Wednesday Hoops

[xerri]

9-12, -.4 units

Been getting killed on home dogs lately so trying something a little different. Getting this one in early as I think line may go up and will have rest tomorrow.

Mississippi St. -3.5, 2 units
Think MSU is the much more balanced team as Ole Miss relies exclusively on Reed and Harper for their scoring. MSU has much better depth and guard play. Reed has been prone to foul trouble because he has no help up front and I think he may have trouble with Roberts on the interior. Overestimated E. Carolina last time against Ole Miss but still don't have a lot of confidence in this team so will go against them again here as I think MSU wins by around 10.

 

[johnnyb.]

things will turn around...
i'll be at big game at tempe thursday! good luck

 

[xerri]

adding
Tennessee -7, 2 units
Georgia coming off a huge emotional win against #3 Ga. Tech so expect them to be flat for this game. Georgia doesn't shoot real well from the perimeter and doesn't have much quality depth so I look for them to struggle on the road in SEC play. Like the Vols to win by 10+ in this situation.

Minnesota -1.5, 1 unit
With the departure of Riley and Cameron, PSU becomes very thin and go only about 6 deep with little experience at the guard position. PSU doesn't have much size inside as Jagla isn't a great physical presence despite being 7 feet tall and I don't think they have anyone that can guard the freshman Humphries. Don't like Minny as a road team normally but think this is a very winnable game for them as I think PSU will struggle in conference play.

Indiana St. +5, 1 unit
Don't think the Salukis are quite as strong as in years past and they have played a lot of close games on the road. ISU playing pretty good at home winning their L3. Sycamores shoot 44% in 3's at home so think that can keep them in the game. Their problem has been rebounding at times but SIU not real strong in that area either so I expect them to keep the rebounding margin relatively close and expecting a close game.

BYU +3.5, 1 unit
Really like this BYU team as they have a balanced attack and think they are stronger inside than NCSU. Don't think the Pack has anyone that can stop Araujo and expecting BYU to hold the advantage on the glass. BYU's 2 losses were by a total of 3 points and I'm expecting another close game here that they could potentiall win so taking the points. Just hoping NC St. isn't on fire from 3 pt. range.

 

[xerri]

last ones for the night

N. Carolina -16, 1 unit
I know it looks like a lot of points to lay but feel this line is this high for a reason. Miami has played one of the weaker schedules in the country and has nothing in the frontcourt. Miami has very young guards and I look for their young backcourt to struggle in their 1st true road game in a place like Chapel Hill. I expect UNC to dominate this game coming off a loss and expect a big win at home.

UAB +1.5, 1 unit
More of a line play than anything. Just think the Blazers have a little too much scoring and ECU has struggled against quality teams so looking for the Blazers to come away with the win.

added another unit to Indiana St. for a total of 2 units

 

[xerri]

I lied, 1 more

S. Carolina +2, 1 unit
Been debating on this game all day, but think the line is moving down for a reason despite a lot of people being on the Gators. Florida not that strong inside and I wouldn't be surprised to see them get called for a lot of fouls with their aggressive play being on the road in the SEC. S. Carolina plays good defense and seems to be a team on the rise. Think they have a good shot at pulling off the upset here.