 8:20am Golf PGA +3500 Valero Texas Open - Top 5 - Cameron Percy*
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John Huh to win 70-1 sia
I like this golfer a lot. Amer-Korean. That is full blooded Korean on an American frame. 6 foot 190, jeez, it doesn't get any better than that. Thinks like an Asian, pounds the ball like big guy. This is John's second year as a pro and second in the PGA. A winner last year and took home 2.8 mil in prizes. Never played the Nationwide tour, he just got his card the q-school way. Medium good this year with a weird alternating hit/miss sequence going for 5 weeks now. Plays bad, plays good, plays bad, plays good, plays bad, and now this is the week to play good. Here's the real deal here. Last year, the one and only time to play this tournament, he shoots a horrible 77 in the first round, followed by three miracle rounds to finish second.
I like this golfer a lot. Amer-Korean. That is full blooded Korean on an American frame. 6 foot 190, jeez, it doesn't get any better than that. Thinks like an Asian, pounds the ball like big guy. This is John's second year as a pro and second in the PGA. A winner last year and took home 2.8 mil in prizes. Never played the Nationwide tour, he just got his card the q-school way. Medium good this year with a weird alternating hit/miss sequence going for 5 weeks now. Plays bad, plays good, plays bad, plays good, plays bad, and now this is the week to play good. Here's the real deal here. Last year, the one and only time to play this tournament, he shoots a horrible 77 in the first round, followed by three miracle rounds to finish second.
Walker 30-1 win, 15-1 place, 7 1/2 show
Spieth 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show
Huh 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show
Leonard 80-1 win, 40-1 place, 20-1 show
Good luck to all....can't wait for next week!
Spieth 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show
Huh 60-1 win, 30-1 place, 15-1 show
Leonard 80-1 win, 40-1 place, 20-1 show
Good luck to all....can't wait for next week!
top 10 finish - bet365
Cameron Tringale +275
Charley Hoffman +350
Bud Cauley +500
Billy Horschel +450
Cameron Tringale +275
Charley Hoffman +350
Bud Cauley +500
Billy Horschel +450
Last Week
Matchups 4-2-1 +1.58 u
Outrights/Finishes 0-11 -1.5 u (just missed on Stenson, ugh)
Overall
Matchups 46-35-8 +8.5 u
Outrights/Finishes 2-56 -3.45 u
Outrights
Jacobson 22/1 (.1u)
Steele 45/1 (.1u)
Huh 60/1 (.1u)
Chappell 70/1 (.1u)
Gay 90/1 (.1u)
Top 5
Steele 12/1 (.1u)
Huh 15/1 (.1u)
Chappell 16/1 (.1u)
Gay 18/1 (.1u)
Tournament Matchups (1u)
Toms ov Goosen ? 115 ? Like Toms? better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling over Goosen, two categories that are key to success the past couple of years at this tournament. Plus Toms? success at another Greg Norman tract, El Camaleon (Mayakoba Classic), where he finished 5th and 6th in 2011 and 2009 in his only attempts there, also gets my attention as the AT&T Oaks course has similar play. Goosen has missed three of six cuts on PGA Tour this year while Toms has only missed one of four.
De Jonge ov Palmer -115 - Like De Jonge?s? better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling over Palmer. De Jonge has also had a lot of success at El Camaleon, albeit a few years ago, with a 40th and 15th in 2010 and 2009 while Palmer missed the cut in his only appearance in 2008. De Jonge has also been more consistent in 2013 with only two missed cuts out of 11 while Palmer has missed three of his last five cuts.
Huh ov Horschel +110 ? Huh finished second in this event last year and won the event at El Camaleon last year for his first PGA Tour victory as a rookie. Horschel is certainly a hot player right now having made 21 straight cuts but did not have much success the past two years in this event.
Choi ov Baddeley -115 ? Better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling numbers for Choi. Choi 4-1 head to head in five events against Badds this year. Choi finished 20th in his only attempt at the El Camaleon course in 2010 while Baddeley missed the cut in his only attempt in 2011. Baddeley does have better course form than Choi with a 3rd in 2010, the initial year this event has been held at AT&T Oaks, but the conditions were wet and not windy that year, different from how this course typically plays.
Gay ov English +145 - Better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling numbers for Gay. Gay finished 4-23 the last two years while English finished 67th last year in his only appearance. Gay has also had success at El Camaleon, winning in 2008 and a 5th in 2011.
Matchups 4-2-1 +1.58 u
Outrights/Finishes 0-11 -1.5 u (just missed on Stenson, ugh)
Overall
Matchups 46-35-8 +8.5 u
Outrights/Finishes 2-56 -3.45 u
Outrights
Jacobson 22/1 (.1u)
Steele 45/1 (.1u)
Huh 60/1 (.1u)
Chappell 70/1 (.1u)
Gay 90/1 (.1u)
Top 5
Steele 12/1 (.1u)
Huh 15/1 (.1u)
Chappell 16/1 (.1u)
Gay 18/1 (.1u)
Tournament Matchups (1u)
Toms ov Goosen ? 115 ? Like Toms? better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling over Goosen, two categories that are key to success the past couple of years at this tournament. Plus Toms? success at another Greg Norman tract, El Camaleon (Mayakoba Classic), where he finished 5th and 6th in 2011 and 2009 in his only attempts there, also gets my attention as the AT&T Oaks course has similar play. Goosen has missed three of six cuts on PGA Tour this year while Toms has only missed one of four.
De Jonge ov Palmer -115 - Like De Jonge?s? better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling over Palmer. De Jonge has also had a lot of success at El Camaleon, albeit a few years ago, with a 40th and 15th in 2010 and 2009 while Palmer missed the cut in his only appearance in 2008. De Jonge has also been more consistent in 2013 with only two missed cuts out of 11 while Palmer has missed three of his last five cuts.
Huh ov Horschel +110 ? Huh finished second in this event last year and won the event at El Camaleon last year for his first PGA Tour victory as a rookie. Horschel is certainly a hot player right now having made 21 straight cuts but did not have much success the past two years in this event.
Choi ov Baddeley -115 ? Better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling numbers for Choi. Choi 4-1 head to head in five events against Badds this year. Choi finished 20th in his only attempt at the El Camaleon course in 2010 while Baddeley missed the cut in his only attempt in 2011. Baddeley does have better course form than Choi with a 3rd in 2010, the initial year this event has been held at AT&T Oaks, but the conditions were wet and not windy that year, different from how this course typically plays.
Gay ov English +145 - Better Driving Accuracy and Scrambling numbers for Gay. Gay finished 4-23 the last two years while English finished 67th last year in his only appearance. Gay has also had success at El Camaleon, winning in 2008 and a 5th in 2011.
Outrights:
Justin Leonard(100/1) e.w.
Chris Stroud(125/1) e.w.
Jordan Spieth(40/1) e.w.
Jimmy Walker(35/1) e.w.
John Huh(66/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(33/1) e.w.
Vaughn Taylor(125/1) e.w.
GL
Justin Leonard(100/1) e.w.
Chris Stroud(125/1) e.w.
Jordan Spieth(40/1) e.w.
Jimmy Walker(35/1) e.w.
John Huh(66/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(33/1) e.w.
Vaughn Taylor(125/1) e.w.
GL
Round 1 plays (2pts):
Matt Kuchar to beat Charl Schwartzel +120 @ 5Dimes
Both players in good form - both have finished in the top-40 in every event so far in 2013 with Schwartzel having the lower average finishing position, but Kuchar with the win in the WGC World Matchplay Championship. But the difference comes in terms in course form - Schwartzel has none, whereas Kuchar had a top-15 finish last year. That makes it strange that Kuchar is such an underdog, particularly as he also has such extensive experience of playing (and playing well) in Texas.
Ken Duke to beat James Hahn -105 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
The rookie Hahn has struggled since the Tour left the West Coast. He has played in each of the last five weeks, missing the cut four times and finishing 56th last week. I'll back the more experienced and better-rested Duke who finished 8th in the Arnold Palmer Invitational two weeks ago.
Ben Curtis to beat Brendan Steele -110 @ BetVictor [also available @ Stan James]
A matchup between the winners of the last two Texas Opens. I'll back Curtis as the better player who finished 21st in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, though. Steele has made seven of eights cuts this year, but he has been well off the pace in all but one event, breaking 70 just three times in 18 rounds since that top-10 in Phoenix.
Ryan Palmer to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -105 @ Bet365
A Texas Open veteran against a Texas rookie. Palmer has played in this event every year since 2004 and the three years of this course include a top-10 finish in 2010 and a top-5 position at the cut last year. He has already had a couple of top-10 finishes this year and last week was his first missed cut since the Tour left the West Coast. GFC has certainly had the better finishing positions this year, but he has never played in Texas previously, let alone on this course, and is playing here as he prepares for his second appearance in the Masters. To me, that points to a stronger week from the player who was born, went to university and still resides in Texas.
Matt Kuchar to beat Charl Schwartzel +120 @ 5Dimes
Both players in good form - both have finished in the top-40 in every event so far in 2013 with Schwartzel having the lower average finishing position, but Kuchar with the win in the WGC World Matchplay Championship. But the difference comes in terms in course form - Schwartzel has none, whereas Kuchar had a top-15 finish last year. That makes it strange that Kuchar is such an underdog, particularly as he also has such extensive experience of playing (and playing well) in Texas.
Ken Duke to beat James Hahn -105 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
The rookie Hahn has struggled since the Tour left the West Coast. He has played in each of the last five weeks, missing the cut four times and finishing 56th last week. I'll back the more experienced and better-rested Duke who finished 8th in the Arnold Palmer Invitational two weeks ago.
Ben Curtis to beat Brendan Steele -110 @ BetVictor [also available @ Stan James]
A matchup between the winners of the last two Texas Opens. I'll back Curtis as the better player who finished 21st in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, though. Steele has made seven of eights cuts this year, but he has been well off the pace in all but one event, breaking 70 just three times in 18 rounds since that top-10 in Phoenix.
Ryan Palmer to beat Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano -105 @ Bet365
A Texas Open veteran against a Texas rookie. Palmer has played in this event every year since 2004 and the three years of this course include a top-10 finish in 2010 and a top-5 position at the cut last year. He has already had a couple of top-10 finishes this year and last week was his first missed cut since the Tour left the West Coast. GFC has certainly had the better finishing positions this year, but he has never played in Texas previously, let alone on this course, and is playing here as he prepares for his second appearance in the Masters. To me, that points to a stronger week from the player who was born, went to university and still resides in Texas.
$50.00 $12,750.00 Pending 4/5/13 8:20am Golf PGA +25500 Valero Texas Open - Alistair Presnell
$226.60 $3,512.30 Pending 4/5/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1550 Valero Texas Open - Fredrik Jacobson
$226.60 $3,512.30 Pending 4/5/13 8:20am Golf PGA +1550 Valero Texas Open - Fredrik Jacobson
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My younger brother and uncle are walking the course tomorrow. Looks like a good field! Good Luck to all bettors!! :0008
Round 2 plays (2pts):
Billy Horschel to beat Jason Kokrak -148 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Horschel has continued his good form from last week (2nd in the Houston Open) with an opening 68 which sees him in 3rd place at the start of the 2nd round. He should have enough to easily beat Kokrak who is outside the cut line and has reached the final round just once in his last seven starts.
Billy Horschel to beat Padraig Harrington -111 @ Bet365 [also available @ Paddy Power]
I'll also back Horschel against Harrington who has been showing some better form recently (6th in the Malaysian Open), but is still far from his best. Making his debut on this course, this is a warm-up for next week so it was rather a surprise that he finished day one alongside Horschel in 3rd place.
Brian Davis to beat Martin Flores -120 @ Stan James
Davis is another who has carried over his form from last week (6th in the Houston Open) with a top-10 position after day one of the Texas Open. He did finish 5th on his last visit to this course, so there is hope that he will continue his form for at least one more round. Given that Flores ranked 95th in driving distance, 114th in driving accuracy and 136th in greens in regulation yesterday, I suspect that his game is not strong enough to shoot a low score on day two.
Jordan Spieth to beat Brendan Steele -155 @ 5Dimes
With four top-10 finishes in his last five starts, Spieth is certainly playing well enough to shoot a low score on day two. He finished the first day ahead of out-of-form course-specialist Steele who extended his run of breaking 70 to just three times in 19 rounds since his top-10 finish in Phoenix.
Jim Furyk to beat Brendon De Jonge -138 @ Paddy Power
Another top-10 position for Furyk who continues his steady run of form this year (no missed cuts), but for De Jonge fatigue must surely be a factor. Since he opened the season at the Sony Open in Hawaii, the only week that he has not played was the week of the WGC World Matchplay Championship for which is only narrowly missed qualification - this is his 12th start in 13 weeks! With such an exhausting schedule consistency is usually the trade-off and in all their common events this year, Furyk has finished ahead of De Jonge every time. He is already ahead after the 1st round and I expect him to stay there.
Billy Horschel to beat Jason Kokrak -148 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Horschel has continued his good form from last week (2nd in the Houston Open) with an opening 68 which sees him in 3rd place at the start of the 2nd round. He should have enough to easily beat Kokrak who is outside the cut line and has reached the final round just once in his last seven starts.
Billy Horschel to beat Padraig Harrington -111 @ Bet365 [also available @ Paddy Power]
I'll also back Horschel against Harrington who has been showing some better form recently (6th in the Malaysian Open), but is still far from his best. Making his debut on this course, this is a warm-up for next week so it was rather a surprise that he finished day one alongside Horschel in 3rd place.
Brian Davis to beat Martin Flores -120 @ Stan James
Davis is another who has carried over his form from last week (6th in the Houston Open) with a top-10 position after day one of the Texas Open. He did finish 5th on his last visit to this course, so there is hope that he will continue his form for at least one more round. Given that Flores ranked 95th in driving distance, 114th in driving accuracy and 136th in greens in regulation yesterday, I suspect that his game is not strong enough to shoot a low score on day two.
Jordan Spieth to beat Brendan Steele -155 @ 5Dimes
With four top-10 finishes in his last five starts, Spieth is certainly playing well enough to shoot a low score on day two. He finished the first day ahead of out-of-form course-specialist Steele who extended his run of breaking 70 to just three times in 19 rounds since his top-10 finish in Phoenix.
Jim Furyk to beat Brendon De Jonge -138 @ Paddy Power
Another top-10 position for Furyk who continues his steady run of form this year (no missed cuts), but for De Jonge fatigue must surely be a factor. Since he opened the season at the Sony Open in Hawaii, the only week that he has not played was the week of the WGC World Matchplay Championship for which is only narrowly missed qualification - this is his 12th start in 13 weeks! With such an exhausting schedule consistency is usually the trade-off and in all their common events this year, Furyk has finished ahead of De Jonge every time. He is already ahead after the 1st round and I expect him to stay there.
2nd Round Match Up
J HUH (RND 2) +105 (P HARRINGTON (RND 2) vrs J HUH (RND 2))
Missed Outrights, I would have a play on HUH as he is my Contest pick..really need him to the cut
J HUH (RND 2) +105 (P HARRINGTON (RND 2) vrs J HUH (RND 2))
Missed Outrights, I would have a play on HUH as he is my Contest pick..really need him to the cut
Third Rd. Matchups (1u)
Horschel ov Hoffman +105 ? 6-2 h2h per round advantage over Hoffman on weekend this year and has finished higher in four of five similar events. Also like Horschel?s better driving accuracy, scrambling and GIR% so far in this event.
Horschel ov Hoffman +105 ? 6-2 h2h per round advantage over Hoffman on weekend this year and has finished higher in four of five similar events. Also like Horschel?s better driving accuracy, scrambling and GIR% so far in this event.
3rd Round Match Ups
B ESTES (RND 3) -115 (J OVERTON (RND 3) vrs B ESTES (RND 3))
KJ CHOI (RND 3) EV (B DE JONGE (RND 3) vrs KJ CHOI (RND 3))
B ESTES (RND 3) -115 (J OVERTON (RND 3) vrs B ESTES (RND 3))
KJ CHOI (RND 3) EV (B DE JONGE (RND 3) vrs KJ CHOI (RND 3))
Round 3 play (4pts):
Stuart Appleby to beat Richard H. Lee +100 @ 5Dimes
Appleby may be some way from his previous form, but he has still finished ahead of Lee in three of four common events this year. From this position and in today's breezy conditons, Appleby should be the better player again.
Stuart Appleby to beat Richard H. Lee +100 @ 5Dimes
Appleby may be some way from his previous form, but he has still finished ahead of Lee in three of four common events this year. From this position and in today's breezy conditons, Appleby should be the better player again.
4th Round Match Ups
B CAULEY (RND 4) -125 (B CAULEY (RND 4) vrs A BADDELEY (RND 4))
KJ CHOI (RND 4) -110 (P HARRINGTON (RND 4) vrs KJ CHOI (RND 4))
B CAULEY (RND 4) -125 (B CAULEY (RND 4) vrs A BADDELEY (RND 4))
KJ CHOI (RND 4) -110 (P HARRINGTON (RND 4) vrs KJ CHOI (RND 4))
