Have just heard on the radio news that if Shane Warne comes through the game against WA okay, he may be rushed into the side to play against Eng. McGrath may also be brought back. I'll keep you all informed if I hear anymore
VB Series Aust v Eng - 6th ODI
- Thread starter Pumpkin
- Start date
Warne was tonked by Langer and looks like he won't play. Bowled 8 overs 1-53 with 2no balls and 3 wides. McGrath has stated that he is fit, but yet to be confirmed if he will play. Lehmann is still in doubt.
Firstly this is the 7th ODI, my fault as I started last thread and put 5th.
Take out Warne and McGrath and England hammer them by 225 runs in the Sydney Test. Add Gillespie to the casualty list and the woeful Sri Lankans blast them by 79 runs in the VB one-dayer at the SCG three days later.
So are these Aussies not what they're cracked up to be?
It's ridiculous to say they've lost the plot but it has been surprising how brittle they've looked without their key bowlers. And the question punters have to ask themselves ahead of Saturday's clash with England is are the Aussies there for the taking again with their confidence undermined?
Those who believe so are certainly catered for with England priced up at 5/2 to take victory - a result that could put them joint top of the table with the hosts depending on those rather baffling bonus points.
The momentum will certainly be with England. As well as winning in Sydney and having the better of the closing stages of the Melbourne Test, Nasser Hussain's men also scored back-to-back victories against Sri Lanka in this tournament - perhaps the turning point of their tour.
There were some hugely promising performances in those pre-Christmas triumphs - none more so than the fast bowling of James Anderson. Although England lost to a Bradman XI in midweek, they rested a host of key players so that defeat shouldn't be overplayed. England will bring back their big guns against Australia.
A possible minus point for England is that most of the Barmy Army will have flown home now so there's unlikely to be such a strong welcome for them in Hobart. However, the match will have more of a low key feel all round and Australia's previous record on the Tasmanian mainland is average - four wins, three defeats and a tie.
Many top bat punters will home in on skipper Ricky Ponting. Hobart is Ponting's home ground so he will be keen to put on a show. In his only other one-day international in Hobart he made just six so that failure and the Aussies humbling in Sydney will give him plenty of incentive.
However it's such a competitive market with the likes of Adam Gilchrist and Matthew Hayden at the top of the order that I prefer to look elsewhere for a recommended bet. And that comes in the shape of England wicketkeeper-batsman Alec Stewart on Bet365's popular player performance market (1pt per run, 10pts per catch and 25pts per stumping).
Stewart needs to get 32 points or more for those who go high at 5/6 to be paid out and that looks the sensible call. He looked in great nick with the bat in both innings in the final Test in Sydney and could find himself going in higher up the order as a result. Added to that there's also every chance of points with the gloves - especially as the Aussies don't look their usual invincible selves.
Bet365 Player performance market
A. STEWART to get 32 points or more 5/6 @ 1.5 points
I am added one further play
Sportingodds -"handicap"
ENGLAND + 35.5 runs / 3.5 wkts 5/6 @ 1.5 points
Take out Warne and McGrath and England hammer them by 225 runs in the Sydney Test. Add Gillespie to the casualty list and the woeful Sri Lankans blast them by 79 runs in the VB one-dayer at the SCG three days later.
So are these Aussies not what they're cracked up to be?
It's ridiculous to say they've lost the plot but it has been surprising how brittle they've looked without their key bowlers. And the question punters have to ask themselves ahead of Saturday's clash with England is are the Aussies there for the taking again with their confidence undermined?
Those who believe so are certainly catered for with England priced up at 5/2 to take victory - a result that could put them joint top of the table with the hosts depending on those rather baffling bonus points.
The momentum will certainly be with England. As well as winning in Sydney and having the better of the closing stages of the Melbourne Test, Nasser Hussain's men also scored back-to-back victories against Sri Lanka in this tournament - perhaps the turning point of their tour.
There were some hugely promising performances in those pre-Christmas triumphs - none more so than the fast bowling of James Anderson. Although England lost to a Bradman XI in midweek, they rested a host of key players so that defeat shouldn't be overplayed. England will bring back their big guns against Australia.
A possible minus point for England is that most of the Barmy Army will have flown home now so there's unlikely to be such a strong welcome for them in Hobart. However, the match will have more of a low key feel all round and Australia's previous record on the Tasmanian mainland is average - four wins, three defeats and a tie.
Many top bat punters will home in on skipper Ricky Ponting. Hobart is Ponting's home ground so he will be keen to put on a show. In his only other one-day international in Hobart he made just six so that failure and the Aussies humbling in Sydney will give him plenty of incentive.
However it's such a competitive market with the likes of Adam Gilchrist and Matthew Hayden at the top of the order that I prefer to look elsewhere for a recommended bet. And that comes in the shape of England wicketkeeper-batsman Alec Stewart on Bet365's popular player performance market (1pt per run, 10pts per catch and 25pts per stumping).
Stewart needs to get 32 points or more for those who go high at 5/6 to be paid out and that looks the sensible call. He looked in great nick with the bat in both innings in the final Test in Sydney and could find himself going in higher up the order as a result. Added to that there's also every chance of points with the gloves - especially as the Aussies don't look their usual invincible selves.
Bet365 Player performance market
A. STEWART to get 32 points or more 5/6 @ 1.5 points
I am added one further play
Sportingodds -"handicap"
ENGLAND + 35.5 runs / 3.5 wkts 5/6 @ 1.5 points
Four cricket plays today in the ODI between Australia and England in Hobart _ all in the Player Performance props at bet365
Ian Blackwell (Eng) over 31 pts -120 (2 units): The hard-hitting allrounder has gone over this total in 3 of his 4 games to date and has been in strong from with both bat and ball. He's had scores of 0 and 43 v Aus and 24 and 19 v Sri Lanka and taken two wickets in both games v Aus and two when he bowled v Sri Lanka _ didn't bowl in one game. Made just 7 v the Don Bradman XI midweek but took a wicket _ averages an impressive 30.83 from just 6 ODIs and has taken 7 wickets in just 35 overs. AS with Jayasuriya mid-week, I believe the best value in playing Overs on these props lie with the allrounders at totals around this mark - one wicket and double figures in runs will cash your ticket without the added bonus of a catch.
Marcus Trescothick (Eng) under 32 pts -120 (2 units): Has struggled for form all tour and was surprised he didn't play in Bowral to gain some confidence. Has only got past this mark once in the opening game v India and with McGrath expected back in the Aus line-up won't get it easy. Averages 37.40 in 50 ODIs but is out of touch.
Brett Lee (Aus) over 42 pts -120(1 unit): Went wicketless v Sri Lanka and can be expensive but runs conceded don't count here. Lee has six wickets in two games v Eng in the series and could also get a hit lower down the order or possibly as a pinch hitting after strong showings in recent matches with the willow.
Ronnie Irani (Eng) under 38 pts -120 (2 units): Did get some form back v Don Bradman XI with 39 but went wicketless bowling his 5 overs and got belted as usual. Irani's 4 knocks in this series have been 0, 0, 1 and 4 and has taken just 1 wicket. An inspirational figure in county cricket but found short at international level and Aussie will target him.
GL all
Ian Blackwell (Eng) over 31 pts -120 (2 units): The hard-hitting allrounder has gone over this total in 3 of his 4 games to date and has been in strong from with both bat and ball. He's had scores of 0 and 43 v Aus and 24 and 19 v Sri Lanka and taken two wickets in both games v Aus and two when he bowled v Sri Lanka _ didn't bowl in one game. Made just 7 v the Don Bradman XI midweek but took a wicket _ averages an impressive 30.83 from just 6 ODIs and has taken 7 wickets in just 35 overs. AS with Jayasuriya mid-week, I believe the best value in playing Overs on these props lie with the allrounders at totals around this mark - one wicket and double figures in runs will cash your ticket without the added bonus of a catch.
Marcus Trescothick (Eng) under 32 pts -120 (2 units): Has struggled for form all tour and was surprised he didn't play in Bowral to gain some confidence. Has only got past this mark once in the opening game v India and with McGrath expected back in the Aus line-up won't get it easy. Averages 37.40 in 50 ODIs but is out of touch.
Brett Lee (Aus) over 42 pts -120(1 unit): Went wicketless v Sri Lanka and can be expensive but runs conceded don't count here. Lee has six wickets in two games v Eng in the series and could also get a hit lower down the order or possibly as a pinch hitting after strong showings in recent matches with the willow.
Ronnie Irani (Eng) under 38 pts -120 (2 units): Did get some form back v Don Bradman XI with 39 but went wicketless bowling his 5 overs and got belted as usual. Irani's 4 knocks in this series have been 0, 0, 1 and 4 and has taken just 1 wicket. An inspirational figure in county cricket but found short at international level and Aussie will target him.
GL all
Australia win 7th ODI by 7 runs.
Australia 271 - 4
England 264 - 7
In a close game that England lost when defeat appeared out of the question, the English batting folds once again.
The difference between the two teams were the 22 wides that England's young in-experience bowlers allowed. That is a criminal error in this form of cricket because not only did Australia benefit with 22 runs extra they also received nearly 4 overs more. Those extra balls and runs were the difference between the two sides, infact if England had bowled half the amount of wides that they did, England would have won comfortably with an over or two to spare.
On the betting side, Stewart fell 6 points short in the players performance market. I feel confident that it was a sound bet, it was only the circumstances that prevented this bet winning. Stewart having to bat at the death of the innings was unable to set an innings up as he was requirded to score at almost two runs per ball when he came to the wicket.
Of the other bet, England managed to win on the handicap covering the 35.5 runs given to them.
Loss on the day of 0.25 points
Australia 271 - 4
England 264 - 7
In a close game that England lost when defeat appeared out of the question, the English batting folds once again.
The difference between the two teams were the 22 wides that England's young in-experience bowlers allowed. That is a criminal error in this form of cricket because not only did Australia benefit with 22 runs extra they also received nearly 4 overs more. Those extra balls and runs were the difference between the two sides, infact if England had bowled half the amount of wides that they did, England would have won comfortably with an over or two to spare.
On the betting side, Stewart fell 6 points short in the players performance market. I feel confident that it was a sound bet, it was only the circumstances that prevented this bet winning. Stewart having to bat at the death of the innings was unable to set an innings up as he was requirded to score at almost two runs per ball when he came to the wicket.
Of the other bet, England managed to win on the handicap covering the 35.5 runs given to them.
Loss on the day of 0.25 points
