Valero Texas Open

[cole]

Surprising the kids with a weekend trip to San Antonio (1,000 mile round trip) for the tourney. Maybe I will hit one of these to help pay for it

Palmer +3250

Berger +5500

Horschel +5000

Jacobson +8000

Z Johnson +2300

Kuchar +2350

Dufner +6000

M Jones +4759

 

[IE]

To Win:

Sang-Moon Bae +18500

Branden Grace +16500

Geoff Ogilvy +15500

 

[Full court press]

72 holes

Todd -110 over Steele

 

[Tommyjay]

Brenden Todd to win 45-1

72 holes
Todd over Steele +109
Summerhayes over Dufner -120

 

[Full court press]

Brenden Todd to win 45-1

72 holes
Todd over Steele +109
Summerhayes over Dufner -120

Wow, odds went up big time so i tossed a few more $$ on the Todd / Steele match up.

Good luck

 

[Whalers Rule]

1 unit ew
Vegas 300-1
Knost 500-1

 

[UGA12]

Jimmy Walker +1700 $5.00 $85
Ryan Palmer +2000 $5.00 $100.00
Brendon Todd +3000 $30.00 $900.00
Sean OHair +4500 $5.00 $225.00
Daniel Berger +5000 $5.00 $250.00
Francesco Molinari +6000 $50.00 $3,000.00
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +10000 $10.00 $1,000.00

 

[Let's Have Fun]

matt kuchar 22-1 ew

 

[sports student]

at 5 Dimes:

72 holes:
Dustin Johnson +134 over Furyk
Walker +113 over Kuchar
Palmer -130 over Mickelson
Berger +115 over Horschel
O'Hair +154 over Knox

1st round in futures section:

Aphibarnrat +137 over Barber/Homa

 

[PaulW]

Last 4 winners here went off at 350/1, 100/1, 150/1 and 300/1 so 3 outsiders for me:

Geoff Ogilvy 150/1
Luke Guthrie 200/1
DA Points 250/1

All each way. GL all

 

[Stanley]

Round 1 plays (2pts):

Matt Kuchar to beat Jimmy Walker -120 @ 5Dimes
Both players' form has dipped a little since their very strong opening events in January, so the advantage falls to Kuchar in terms of course form despite Walker living in Texas since his university days. Kuchar does have a runners-up finish in this event (2001) when the event was played at LaCantera, but has played in each of the last three years since it moved to TPC San Antonio and he has finished ahead of Walker every time. Last year, he spurned another very good opportunity to win and eventually finished 4th, but he does look a very good player to side with in matchups.

Charles Howell to beat Nick Watney -120 @ Paddy Power
Watney is making his debut at TPC San Antonio this week, so there is a clear advantage to Howell who finished in the top-10 finish last time he was here. Howell is also in good form and is 8-for-8 in cuts made in 2015 with a couple of top-10 finishes, so he holds an advantage by that mark also. One of those top-10 finishes was in the Valspar Championship which had strong winds in rd2 and rd3, so he shouldn't struggle too much with the winds predicted for today's round.

Martin Flores to beat Kevin Chappell -110 @ 5Dimes
Wind was also a factor in all four days of the Honda Classic and the Puerto Rico Open and Flores finished in the top-20 in both those events, so he similarly should play relatively well in today's conditions. That should be a struggle for Chappell who has missed his last three cuts, shooting 80-75-71-73-74-74 over that period, and who shot 74-79 to miss the cut by some margin last year. Flores has finished 24th-10th-16th in the last three years here.

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Martin Kaymer(33/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(90/1) e.w.
Gary Woodland(70/1) e.w.
Charley Hoffman(50/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(200/1) e.w.
Pat Perez(125/1) e.w.

GL

 

[sharky17]

TOURNAMENT

STEELE (-116) over TODD

ROUND 1

C. ORTIZ (+106) over W. MACKENZIE

 

[Full court press]

R1) Woodland over Kirk (-125) 1:50 ET tee time

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 2

ORTIZ (+113) over MacKENZIE

 

[Full court press]

bad start as Woodland gets nothing going in R1

R2

Hoffman -0.5 over Harman -146
No real fluke in first round. Charlie's track record around this place is impressive.

Brian Davis over Michael Thompson +125
Davis had one of the better numbers for the guys that got out in the early going. Thompson is a notoriously good first round player but usually declines.

Ortiz over MacKenzie +110
Pitch the snowman that he took on a par 3, he got around OK afterwards in trying conditions for both players

 

[PaulW]

Brutal day for the early starters, 78.61 scoring average for the morning tee times and 74.86 for the afternoon. Luck of the draw eh?!

 

[Full court press]

Brutal day for the early starters, 78.61 scoring average for the morning tee times and 74.86 for the afternoon. Luck of the draw eh?!

And yesterdays early starters may get the worse of it again. The report I use has conditions being calm early today with winds increasing about mid day. Who really knows for sure ?? The weather can certainly trump the best laid plans of both player and punter.

 

[Stanley]

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Ryan Palmer to beat Charley Hoffman +100 @ SkyBet
Hoffman does have a very good record in this event, but this is only the third time that he has led a PGA Tour event after rd1 - he then shot 73 in rd2 of the 2013 Travelers Championship and finished 7th; he then shot 76 in rd2 of the 2014 Houston Open and finished 37th. The draw looks to have been, surprisingly, extremely favourable for yesterday's afternoon starters, but I don't see Hoffman being able to hold onto the lead for another round. Palmer is in much better form and, sitting in 4th place, looks more likely to shoot a low score in rd2.

John Senden to beat Chesson Hadley -118 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Senden has long been one of my 'go-to' players in rd2 given his record in this round. In each of the last five seasons, his Rd2 Scoring Average has been lower than Rd1 Scoring Average on the PGA Tour and in three of those five seasons, the difference has been greater than a whole shot. Just as 12 month ago, Hadley is inside the top-10 after rd1. On that occasion, he then shot 71-71-80 to finish 56th and looks an opposable player in this position.

Billy Horschel tb Chris Kirk -120 @ Paddy Power
Kirk has struggled this year with his only top-25 finish occuring in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions with its 34-player field. He has started well though - this is the 4th time this year that he has finished rd1 in the top-15 - but he ranks 147th in Rd2 Scoring Average on the PGA Tour this year (vs 44th for Rd1 Scoring Average), so he looks likely to fall back today. Horschel does have a top-3 finish on this course and is well-placed to repeat that feat after rd1.

[unofficial rd2 system plays: Woodland tb Kirk -102; Guthrie tb Blair +100]

 

[Full court press]

2-0-1 yesterday as Davis faltered late with a bogey on 18 for the push....

Still think that Thursdays early starters carry a little extra value on to the course this weekend. Using Ortiz right back as he was on fire Friday.

Round 3

Ortiz-130 over Romero
Matt Jones -130 over Stefani
Garrigus +112 over Seung-Yul Noh