Vegas

[Tucker88]

Having real trouble getting started here.
the last two weeks i just looked at the matchups and the one
i wanted to play just jumped out. not this week. So if anyone out
their has the feeling try and send a little my way.

got a few here that i'm looking in to. will wait until after busch race and always like to see happy hour speeds. lot of the teams
use different shock combinations for quailfying and cannot get a
real feel of how racy the cars will be.

Sterling Marlin -140 over Dale Jarrett
Gonna play sterling over everybody this year.

Kurt Busch -115 over Matt Kenseth
Kenseth has his fun last week, this week its the hometown boys
turn.

Terry Labonte even over Bobby Hamilton

Jeff Gordon -115 over Tony Stewart
this one will be close. Gordon drives a chevy, stewart a pontiac
feel that chevy has the advantage, thus the play

Dale Jr. +130 over Kevin Harvick
Jr finally shows up this week.

Bill Elliott +140 over Johnny Benson
Need to look into this more, but Dodge is far superior to the pontiac. The pontiac doesnot produce as much downforce as Dodges and downforce will be key. Dodge got a front end change
i heard, dont know what that means.

Ricky Rudd -115 over Dale Jarrett
strickly a play against Jarrett. to tell the truth i hope both hit the
wall, Jarrett just a lap earlier. Love it when yates f*ks up.

Then if that happens Rusty +120 over Rudd
and Rusty hit the wall next lap. Damn that would be nice.

 

[Tucker88]

Starting Lineup.
Todd Bodine - give me a break.



Pos. Car Driver Make Sponsor Speed Time Behind
1 #66 Todd Bodine Ford TBA 172.849 31.240 Leader
2 #12 Ryan Newman* Ford ALLTEL 172.838 31.243 -0.002
3 #97 Kurt Busch Ford Rubbermaid 172.298 31.340 -0.100
4 #41 Jimmy Spencer Dodge Target 171.298 31.524 -0.283
5 #15 Michael Waltrip Chevrolet NAPA Auto Parts 171.184 31.545 -0.304
6 #6 Mark Martin Ford Pfizer/Viagra 171.080 31.563 -0.323
7 #10 Johnny Benson Pontiac Valvoline 171.070 31.566 -0.325
8 #17 Matt Kenseth Ford DeWalt Power Tools 171.064 31.566 -0.326
9 #32 Ricky Craven Ford Tide 170.896 31.597 -0.357
10 #77 Dave Blaney Ford Jasper Engines & Transmissions 170.842 31.607 -0.367
11 #45 Kyle Petty Dodge Sprint 170.718 31.631 -0.390
12 #31 Robby Gordon Chevrolet Cingular Wireless 170.659 31.642 -0.401
13 #24 Jeff Gordon Chevrolet DuPont 170.578 31.656 -0.416
14 #11 Brett Bodine Ford DuraLube 170.476 31.676 -0.435
15 #20 Tony Stewart Pontiac Home Depot 170.465 31.677 -0.437
16 #25 Jerry Nadeau Chevrolet UAW/Delphi 170.320 31.704 -0.464
17 #1 Kenny Wallace Chevrolet Pennzoil 170.100 31.746 -0.505
18 #19 Jeremy Mayfield Dodge Dodge Dealers/UAW 170.057 31.753 -0.513
19 #44 Buckshot Jones Dodge Georgia Pacific 169.923 31.778 -0.538
20 #26 Joe Nemechek Ford TBA 169.843 31.794 -0.553
21 #23 Hut Stricklin Dodge Hills Bros Coffee 169.757 31.809 -0.569
22 #30 Jeff Green Chevrolet America Online 169.725 31.816 -0.575
23 #9 Bill Elliott Dodge Dodge Dealers/UAW 169.667 31.826 -0.586
24 #40 Sterling Marlin Dodge Coors Light 169.656 31.829 -0.588
25 #48 Jimmie Johnson* Chevrolet Lowe's 169.422 31.872 -0.632
26 #43 John Andretti Dodge Cheerios 169.358 31.885 -0.644
27 #28 Ricky Rudd Ford Havoline 169.294 31.896 -0.656
28 #29 Kevin Harvick Chevrolet GM Goodwrench 169.284 31.899 -0.658
29 #36 Ken Schrader Pontiac M&M's 169.252 31.905 -0.664
30 #14 Stacy Compton Pontiac Conseco 169.172 31.920 -0.679
31 #4 Mike Skinner Chevrolet Kodak 169.151 31.923 -0.683
32 #22 Ward Burton Dodge Caterpillar 169.014 31.950 -0.709
33 #18 Bobby Labonte Pontiac Interstate Batteries 168.966 31.958 -0.718
34 #21 Elliott Sadler Ford Motorcraft 168.860 31.979 -0.738
35 #8 Dale Earnhardt Jr. Chevrolet Budweiser 168.845 31.982 -0.741
36 #49 Shawna Robinson* Dodge BAM Racing 168.765 31.996 -0.756

Provisional
37 #88 Dale Jarrett Ford UPS 168.088 32.125 -0.885
38 #2 Rusty Wallace Ford Miller Lite 167.879 32.166 -0.925
39 #99 Jeff Burton Ford CITGO Racing 167.915 32.159 -0.918
40 #55 Bobby Hamilton Chevrolet Schneider Electric 166.950 32.529 -1.289
41 #5 Terry Labonte Chevrolet Kellogg's 166.908 32.353 -1.111
42 #7 Casey Atwood Dodge Sirius Satellite Radio 166.148 32.500 -1.260
43 #90 Rick Mast Ford Duke's Mayonnaise/ Sauer's 166.281 32.474 -1.233

 

[The Big Tease]

believe it or not, todd bodine isnt swiss cheese at this track. he was a top 5 guy last year, and believe that he qualified well too. a guy that is racing for his sponsorship life, (trying to get a sponsor, that is) nay not be a horrible bet this week. at least in some matchups

 

[hoyt]

I would watch betting against Benson, he has run well here even though the pontiacs have trouble with teh down force

 

[4bubba]

Tucker88
I would be extremely careful about betting Sterling Marlin because of his new, unproven car being used in Vegas. If you are interested, I wrote up more about it in the las vegas 400 thread.

My best bet (at the Palms)
Mark Martin -6.5 position (-110) vs Elliott Sadler

 

[Tucker88]

here are the happy hour speeds if anyones interested.

1. 48 Jimmie Johnson* Chv 32.271 167.328
2. 32 Ricky Craven Frd 32.304 0.033 0.033 167.162
3. 6 Mark Martin Frd 32.389 0.085 0.118 166.718
4. 97 Kurt Busch Frd 32.416 0.027 0.145 166.578
5. 44 Buckshot Jones Dge 32.429 0.013 0.158
6. 66 Todd Bodine Frd 32.479 0.050 0.208 166.261
7. 22 Ward Burton Dge 32.512 0.033 0.241
8. 20 Tony Stewart Pon 32.558 0.046 0.287
9. 12 Ryan Newman* Frd 32.599 0.041 0.328
10. 45 Kyle Petty Dge 32.611 0.012 0.340 165.587
11. 11 Brett Bodine Frd 32.615 0.004 0.344 165.567
12. 25 Jerry Nadeau Chv 32.666 0.051 0.395
13. 29 Kevin Harvick Chv 32.668 0.002 0.397
14. 99 Jeff Burton Frd 32.691 0.023 0.420 165.182
15. 19 Jeremy Mayfield Dge 32.692 0.001 0.421
16. 23 Hut Stricklin Dge 32.731 0.039 0.460 164.975
17. 77 Dave Blaney Frd 32.742 0.011 0.471
18. 30 Jeff Green Chv 32.771 0.029 0.500 164.774
19. 18 Bobby Labonte .Pon 32.784 0.013 0.513
20. 41 Jimmy Spencer Dge 32.786 0.002 0.515
21. 17 Matt Kenseth Frd 32.810 0.024 0.539
22. 2 Rusty Wallace Frd 32.831 0.021 0.560 164.479
23. 9 Bill Elliott Dge 32.832 0.001 0.561 164.473
24. 40 Sterling Marlin Dge 32.861 0.029 0.590
25. 8 Dale Earnhardt Jr. Chv 32.872 0.011 0.601
26. 1 Kenny Wallace Chv 32.874 0.002 0.603
27. 24 Jeff Gordon Chv 32.893 0.019 0.622 164.169
28. 55 Bobby Hamilton Chv 32.916 0.023 0.645
29. 88 Dale Jarrett Frd 32.922 0.006 0.651 164.024
30. 21 Elliott Sadler Frd 32.929 0.007 0.658 163.988
31. 15 Michael Waltrip Chv 32.935 0.006 0.664
32. 5 Terry Labonte Chv 32.953 0.018 0.682
33. 36 Ken Schrader Pon 32.953 0.000 0.682
34. 43 John Andretti Dge 32.958 0.005 0.687
35. 31 Robby Gordon Chv 33.005 0.047 0.734
36. 26 Joe Nemechek Frd 33.046 0.041 0.775
37. 28 Ricky Rudd Frd 33.180 0.134 0.909 162.748
38. 10 Johnny Benson Pon 33.221 0.041 0.950
39. 7 Casey Atwood Dge 33.388 0.167 1.117
40. 14 Stacy Compton Pon 33.523 0.135 1.252
41. 4 Mike Skinner Chv 33.530 0.007 1.259 161.044
42. 49 Shawna Robinson* Dge 33.699 0.169 1.428
43. 90 Rick Mast Frd 33.710 0.011 1.439 160.184

 

[Tucker88]

Going with:

Kurt Busch -115 over Matt Kenseth NO
Jerry Nadeau -125 over Robby Gordon YES
Ward Burton even over Ricky Rudd NO

Ricky Craven +110 over Bill Elliott NO
Rusty Wallace +120 over Ricky Rudd YES

going against my previous statement

Bobby Labonte +120 over Sterlin Marlin NO


To win:
Mark Martin 6-1
Ricky Craven 30-1

good luck to everyone! talk to ya later.

 

[Tucker88]

Gonna Add:

over/under finishing position

Johnny Benson under 11.5 -115 NO
Ricky Craven under 17.5 -115 NO
Jeff Green under 20.5 -115 NO
Jerry Nadeau under 16.5 -115 YES

 

[4bubba]

Tucker
Great effort and writeups!

 

[Tucker88]

very bad day here went 3-7

Guess it was bound to happen that Sterlin won the race. Never thought it would be this weekend though. I think that these Dodges are for real.

will do much better at Atlanta. see next week.