Wizards vs. Rockets
Wizards vs. Rockets
The Rockets have lost their last three, and haven?t been able to win a game since McHale returned to the sidelines. However, they have had players in and out of the lineup during this time. They are coming off an overtime loss against the Spurs. I think they want to get a nice win tonight, and they are in the perfect spot to do it, against one of the worst teams in the league.
Teams coming off an away win as a dog, when they are playing away again on no rest are 3-19 SU (-9.6 ppg) and 7-15 ATS. Teams coming off a road win as a dog playing away and are a 10+ point dog are 26-202 SU since 1995 (-12.2 ppg). A home favorite of 10 or more against nonrested opponents off wins as dogs on the road are 76-12 SU (+11.5 ppg). The Wizards are 1-13 SU (-16.6 ppg) on the road after a win with no rest. The Wizards on no rest vs. western conference opponents on the road are 1-8 SU (-10 ppg) since 2010. You can even remove the no rest and they are 4-22 SU (-10.3 ppg).
The Rockets are 9-2 SU in their last 11 meetings with the Wizards (-8.6 ppg).
Whoopee the Wizards got a road win. They faced a team that is particularly bad on the offensive end in NO, and the only team in the league that has a better home record than themselves. They still only managed to score only 77 points. Nene is playing his first back to back this year after a hard fought double double in New Orleans, and I think he will struggle tonight.
The Rockets are the league?s top team at keeping opponents out of the paint and rank sixth in points allowed per halfcourt possession. Against a Wizards squad that will wear down in the second half, I think they will struggle to score tonight. Washington is also last in league in points in paint, and they have the worst floor efficiency rating in the league. Against a high scoring Rockets team, they are in trouble tonight.
Finally, Washington on the road as dog with a total of 205 or greater is 1-15 SU (-11.2 ppg) in their last 16, giving up an average of 114.6 ppg.
Houston 118-97
