Wales vs. Italy

[CranMan]

Will share this email I sent to UT-Longhorn

Dear UT-Longhorn-

On 10/25 at 2:30 a.m. (m.s.t.) Wales vs. Italy

I see on our forum that hoss has selected Wales -10

I found the following info. in the preview article on this match at *&^%$# #@*(^:

Italy played a bruising match just 4 days ago (10/21) vs. Canada & won 19 -14

In that match their Captain (#9) sustained an injury and had an early retirement and will play vs. Wales

Also, in that match Italy sustaind other injuries (2 top players will be out vs. Wales)

Wales last match was on 10/19 vs. Tonga & won 27 - 20 (we can assume the look away factor, resting players, etc. with the Italy match upcoming. Especially since in 2003 Italy defeated Wales on Italian turf, which was a first

At OLY the moneyline is Wales -340 and that will be my wager

Appreciate your input on NCAAF for tomorrow.

 

[hoss]

Hello Cranman, I'm still keen on this + it's still my biggest bet of the weekend All that you have posted is correct although I wouldn't exactly say Bortolami and Bergamasco were 'top players' - they've also dropped Manuel Dallan - very apt given the number of balls he dropped vs Tonga , this last move will help them no end.

Basically, I haven't been impressed with Italy at all - forget Wales last performance, they played a virtual second team - this back line is much better. The comment about Italy having played 3 days ago is critical - Canada gave them a proper going over + I really think their heads could drop if they get behind.

The money line play is fair enough, but I prefer the line at -10

hoss