- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 112-80-5 (+35.5)
OU: 63-54-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 4-7 (+3.05)
Jazz
The Jazz are coming off a humiliating home loss, the worst in their franchise history. Since the 2006 season, the Jazz are 16-3 SU as a home favorite after a loss as a home favorite, winning by an average of 10.2 ppg. Since the 2003 season, teams playing as a home favorite with more rest than their opponent are 58-17 SU (+10.8 ppg) and 49-26 ATS (average line -8.5) when their next game is also at home, and they are coming off a double digit loss as a favorite
The Hornets are 3-11 SU (-10.8 ppg) and 6-8 ATS as a road dog after a road loss where they covered the spread. Teams coming off a road loss as a dog when they covered the spread and are playing on the road as a dog between 4 and 9 points seeking same season revenge for a home loss are 16-66 SU and 28-50 ATS since the 2006 season.
Since the 2001 season, teams playing as a 4.5 or more point favorite coming off a 40+ point loss are 5-1 SU (+10.5) and 5-1 ATS. I just had to throw that trend in there, haha. Since the 2009 season, teams playing as a home favorite when they beat their opponent on the road in the same season as a favorite are 35-5 SU (+12.0) and 24-16 ATS after a home loss as a favorite. Since last season, teams playing on the road as a dog after two road games where they covered the spread are 13-53 SU (-8.9) and 26-39-1 ATS.
Teams playing in a conference game as a road dog are 5-26 SU (-11.3) and 9-20-2 ATS since the 2005 season after a loss when the game went over the total and they covered the spread, if their opponent is coming off a loss as a favorite.
The Jazz are 17-0 SU (+17.5 ppg) and ATS playing as a favorite if they are rested after a home loss where they gave up 15 or more points than expected since the 1995 season.
Ty Corbin: ?This team has shown a lot of grit and character all year long, and we'll respond. We don't feel sorry for ourselves.?
Nets
Teams seeking home revenge for two double digit losses against the same opponent in the same season are 32-19 at home during the regular season (average line of -2.5) since the 2000 season when they have a winning record.
The Heat playing after an overtime game are 3-6 SU and ATS since the 2010 season. After an overtime loss, they are 0-3 SU (-7.7 ppg) and ATS. The Heat playing on the road as a favorite are 3-6 SU (-5.7 ppg) and 2-7 ATS in their last nine when their opponent is off a double digit win. This season, the Heat are 2-6 SU and ATS on the road against teams with a winning record (they were favored in all but one of these games).
The Nets have not won a game against the Heat since March 2009, losing twelve in a row. But they are playing great right now, and have not lost a home game yet under Carlesimo. The Nets are 4-1 at home this season against Eastern conference opponents with a winning record. I?m not going stat and trend crazy on this one - if I would, most would point toward the Heat. But I have been watching the Nets closely this season, and I think they are playing tough right now and have a very balanced team that can beat anyone on any given night.
?It?s definitely a good challenge for us,? Brook Lopez said. ?It?s a good test. It?ll be a fun contest. The first [game] was earlier in the season, and the second one, we were there with them for three quarters before it got away. I think we can give them a really good game [tonight].?
Rockets
I like to bet on a team when they are meeting a comparable opponent for the third time in the same season, after losing the first two matchups. Same conference opponents that have lost the two previous matchups in the same season are 25-15 ATS (average line +4.7) in the third game when playing on the road if both teams have a winning record (this trend is also active on Chicago today) since the 2010 season.
Teams playing as a dog coming off two double digit wins when their opponent is coming off of three games where they scored more than 100 points are 32-32 SU and 45-18 ATS since the 2005 season. Teams playing as a road dog coming off a 20+ point road dog win are 16-21 SU and 23-14 ATS against a team coming off a home win of 2 or less since the 1995 season.
The Rockets are a streaky team. They are either clicking on all cylinders, or they look like they can?t play at all. Right now, they are full steam ahead, and until they are derailed, I?m rolling with them.
Jazz -7
Rockets +4.5
Nets +2.5
Good luck...
OU: 63-54-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 4-7 (+3.05)
Jazz
The Jazz are coming off a humiliating home loss, the worst in their franchise history. Since the 2006 season, the Jazz are 16-3 SU as a home favorite after a loss as a home favorite, winning by an average of 10.2 ppg. Since the 2003 season, teams playing as a home favorite with more rest than their opponent are 58-17 SU (+10.8 ppg) and 49-26 ATS (average line -8.5) when their next game is also at home, and they are coming off a double digit loss as a favorite
The Hornets are 3-11 SU (-10.8 ppg) and 6-8 ATS as a road dog after a road loss where they covered the spread. Teams coming off a road loss as a dog when they covered the spread and are playing on the road as a dog between 4 and 9 points seeking same season revenge for a home loss are 16-66 SU and 28-50 ATS since the 2006 season.
Since the 2001 season, teams playing as a 4.5 or more point favorite coming off a 40+ point loss are 5-1 SU (+10.5) and 5-1 ATS. I just had to throw that trend in there, haha. Since the 2009 season, teams playing as a home favorite when they beat their opponent on the road in the same season as a favorite are 35-5 SU (+12.0) and 24-16 ATS after a home loss as a favorite. Since last season, teams playing on the road as a dog after two road games where they covered the spread are 13-53 SU (-8.9) and 26-39-1 ATS.
Teams playing in a conference game as a road dog are 5-26 SU (-11.3) and 9-20-2 ATS since the 2005 season after a loss when the game went over the total and they covered the spread, if their opponent is coming off a loss as a favorite.
The Jazz are 17-0 SU (+17.5 ppg) and ATS playing as a favorite if they are rested after a home loss where they gave up 15 or more points than expected since the 1995 season.
Ty Corbin: ?This team has shown a lot of grit and character all year long, and we'll respond. We don't feel sorry for ourselves.?
Nets
Teams seeking home revenge for two double digit losses against the same opponent in the same season are 32-19 at home during the regular season (average line of -2.5) since the 2000 season when they have a winning record.
The Heat playing after an overtime game are 3-6 SU and ATS since the 2010 season. After an overtime loss, they are 0-3 SU (-7.7 ppg) and ATS. The Heat playing on the road as a favorite are 3-6 SU (-5.7 ppg) and 2-7 ATS in their last nine when their opponent is off a double digit win. This season, the Heat are 2-6 SU and ATS on the road against teams with a winning record (they were favored in all but one of these games).
The Nets have not won a game against the Heat since March 2009, losing twelve in a row. But they are playing great right now, and have not lost a home game yet under Carlesimo. The Nets are 4-1 at home this season against Eastern conference opponents with a winning record. I?m not going stat and trend crazy on this one - if I would, most would point toward the Heat. But I have been watching the Nets closely this season, and I think they are playing tough right now and have a very balanced team that can beat anyone on any given night.
?It?s definitely a good challenge for us,? Brook Lopez said. ?It?s a good test. It?ll be a fun contest. The first [game] was earlier in the season, and the second one, we were there with them for three quarters before it got away. I think we can give them a really good game [tonight].?
Rockets
I like to bet on a team when they are meeting a comparable opponent for the third time in the same season, after losing the first two matchups. Same conference opponents that have lost the two previous matchups in the same season are 25-15 ATS (average line +4.7) in the third game when playing on the road if both teams have a winning record (this trend is also active on Chicago today) since the 2010 season.
Teams playing as a dog coming off two double digit wins when their opponent is coming off of three games where they scored more than 100 points are 32-32 SU and 45-18 ATS since the 2005 season. Teams playing as a road dog coming off a 20+ point road dog win are 16-21 SU and 23-14 ATS against a team coming off a home win of 2 or less since the 1995 season.
The Rockets are a streaky team. They are either clicking on all cylinders, or they look like they can?t play at all. Right now, they are full steam ahead, and until they are derailed, I?m rolling with them.
Jazz -7
Rockets +4.5
Nets +2.5
Good luck...
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