Outrights YTD: 3-28 (-13.19*)
Matchups YTD: 0-1 (-1.25*)
Outrights:
J.B. Holmes(45/1) e.w.
- - I was liking this play as soon as J.B.?s name started climbing the leaderboard on Saturday at Torrey Pines . . . I think any overblown criticism from the whole world about the 72nd hole last week, and the support he certainly received from many of those closest to him, makes it even more likely J.B. plays well enough starting today to get in the mix here . . . but it adds some stressful variables on how things might finally play out.
Webb Simpson(40/1) e.w.
- - So at this point of the West Coast swing my first preference in finding plays outside the market leaders is trying to identify players that have shown a spark of form, to go along with some confirmed or maybe just suspected extra something in motivation (i.e., rebuilding after the anchor putting ban), but not fearing they are already overextended for some inevitable down turn. When I saw Webb?s record at the Phoenix bash he ticked just about every box for me.
Ryan Palmer (66/1) e.w.
- - I?m not thrilled that it?s his 4th straight event after he held the lead for so much of last week, but I heard enough over two days about how much he likes where ?his game is at? to take a flyer because of his excellent record here.
Alex Noren(40/1) e.w.
- - Can certainly be a crazy place when you are making your debut, but I?ve been happy backing Noren in the past in Europe when it comes to him sustaining his very best form.
Adam Hadwin(70/1) e.w.
- - I did my due diligence this week in research, and in recent weeks in tracking what's happening, and on that basis I?m pulling the trigger on Hadwin over Berger, Chappell, Hahn and, wait for it . . . Sabbatini.
Lucas Glover(125/1) e.w.
- - Not an event I feel good about for Glover, and it?s reflected in his price.
Hunter Mahan(250/1) e.w.
- - IMO he seems trending toward something of a revival, and even though it?s still too early, this former champ makes the cut for my last slot over former champ Mickelson.
GL