WC Futures Odds

[flapjack]

Anyone have better odds than the following with their books? I've got two books who use the same odds and them seem to be much crappier than what I've heard thrown around on the internet:

To Win World Cup
Brazil 4-1
Serbia 45-1
Mexico 70-1
Germany 9-1
Nigeria 85-1

To Win Group:
Serbia +350


To Qual:
Serbia -111
S Korea +215
S Africa +200


Top Goal Scorer - my book doesnt have it up yet, but I'm sure the odds will suck for:
Villa
Fabiano

 

[ninosaturnino]

4401 BRASIL +400
4402 ARGENTINA +600
4403 FRANCIA +2200
4404 ALEMANIA +900
4405 ITALIA +1000
4406 INGLATERRA +600
4407 PORTUGAL +2800
4408 HOLANDA +700
4409 ESPANA +350
4411 NIGERIA +8500
4412 CAMERUN +9000
4414 SUIZA +20000
4415 DINAMARCA +20000
4416 C.DE MARFIL +4000
4418 URUGUAY +10000
4419 MEXICO +4500
4422 SERBIA +8000
4423 SUDAFRICA +15000
4424 GHANA +8000
4425 ESTADOS UNIDOS +6600
4427 PARAGUAY +8000
4428 AUSTRALIA +15000
4430 JAPON +25000
4431 GRECIA +12500
4433 SUD COREA +25000
4437 ESLOVAQUIA +25000
4447 CHILE +3500
4467 ESLOVENIA +25000
4468 ARGELIA +40000
4469 HONDURAS +60000
4470 RDP COREA +80000
4471 N.ZELANDA +80000

 

[ninosaturnino]

compare serbia and mexico w/ ur bookie:

4419 MEXICO +4500
4422 SERBIA +8000
_______________________

Serbia 45-1
Mexico 70-1


i?m giving a good shot to england and spain...

 

[flapjack]

That is a pretty massive difference. Is that a book in Mexico? That would account for the bad odds on Mexico, but those are some really nice Serbia odds.

I placed a large one on Brazil when the odds first came out at around +450. I think they take it. But, I'm waiting to watch some games leading up and see who gets injured and who looks good. Teams from A-D seem like the way to go for long shots. None would face Spain or Brazil until the semis and I think the favs in those groups look vulnerable.
A - No real fav
B - Arg - A joke of a coach
C - England - Injury ?'s.
D - Germany - Ballack out

If Rooney's groin gives him prob's England is done. None of the others offer any real confidence. A Serbia, Mexico, Urugauy, Nigeria at huge odds could all make runs on that half of the bracket and leave a nice hedging bet in the semis. And, with the other side so strong, there's no guarentee Spain and/or Brazil will be sitting there waiting for them. Holland, Portugal, Italy, all have the potential of knocking them out and none of those teams will be in the way of any group A-D team until the semis as well.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

5dimes has brazil at +550 and Germany at +1250

 

[flapjack]

+550 for Brazil is about the best I've heard of or seen. I gotta check them out.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Germany's moved up and I like their chances better w/o Ballack. Got Netherlands at +1600 early and Brazil last week at +550. Probably gonna take Germany small and Spain a bit heavier as a hedge.

No one else but those 4 can win this thing.

 

[GoodGuesser]

Germany's moved up and I like their chances better w/o Ballack.

Why is this? You think he's fallen off that much? Who takes his minutes?

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

He's lost all leadership ability from the games I've seen. He took himself out of the ManCity game and got himself suspended when Chelsea needed him. He complains about all the youth being called up for the national team. And Germany historically relies on strength, but their entire group is probably bigger and stronger, so their going to have to rely on a different type of German squad anyway.