- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 96-70-4 (+24.7)
OU: 55-47-1 (+3.1)
ML dogs: 2-6 (+.1)
There have been 40 overtime games so far this season, and I have lost under bets in at least five of them. There may be more, but those are the ones I tracked down. Two in the last five days. Doesn?t seem like a huge difference, but my totals could be 60-42 (+13.6) instead of what they are. I guess that is why you have to be really good at totals to make a profit in the long run, because around 6.7% of games each season go into overtime, and that can really hurt under bettors. :facepalm:
I try to operate with a very short-term memory when it comes to sports gambling. Big ticket today. There was a lot I liked, but tried to be selective. Need to turn this losing streak around!
Cavs
The Blazers are the third to last team in the league in points in the paint. They rely on jump shooting. They are fifth in the league in percentage of points from long range. When teams get tired, their legs go and their shots fall short. The Blazers played a sloppy game in Denver. The Cavs have forced opponents into 19 turnovers in their first three games on their road trip and they rank fourth in the NBA in turnovers forced. This could be problematic for the Blazers tonight.
Both the Blazers and Cavs are in the bottom ten in the league in field goal percentage allowed There can actually be continuity to being in the middle of a road trip, as opposed to bouncing back and forth from road games to home games, as Portland has done in their last four games.
Portland has covered four straight games, even though they lost their last three. They have really clawed their way back in the fourth quarter of each of these games. Last night they were down seven with five minutes to go and forced overtime. In the game before, they were down 10 with 3:30 to go and cut the lead to two. Against the Warriors they were down 11 with 2:30 to go and lost by 6. Finally, versus Miami they were down 10 with 6:30 to go and won by 2. I wouldn?t go so far as to say that they got lucky - but they sure played damn hard, and that can take a toll on future performances in the short run. Portland's last three games have been decided by a combined 14 points, and with the last one being decided in overtime, this can be taxing mentally.
It is well established that the Blazers have the worst bench in the league. Last night they combined for just 12 of the Blazers 111 points. Four of their five starters played over 42 minutes. Their bench logs by far the fewest minutes of any team in the league. With the schedule they have faced, I just can?t see them hanging around at the end of the game tonight.
The Cavs lost in double overtime at home earlier this season to Portland without Kyrie Irving, and I think they will be highly motivated for this game tonight.
Cavaliers +7 x2
Cavaliers ML +240
Atlanta -3
Hornets +7.5
Cavs-Blazers UNDER 197
Magic-Pacers UNDER 186.5
Rockets-Mavs OVER 214
Good luck...
OU: 55-47-1 (+3.1)
ML dogs: 2-6 (+.1)
There have been 40 overtime games so far this season, and I have lost under bets in at least five of them. There may be more, but those are the ones I tracked down. Two in the last five days. Doesn?t seem like a huge difference, but my totals could be 60-42 (+13.6) instead of what they are. I guess that is why you have to be really good at totals to make a profit in the long run, because around 6.7% of games each season go into overtime, and that can really hurt under bettors. :facepalm:
I try to operate with a very short-term memory when it comes to sports gambling. Big ticket today. There was a lot I liked, but tried to be selective. Need to turn this losing streak around!
Cavs
The Blazers are the third to last team in the league in points in the paint. They rely on jump shooting. They are fifth in the league in percentage of points from long range. When teams get tired, their legs go and their shots fall short. The Blazers played a sloppy game in Denver. The Cavs have forced opponents into 19 turnovers in their first three games on their road trip and they rank fourth in the NBA in turnovers forced. This could be problematic for the Blazers tonight.
Both the Blazers and Cavs are in the bottom ten in the league in field goal percentage allowed There can actually be continuity to being in the middle of a road trip, as opposed to bouncing back and forth from road games to home games, as Portland has done in their last four games.
Portland has covered four straight games, even though they lost their last three. They have really clawed their way back in the fourth quarter of each of these games. Last night they were down seven with five minutes to go and forced overtime. In the game before, they were down 10 with 3:30 to go and cut the lead to two. Against the Warriors they were down 11 with 2:30 to go and lost by 6. Finally, versus Miami they were down 10 with 6:30 to go and won by 2. I wouldn?t go so far as to say that they got lucky - but they sure played damn hard, and that can take a toll on future performances in the short run. Portland's last three games have been decided by a combined 14 points, and with the last one being decided in overtime, this can be taxing mentally.
It is well established that the Blazers have the worst bench in the league. Last night they combined for just 12 of the Blazers 111 points. Four of their five starters played over 42 minutes. Their bench logs by far the fewest minutes of any team in the league. With the schedule they have faced, I just can?t see them hanging around at the end of the game tonight.
The Cavs lost in double overtime at home earlier this season to Portland without Kyrie Irving, and I think they will be highly motivated for this game tonight.
Cavaliers +7 x2
Cavaliers ML +240
Atlanta -3
Hornets +7.5
Cavs-Blazers UNDER 197
Magic-Pacers UNDER 186.5
Rockets-Mavs OVER 214
Good luck...
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