WACHOVIA.....

Stanley

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Round 1 plays (2pts):

Tag Ridings to beat Kevin Stadler -115 @ Five Dimes

Rory Sabbatini to beat Zach Johnson -118 @ Five Dimes

Bo Van Pelt to beat Tom Pernice -115 @ Five Dimes

Stephen Ames to beat Paul Casey -110 @ Bet365

Jon Mills to beat Paul Goydos -115 @ Five Dimes

Charley Hoffman to beat Charles Howell -105 @ Five Dimes

John Senden to beat Billy Mayfair -105 @ Five Dimes

Fredrik Jacobson to beat Mathew Goggin -105 @ Five Dimes

Bill Haas to beat Brett Wetterich -102 @ Five Dimes

Too many qualifying plays to provide write-ups for!
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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72 holes
@ Pinn
Perry -105 over Flesch
2:30pm 29-Apr-08 9:40am 1-May-08 Future Golf - Wachovia Championship - Tournament... -105

@ 5d
Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
Brett Quigley (Tourn) 5/1/2008 8:00:01 AM - (EST)
-120
Opponent: Chris DiMarco (Tourn)

Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
John Senden (Tourn) 5/1/2008 8:00:01 AM - (EST)
+100
Opponent: Billy Mayfair (Tourn)

Sport / Period: PGA Golf / Game
Line:
Charlie Wi (Tourn) 5/1/2008 8:00:01 AM - (EST)
-120
Opponent: Jerry Kelly (Tourn)
 

lostinamerica

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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
"(Quail Hollow) asks a lot of tough questions about your game." ~ Ernie Els


Outrights:

Boo Weekley(50/1) e.w.
- - I don't pick up a winning marker without strong reasons for doing so. After Boo won in 2007, it was the only time I ever picked up a winning marker and then made a wager against the player the following week (Boo shot in the 80's and comfortably lost his matchup) . . . I have had a 120-180 degree different expectation for Boo after cashing in on his win in 2008, and my marker ain't budging.

Stewart Cink(25/1) e.w.
- -
- - The player most due a win on the 2008 season is . . . Lee Westwood, head and shoulders above, IMO, by the ANGLES and INFORMATION that inform my decisions on Outrights (although value questions are a different layer of inquiry) . . . but Cink and Stenson then line up behind . . .

Davis Love(125/1) e.w.
- - Beginning with his first hole in Houston, every sign has pointed to an upswing in his game along with a good attitude about the game. Even though two steps forward can be followed by one step back, I see Davis on the verge of something close to the best his 44 year old self has in him, and these next few venues come at a good time for giving that hypothesis a fair test.

Geoff Ogilvy(20/1) e.w.
- - "(Quail Hollow) asks a lot of tough questions about your game." ~ Ernie Els

Lucas Glover(50/1) e.w.
- - Ask me for the names of some players "streaky good", and Paul Casey and Rory Sabbatini come immediately to mind. Maybe Lucas Glover wants to challenge for a spot in my conventional wisdom.

Stephen Ames(66/1) e.w.
- - Something is holding him back that he might be capable of overcoming, might not.


Matchups:

Senden(-130) over Johnson (Tournament)


GL
 
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Chip Hilton

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Round One on Thursday

Round One on Thursday

18 holes on Thursday:


3 Units:

Luke Donald over Steve Flesch&Ben Curtis @ +125L

Luke Donald over Steve Flesch @ -140.L

2 Units:

Brett Quigley over Chris DiMarco @ -120.L

Steven Ames over JB Holmes @ -150.W

1 Unit:

Ian Poulter over Paul Casey @ +100(Even).W
 
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Stanley

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Round 2 plays (2pts):

Boo Weekley to beat Andres Romero -115 @ Carib
Weekley is in the better form recently and he showed that yesterday: they both finished in 48th position, but Weekley ranked 4th in GIR, Romero 116th. With such poor ball-striking, Romero should struggled to match yeserday's round

Jeff Quinney to beat John Merrick -110 @ Five Dimes
Both players start the day in 4th place, but Quinney has more experience of such a lofty position and he will have the advantage of playing in the morning when the winds are forecast to be calmer than those ffaced by his opponent in the afternoon

Camilo Villegas to beat Stephen Ames -110 @ Bet365
Ames has finished ahead of Villegas only twice in their last eight common events, so I'll side with the more in-form player in this matchup

Tevor Immelman to beat Hunter Mahan +118 @ Pinnacle
With no indication that his poor round yesterday was due to injury, I'll back Immelman to bounce back today as he might only need to shoot 70 to make the cut, so there is value at these odds
 

Chip Hilton

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Round Two on Friday

Round Two on Friday

I was hoping to go against Paul Casey in any matchup today but missed his tee time. Of course he's +3 on the day so far. Oh well.:shrug:
(finished at +4)

Only one late pick looked good--

18 holes for Round Two:

3 Units:

Boo Weekly over Andres Romero @ -115. W

(thought Boo would be favored by more than that)
 
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accventures

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Saturday match-ups

Saturday match-ups

For the 3rd round:

O'Hern +120 over Couples (Lost 1 unit)
Pampling +130 over Mayfair (Won 1.3 units)
Curtis +130 over Slocum (Lost 1 unit)
Ogilvy +120 over VJ (Won 1.2 units)
Janzen +175 over Rory (Lost 1 unit)
Toms +145 over Snedeker (Won 1.45 units)
Boo -125 over Watney (Lost 1.25 units)
Quinney -110 over Lowery (Won 1 unit)
Flesch +120 over Mahan (Lost 1 unit)
Hart +210 over Furyk (Won 2.10 units)

WON 1.8 units
 
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Stanley

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Round 4 plays (2pts):

Vijay Singh to beat Phil Mickelson -105 @ Carib [also available at Five Dimes and Bet365]
Both players in 8th position, but with very different records in this situation: in the last 15 final rounds when 8th-14th, Mickelson averages 73.9 with just one round below 71; Singh averages over 3 shots per round better and over half of his rounds under 71

Nick O'Hern to beat J.B. Holmes +135 @ The Greek
O'Hern has beaten his opponent in two of the three times that they have been paired together and in four of the last five common events, so I'll take a chance on the tie losing with these odds at The Greek
 
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