Weber State -7.5, and why

[NJO]

1) Recent patterns show Weber to be especially strong on the first of back-to-backs: last 3 were a close loss at tough Montana State (who leads the Big Sky at 5-0), a 12-point win at home vs N AZ, and a 19-point win at Montana -- my guess is Weber lacks the depth on the 2nd of back-to-backs, but has plenty of talent for that first night

2) In their true road games this year, Eastern Wash is 1-6 SU, with the only loss by less than 8 to St. Mary's (?), and that was by 6; off of a satisfying 3-game homestand (2 wins, and a close loss to Montana State), I anticipate a mild letdown here

3) Weber, at 3-3, has urgency in conference, and coming home off a road trip, will have that

4) Weber has lost at home to Eastern Wash 2 straight years, an extra motivating factor here

Weber State by 12-15 points here tonight over Eastern Wash.

Good luck!

 

[infinii]

Please don't take this the wrong way, I'm gonna tail you and fletcher on this but just wanted to make a point.

<b>"Weber has lost at home to Eastern Wash 2 straight years, an extra motivating factor here "</b>

Is it me or would a person who was betting on Eastern Washington see this trend as...

"EW owns Weber beating them last 2 years"

 

[buddy]

Dating back to 1999, Eastern Washington has beaten Weber State 3/5 SU.

Since my research doesn't show posted lines for these games, it's impossible to tell "who owns who".

LY, EWash won on the road, 81-70. The year before, Weber won on the road, 70-64.

 

[nighthorse]

I was on Weber St. when I first saw the line. E. Wash has been atrocious on the road. After looking at the numbers, I don't like em so much.

The one stat that stuck out for me is that WSU has let opponents shoot over 52% (54% to Sac. St - yuk) from the floor in Conference HOME games.

E. Wash couldn't score earlier in the year, but seems to have gotten it together now.

E. Wash avg. 21+ assists in conference games. They can pass to break down a defense. Given Weber's def fg%, it's looks as if their defense is easily broken down.

If you think their due for a letdown, then all this doesn't matter much. I don't know if there's gonna be a letdown or not, so I'm gonna take the points.....

Two out of three of us will be happy, you or me and the bookie.

Dont' ya just love it when you post a play and everybody pipes in on why it's wrong.......makes me want to win it that much more....if I'm wrong, I'll pay homage to you later.

 

[NJO]

I see infinii's point, but ultimately, home court advantage is something many teams hold near and dear to their heart, and I guess I view that more strongly than EW being supremely conifdent coming in.

They may be, but I see it differently. Certainly, there are reasons to back either side in every game, but this is the stand I am taking.

As far as shooting percentages go, I don't give that nearly the credibility that others do, so that has played a minimal role in my handicap here.

Good luck with whatever you choose to do. I'm on Weber for the stated reasons.

 

[KsYaS]

I'm seeing EW and they don't continue with they trends of LY'S.

Weber St. to win by 10+

 

[just cover]

NJO,

With ya on weber st. The main number to me is that E. Wash. is just plain horrible on the road as you have said. Good luck to us and lets make some cash.....

just cover

 

[nighthorse]

I was a fool......too much analysis. Good call!