Wednesday Plays

superbook

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Jun 26, 2001
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Yesterday: 4-0 on posted plays here
CBB YTD: 87-68 +16 units

West Virginia -5
Cal Santa Barbara -7
Wright State +2.5 (-140)
New Mexico +3 (-130)
Pennsylvania -4.5

I've had good success in the past couple of nights beating the spread in intrastate and local rivalries which tend to be very close games (St. Louis - Missouri, Northern Iowa - Iowa)

I've got two of these tonight in which IMO the wrong team is favored:

Wright State

Sagerin ratings make Wright State 4.74 points better than Morehead State. Factoring in the home advantage for MSU, this game should still be a slight edge to Wright State.

MSU has won this match-up the last two years, 70-69 and 74-72.

IMO this years Wright State is better than last years version. They return 3 starters and lost some height underneath but are much quicker and the transfer brothers Cain and Seth Doliboa are making an immediate impact.

New Mexico

New Mexico is the better team here, my numbers have NM as 6 points better this year than NMS. Against common opponent Alcorn State, NMS won by ten 82-72 while New Mexico hammered them 87-55.

NMS won this match-up last year 79-68 at The Pit, I like New Mexico to revenge that loss.


I also love taking advantage of the Vegas linesmakers obvious bias against the Ivy.

Pennsylvania

UPenn is the class of the Ivy once again this year while Villanova is at the bottom of the Big East. My numbers have Penn as eight points better than 'Nova on an equal court and Penn is at home in this one.



[This message has been edited by superbook (edited 12-05-2001).]
 

superbook

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UPenn update:

This is junior point guard Andy Toole's last game for a while; he's having surgery on a stress fracture on Thursday and will be out 5-6 weeks. He'll start and play tonight.

Sophomore 6-9 center Adam Chubb is due back this week after suffering a stress fracture in pre-season. I don't know if he'll play tonight or wait until the game vs. St. Joe's but he'll be a big help as UPenn has been getting out-rebounded all season.

UPenn got eight votes in this weeks AP Top 25 poll. They've beaten Georgia Tech, Iowa State and lost a close one to Illinois.

Villanova has won this match-up the last five years, I'm sure UPenn would like to put an end to that streak tonight.
 

NJO

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Some fine info here, superbook -- thanks.

Question: are Wright State and Morehead that close together geographically?
 

superbook

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Technically Wright State and Morehead State are about a 5 hour drive apart. Wright State is in Dayton, OH and Morehead State is in Morehead, KY.

I grew up in Cincinnati which is mid-way between and I would characterize these two as local Tri-State (OH/IND/KY) schools. Morehead gets their players primary from KY/IND while Wright State players tend to be from OH/IND.

Since Morehead is in the Ohio Valley Conference, they play a lot of smaller Ohio schools. Wright State is a featured team on their schedule.
 
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