Wachovia Championship

Stanley

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Outright plays (1.5pts):

Sergio Garcia to win 40/1 e.w. @ BlueSq
Encouraged by his storming finish at the Masters (his last event) where he finished 4th, I'll side with the Spaniard at these odds. Boasting some of the narrowest fairways, Quail Hollow would not suit Garcia if he were ill at ease with his game, but he was ranked #1 in total driving in 2001 (and 4th in 2002) and he was 13th in driving accuracy in his last start so he is capable of some control. Quail Hollow is also a shotmaker's course and Garcia ranks in the top-10 in the GIR stats, plus he has been top-ranked for GIR in two of his six strokeplay events this year. So erratic he may be, but he has any sort of game in place this week, he should certainly feature on the leaderboard.

Stewart Cink to finish in the top-five 12/1 @ SkyBet
Won't back Cink to win twice in two starts as I wouldn't want to change my opinion of him just because he was a winning selection a couple of weeks ago. However, he has been extremely consistent this year and if he can keep his drives on the fairways, then he should continue his run of high finishes. Despite the headline players, he should not be this high for a top-five finish.

Nick Price to finish in the top-five 14/1 @ SkyBet
Price did finish in the top-five last year and that was despite the course being wet. He depended heavily on his putter last year, but the conditions will be harder and Quail Hollow will require more of an all-round game from the contenders this year. Price finished 6th in the Masters and while he is unlikely to win again on this Tour, he is surely a much better than 14/1 chance to repeat last year's feat.
 

veride

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so many possible winners...

so many possible winners...

first thougts...

EW 1/4 1,2,3,4,5 :

K.J.Choi --> 33/1 Bet365
Nick Price --> 66/1 Victor Chandler
Joe Durant --> 100/1 Bet365
 

veride

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why not this one ?

why not this one ?

Outright 1/4 - 1,2,3,4,5

Davis Love III --> 20/1 Blue Square
 

veride

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To Finish in the Top 10 (Paddy Power)

Carl Pettersson --> 7/1
Steve Flesch --> 9/1

Place Only - First 5 (Sky Bet)

Carl Pettersson --> 25/1
Steve Flesch --> 25/1
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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When the last time you saw this----Woods a dog
I can just hear Earl--
"Son I told ya dat pussy will make your legs weak" :D

06:00 AM
129 V. Singh -113 Risk To Win
130 T. Woods +103 Risk To Win
 
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Stanley

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Matchup plays (1.5pts):

Justin Leonard to beat Joe Durant -110 @ BlueSq
Leonard is not exactly competitive at the moment, but his 9-for-9 in cuts made in 2004 makes him ideal matchup material. His worst finish this year has been 44th. He has finished ahead of Durant in their last three common events so should be shorter odds to repeat the feat.

Justin Leonard to beat Kevin Sutherland -140 @ WSEX
Easy to oppose Sutherland who has missed three of his last four cuts. In fact, he has only finished ahead of Leonard three times in the past year, so there should be little reason to expect anything but a Leonard win here.

Jay Haas to beat Steve Flesch -125 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Flesch has failed to finish ahead of Haas in any of their last five PGA Tour events and he missed the cut last year. Did consider Haas for the outrights (top-5 only), but looks a much better proposition in matches like this.

Davis Love to beat Mike Weir -128 @ Centrebet
Barring a troublesome back, this should be straightforward for Love. Weir has two missed cuts and a finish of 45th in his last three events and looks set to struggle again around this demanding course.
(also available at Five Dimes)
 

lal2000

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Outrights (? unit ew ? ? odds 1st 5)

J Durant 100/1 @ Sporting Odds
S Garcia 40/1 @ Blue Square
J Ogilvie 125/1 @ Victor Chandler
K Triplett 100/1 @ Paddy Power
C Petterson 125/1 @ SkyBet
S Cink 66/1 @ Sporting Odds
B Langer 125/1 @ SkyBet

Also interested in Price, Kaye, Funk & Parnevik.

Good Luck!
 

kjls04202

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I am quite keen on Shaun Micheel this week. I really think that GIR will be all important this week. I guess this brings in plenty of players such as Nick Price, Scott Hoch on the bounce back from last week and the obvious names such as Mickelson and Singh.
Garcia also could be ready to make up for lost time. Kirk Triplett although ultimately dissapointing last week from a good position as another, whether he is strong enough to win is another matter.

Shaun Micheel has become a good player on these types of courses and I think he can go well this week. Jonathon Kaye is another player I like this week at a fancy 100/1(If still that price).
He seems very underrated and can often be backed at value prices. He also has good GIR stats and he makes up my two to back for this week.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Wachovia Plays

Wachovia Plays

Stewart Cink OV/David Toms -1.30
Going with Cink over Toms, Toms had a good tourny last week but Cink should be strong this week.

Sergio Garcia OV/Jerry Kelly -1? -1.05
Like Garcia this week, OK, Stanley liked him.

Chad Campbell OV/Justin Leonard-1? -1.30
Chad Campbell WINS WACHOVIA CHApick @+25.0
Chad Campbell OV/Mike Weir-1.15
Going with Chad to win this week. Justin has started to come back but this week Chad should make up for last year's final round.
Added Chad over Wier, Another CoatTail of against Wier.
 
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Trampled Underfoot

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Garcia 1u ew 33 (B365)
Durant .5u ew 80 (SportingBet)
ZJohnson 1u ew 66 (B365)

Also took on some Campbell & Kaye on the interactives!

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
The Good, the Bad and the Ugly:


OUTRIGHTS:

Phil Mickelson(+750) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365
Carl Pettersson(150/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ 5dimes
Sergio "Sunshine" Garcia(33/1 & 28/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365


MATCHUPS:

Mickelson(+100) over Woods (Tournament)(Ties Lose) for 1* @ Bet365
Tanaka(+110) over Ogilvy (Tournament) for 1* @ 5dimes
Cink(-135) over Toms (Tournament) for 1* @ Bet365

GL
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Why is it every writer and player describes how much more difficult course is this year yet scores are stroke less less than year prior. Only conclusion I can come to is weather plays as much in equation as course set up.
An interesting stat I saw yesterday on telecast--stats prior to yesterdays rd.
1st rd scorng ave 2004
Kirk Triplett 1st
Tiger Woods 121st

1st rd and par 70's always been his achilles heel.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Moving Day Plays

Moving Day Plays

Sergio Garcia OV/Jerry Kelly-1.15
Chad Campbell OV/Nick Price-1.15
Jonathan Kaye OV/Shaun Micheel-1.05

Sergio improved Friday, will keep going Low. Chad went backwards, will turn it around. Kaye needs a new Hat, really Bad. Truckers Hat on moving Day.
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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A couple more Saturday Plays

A couple more Saturday Plays

Vijay Singh OV/Phil Mickelson-1.35
Joe Ogilvie OV/Geoff Ogilvy+1.00

Going with these two players. All have been very Good. Believe I have the right ones picked.
 
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Trampled Underfoot

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I figure Woods is not going to win this week....he just cant repeat his putting performance of yesterday. So I added some Allenby and Appleby. I feel like I got some nice prices on the interactives with them last night. I'm not going to put them in my record since i'll prob sell them back at some point.......but here is hoping the Ausies can come through.

Allenby 99-1
Appleby 24-1
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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4th rd Ogivy +104 over Oberholsler @ WSEX -1/2 stroke

Like LIA lean as Ogivy as well no problem in 4th rd to date ranking 6th--hoping Ober has dejavu of AT&T

MUCH better line than Euro ties lose offers.
 

Stanley

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Outrights - Final update: 0-3; -4.50pts

Garcia 61st
Cink mc
Price 21st

Sorry effort! Garcia and Cink were just poor selections, while Price did at least play well in three rounds. But after an opening 74, he was always playing without pressure. He finished four shots out of a top-5 place.

Matchups - Final update: 0-3-1; -6.05pts

Leonard/Durant TIED (Lost)
Leonard/Sutherland LOST by 7
Haas/Flesch LOST by 5
Love/Weir TIED (Dead heat)

Another sorry effort! At least two out of four being tied, it could very easily have been a 2-2 week, but the result was a very poor blank.

PGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 7-47; -19.85pts
Matchups: 55-58; -24.08pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 33-140; +76.35pts
Matchups: 165-140; +8.99pts
 
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