Last Night: 1-1
YTD: 20-21
Wednesday
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1)Florida State(-4)
Both FSU and Clemson lost tough games in overtime on Sunday. However, FSU gets to stay at home where the home crowd will help get them over that "tough loss hangover", whereas Clemson goes on the road following their heartbreaking loss to NC State. Big advantage to the home side.
The Tigers are just 3-6 after their 11-0 start. FSU is 3-3 in their last 6, but the 3 losses were by 3 pts to BC, 1 pt to UNC and the OT loss to Miami.
Let's compare some stats.........................
OFG%
Clemson on road....40.9%
FSU at home..........51.7%
O3FG%
Clemson on road.......28.3%
FSU at home..........41.0%
FT%
Clemson on road....56.3%.....cost them the game on Sunday
FSU at home.....69.0%
I have no problem laying this small number to the home side in this one.
2)Marquette(-4.5)
St.Johns is 10-8 on the year, but is only 1-4 on the road. Marquette is 15-6 on the year and a sparkling 10-2 at home. In fact, they are 9-3 in their last 12 overall with the losses coming to #11 West Virginia, #9 Pittsburgh and to Cinci. They also have a home win over UConn by 15 pts in that mix.
The stats........................................................
OFG%
St.J road.........41.9%
Marq home.....46.5%
O3FG%
St.J road.........25.6%
Marq home......42.0%
FT%
St.J road.......69.9%
Marq home.....75.9%
DFG%
St.J road......43.0%
Marq home .....38.3%
St.Johns has impressed with their home play but don't seem to be nearly as formidable on the road and tonight they meet a very, very good opponent.
3)Northwestern(+11.5)
A classic look ahead game for Indiana as they host #1 UConn in a nationally televised game on Saturday. Truth is, I don't think they have been playing all that well anyway, losing their last 2 by a combined 32 points. They are 1-5 ATS their last 6 overall and are 1-5 ATS at home this season.
The Wildcats are 10-8 on the year, and 3-4 on the road......not bad.......and are giving up just 59 points per game.
Too many points in what could be a flat spot for the Hoosiers.
4)Missouri(+11.5)
Another DD dog. Texas has won here the last 3 times by 6 (in OT), 2 and 3 pts.
This could be a let down game for the Longhorns after the Oklahoma loss on TV the other night. I mean, who gets up for Mizzu anymore???
The Tigers have lost 3 in a row but are 9-3 S/U at home this year, and are 3-0 in this new building against ranked opponents. I also feel the Big 12 is the toughest conference in the nation to lay points on the road, especially DD's.
Yes, Texas is the better team, but this is not a good spot for them to be laying DD's on the road.
Good luck out there tonight,
Tiger
YTD: 20-21
Wednesday
-------------------------------------------------------------------
1)Florida State(-4)
Both FSU and Clemson lost tough games in overtime on Sunday. However, FSU gets to stay at home where the home crowd will help get them over that "tough loss hangover", whereas Clemson goes on the road following their heartbreaking loss to NC State. Big advantage to the home side.
The Tigers are just 3-6 after their 11-0 start. FSU is 3-3 in their last 6, but the 3 losses were by 3 pts to BC, 1 pt to UNC and the OT loss to Miami.
Let's compare some stats.........................
OFG%
Clemson on road....40.9%
FSU at home..........51.7%
O3FG%
Clemson on road.......28.3%
FSU at home..........41.0%
FT%
Clemson on road....56.3%.....cost them the game on Sunday
FSU at home.....69.0%
I have no problem laying this small number to the home side in this one.
2)Marquette(-4.5)
St.Johns is 10-8 on the year, but is only 1-4 on the road. Marquette is 15-6 on the year and a sparkling 10-2 at home. In fact, they are 9-3 in their last 12 overall with the losses coming to #11 West Virginia, #9 Pittsburgh and to Cinci. They also have a home win over UConn by 15 pts in that mix.
The stats........................................................
OFG%
St.J road.........41.9%
Marq home.....46.5%
O3FG%
St.J road.........25.6%
Marq home......42.0%
FT%
St.J road.......69.9%
Marq home.....75.9%
DFG%
St.J road......43.0%
Marq home .....38.3%
St.Johns has impressed with their home play but don't seem to be nearly as formidable on the road and tonight they meet a very, very good opponent.
3)Northwestern(+11.5)
A classic look ahead game for Indiana as they host #1 UConn in a nationally televised game on Saturday. Truth is, I don't think they have been playing all that well anyway, losing their last 2 by a combined 32 points. They are 1-5 ATS their last 6 overall and are 1-5 ATS at home this season.
The Wildcats are 10-8 on the year, and 3-4 on the road......not bad.......and are giving up just 59 points per game.
Too many points in what could be a flat spot for the Hoosiers.
4)Missouri(+11.5)
Another DD dog. Texas has won here the last 3 times by 6 (in OT), 2 and 3 pts.
This could be a let down game for the Longhorns after the Oklahoma loss on TV the other night. I mean, who gets up for Mizzu anymore???
The Tigers have lost 3 in a row but are 9-3 S/U at home this year, and are 3-0 in this new building against ranked opponents. I also feel the Big 12 is the toughest conference in the nation to lay points on the road, especially DD's.
Yes, Texas is the better team, but this is not a good spot for them to be laying DD's on the road.
Good luck out there tonight,
Tiger
