Value Hunting 03.31.2012

[logan]

I really miss this thread and the guys that posted within it. This has by far been my worst NBA season ever. The best that I have ever been was back a couple of years ago when I visited this thread daily. I didn't always post but I did when I thought I could add something possitive.

I would really like to get some feedback and discussions going again as that is the way to beat the man. IMO

I will start it off.

Based strictly on yearly averages I have these totals off.

Milwaukee 9 points too high
San Antonio 11.5 points too high
Sacramento 11.5 points too high

Feel free to jump in.

 

[IE]

my recent form ratings have

san ant -7
milwaulkee -8

looking at milwaulkee as possible.

 

[logan]

my recent form ratings have

san ant -7
milwaulkee -8

looking at milwaulkee as possible.

I like the Bucks as well. They really need to string some wins together. Sides have just been killing me.

 

[logan]

Of the 3 i listed I like the Spurs under.

in a road game when the total is 200 to 205 the under is 12 - 4 the last 3 years
the under is 12 - 6 the last 18 Spurs home games
the pacers have played under 200 in 14 of their last 18 games overall
the last 10 meetings these two have averaged 198 points
the last 2 years the final score has been 90 - 87 when played at San Antonio
the pacers shoot only 42% and score 94 ppg on the road

I am convinced so wish me luck!!!

 

[stockjockey]

I have Bucks/Grizz as a coin flip but my ratings haven't fully integrated Montae Ellis impact on the Bucks yet. I will take the Grizz if I can catch a 3 before tip off.

 

[IE]

good luck logan.

more i looked at the games i am playing

Indiana Pacers +8 -110

 

[HUDSON]

good luck logan.

more i looked at the games i am playing

Indiana Pacers +8 -110

Agree here big time.....much value getting IND +8 points. That's inflated due to their last two games of playing not that well.

 

[stockjockey]

Of the 3 i listed I like the Spurs under.

in a road game when the total is 200 to 205 the under is 12 - 4 the last 3 years
the under is 12 - 6 the last 18 Spurs home games
the pacers have played under 200 in 14 of their last 18 games overall
the last 10 meetings these two have averaged 198 points
the last 2 years the final score has been 90 - 87 when played at San Antonio
the pacers shoot only 42% and score 94 ppg on the road

I am convinced so wish me luck!!!

Agree with u as I have this total 10 points under the posted total. Scoring has picked up in the last month and a half or so and league averages are up almost 4 points per team. I attribute this to brutal schedule, fatigue, or maybe referreeing? I haven't been able to get a handle on it so don't bet totals anymore.

 

[stockjockey]

Agree here big time.....much value getting IND +8 points. That's inflated due to their last two games of playing not that well.

Pacers are a play for me at +9 so hoping line moves.

 

[logan]

I have the Pacers at 5.5 point underdogs but again side are beating me to death this year.

Thank you to everyone that has posted today.

 

[logan]

just another nba game that makes no sense.