08:05 PM MLB [901] Chicago Cubs -109 ( J Lackey - R / J Urias - L )
08:05 PM NHL [52] New York Rangers -165
08:05 PM NHL [53] TOTAL o5.5 -110 (Toronto Maple Leafs vrs Winnipeg Jets)
10:05 PM NBA Valley View Casino Center - San Diego, CA [713] Golden State Warriors -8-119
1 unit bet pays 9.82......yesterday's 7-teamer lost by 1 leg: all six NHL came in, but not the MLB..
I read here: "Coach Steve Kerr said he wants to get his starters around 30 minutes in the next two preseason games.
He added the starters will get minutes in the fourth quarter. The Warriors have come together nicely, especially with both Klay Thompson and Kevin Durant each clearing 75.0 true shooting percentage."
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Red Wings vs. Rangers
Pick: Rangers
The Rangers picked up their second win of the season (2-1-0) with a 7-4 victory Monday night at Madison Square Garden over the San Jose Sharks. Seven different players scored in the 7-4 win as LW Chris Kreider, a 20-plus goal scorer the last three seasons, has recorded a goal and an assist in each of the first three games. Kreider is the first Ranger to notch six points in the season's first three games since Brian Leetch in 1992-93 and the first to open with three straight multi-point games since Bernie Nicholls (1990-91).
The Red Wings reached the playoffs for the 25th consecutive time last year, which is the longest active streak in the NHL. However, Detroit was eliminated in the first round of the NHL playoffs by the Tampa Lightning in five games. Detroit suffered a YUGE loss over the summer when center Pavel Datsyuk decided to return home to Russia. The Red Wings opened the new season losing 6-4 at Tampa Bay and then 4-1 at Florida, before winning 5-1 at home against Ottawa. Nine players had points in Monday?s win, led by defenseman Mike Green?s hat trick (the first of his career) and new acquisition LW Thomas Vanek, who contributed three assists.
However, the Red Wings are back on the road tonight (0-2, getting outscored 10-5) to face the Rangers at Madison Square Garden, where New York has won both games played there since the start of the season. The Rangers enter this game with 18 different players having contributed at least one point and here at ?The World?s Most Famous Arena,? the Rangers have scored 12 goals in two games. Meanwhile, the Red Wings come in having allowed 10
Maple Leafs vs. Jets
Play: Jets -125
I'll back the Jets in Winnipeg on Wednesday night as the first and second overall picks in last June's draft go head-to-head for the first time in NHL action.
Winnipeg is off to a 1-2 start but it's not all disappointment. Rookies Patrick Laine and Kyle Connor have shown flashes of brilliance while sophomore Nik Ehlers also appears ready to take a big step forward. The Jets have been entertaining to say the least, even if they did take a bit of a step back in Monday's 4-1 loss to the Bruins.
They'll take a step back down in class here, as they welcome the upstart Leafs to MTS Centre.
The Leafs are coming off a big home win over the aforementioned Bruins on Saturday, and have now collected at least a point in each of their first two games. Note that Toronto has yet to click on the power play, going scoreless in eight opportunities so far.
Winnipeg has certainly had Toronto's number in recent years, taking seven of the last eight meetings in this series. I look for that trend to continue here.
LOS ANGELES -104 over Chicago
It wasn?t really a bad pitch that Jake Arrieta threw to Yasmani Grandal. He?d certainly thrown worse. When Arrieta cut loose a 3-2 sinker at 93 miles per hour in the bottom of the fourth inning on Tuesday night in Los Angeles, the Dodgers already led the Cubs 1-0, thanks to a hanging slider righteously thwacked for an RBI single by Corey Seager the inning before.
Rich Hill, meanwhile, had perfectly good feel for the breaking ball that made him the successor to Arrieta?s quickly fading storyline. He threw 51 curveballs in 93 total pitches, and the Cubs were befuddled. Hill also had great success on a handful of big pitches that saw him drop down and fire a cross-body fastball when he needed a strike to terminate a rally or a long at-bat.
The Cubs fielded more or less their best offensive unit, but Hill, Joe Blanton, Grant, Dayton and Kenley Jansen are great pitchers, and the few mistakes they made, they survived. Most of Chicago?s offense seems to be mired in a funk right now, able to work at-bats to some extent, but not able to put their best swings on the ball, nor create consistent hard contact. Too many good swings led to foul balls, and there were too few good swings. There, too, we should note something: hard contact is not actually a specialty of the Cubs. The Dodgers? hitters were fourth in MLB in average exit velocity this season. Fellow playoff teams topped the leaderboard: Washington, Baltimore, Toronto. The Red Sox were sixth. The Rangers were 12th. The Indians were 15th. The Cubs were 24th. Maybe the Cubs don?t have the offensive firepower to hit their way to the World Series, even though they had everything they needed to post some of the best numbers in MLB this season. Then again, maybe they?re just slumping at the wrong time, and running smack into arguably, the best pitching staff in baseball while doing so. Things do not figure to get easier here either.
Julio Urias was one of the top 15 most skilled young starters in 2016 at age 19 with 10.1 K?s/9, 3.2 BB?s/9 and 44% groundballs. Two of his command sub-indicators support his strong level of command too (11% swing and miss rate, 64% first-pitch strike rate). Urias attacks hitters with a plus fastball that sits in the mid-90s mph and can reach 97 mph from a lefty. He commands that fastball to both sides of the plate and usually keeps it down. His curveball is also plus, and reaches around 80 mph. His change-up is also plus (getting the picture yet?). He even throws an occasional slider. To top it all off, he knows how to pitch as if he were a veteran. He knows how to change speeds and keep hitters off balance by pitching backwards. He?s about to emerge into elite status and this is the stage to do it on. That this phenom is a dog at home to John Lackey is a reflection of the market?s unfamiliarity with him.
There is no need to go over Lackey?s credentials. Lackey had a great season at age 37 and he?s not going to show anyone what they haven?t seen before. Lackey?s skills are no better or worse than they?ve been for years. His 3.90 xERA says he?s just as likely to give up four runs as he is two runs. We?ll take either and it?s worth noting again that the Dodgers torch right-handed pitchers.
Surely, the Cubs will take at least some solace in having gotten Jansen into the game last night for 21 pitches when the Dodgers didn?t clearly need him. Dave Roberts will have to wear that one if Jansen is needed in each of the next two games, and begins to look ragged. On the other hand, Roberts beat Joe Maddon soundly during a sequence in the seventh inning. He used Joe Blanton for the seventh inning, rather than the eighth, because Baez, Jorge Soler, and Addison Russell were due to bat. Maddon responded with some too-cute pinch-hitters, and then had to scramble his defense in the bottom of the seventh. Roberts got all the matchups he wanted Tuesday night, on the mound and at the plate. He?s not yet fully atoned for his earlier managerial sins this month, but he?s getting there. If Dodgers? pitchers keep executing this well, and if their sluggers keep finding ways to barrel up Cubs pitching, the memory of those ugly intentional walks will eventually drown in champagne. The Cubbies, for the first time all season long, are feeling the heat and up against it and that is not the right time to step in. Wrong side favored.
Thursday:
Miami / Virginia Tech Over 51
Both of these teams are coming off terrible offensive performances last week against horrible defenses. Tech managed just 17 points against Syracuse on the road while Miami mustered just 13 points against North Carolina. Both Miami and VT were in letdown spots from the previous weekend and both played like it. Miami missed its total by over 30 points and the Hokies were close to doing the same. But prior to last week Tech had been averaging around 40 points per game in their previous four while Miami was putting up a hefty 34 per game in its previous four. I see both teams scoring in the 20's and the winner will probably reach the low-30's. Both new coaches are offensive-minded guys, a change for both programs, and I think they will both bounce back from their losses with points. The 'over' is 4-1 in Virginia Tech's last five home games and the 'over' is 4-1 in Miami's last five games after being held below 20 points. This has generally been a low-scoring series, but I see a breakout here.
Boise State -7
These teams have been playing annually since 2012. The home team has been dominant the last 3 years with margins of victories all by double digits. In 2014, Boise put up 637 yards of offense against BYU on their home field.
Revenge is an angle here and so is the fade on teams coming off an overtime win like BYU. It?s because a let down usually occurs, especially for a team like BYU that had to rally to tie the game then win it in overtime. Boise State?s last 3 wins have not been as dominant as one would have thought and the Broncos are only 2-4 ATS on the season, but this is a single digit spread and one that presents value. There is value because Boise has been a double digit favorite in ALL 6 of their games this year and are only 2-4 ATS, so the oddsmaker has to adjust.
On the other hand, BYU is 4-0 ATS as an underdog to there is an adjustment being made for the Cougars also. This line opened up offshore at Boise -10, before settling at -7 across the board 24 hours later. It?s not often when you see the majority of bets on the underdog, like BYU, which is the case here. I am generally an underdog bettor, but in this case, I want to lay the points with Boise State as I feel that is where the value is. Upon digging deeper, I found that Boise State is 15-0 SU their last 15 home games when at home and a favorite of 10 points or less. They are 14-1 ATS in these 15 games!
The oddsmaker has been forced to make this line smaller than what it should be based on BYU?s close games this year and also on the account that Boise has not been a good covering team. ( I will note that we have seen some Boise State spreads go up (move) on gameday and wouldn?t be surprised if this one does the same thing).
BYU?s losses against Utah (1 point) and UCLA (3 points) don?t look as good as they once did with both of teams struggling this year. The same can be said with their 2 point win against Arizona. The Cougars have been out gained in 4 of their 6 games overall. Their running back, Jamaal Williams is ranked 4th in the nation with 134 yards a game, but QB Taysom Hill is ranked 87th in passer rating. The Broncos will stack the box and force Hill to beat them through the air which I don't? see happening. Hill has thrown 5 interceptions while on his own side of the field and has only a 114 QB rating on 3rd downs.
Boise State?s Brett Rypien has 9 TD/0 INT mark his last 4 games. He has a 159 QB rating on 3rd downs. He has a 192 QB rating in the red zone. BYU is ranked #100 in pass defense this year and I see this Boise State team being the more well rounded offensive team with a running and passing game on offense. I am looking for a final score in the 38-20 range as the Broncos home field is huge here and BYU?s brutal schedule finally takes a toll on them.
08:05 PM NHL [52] New York Rangers -165
08:05 PM NHL [53] TOTAL o5.5 -110 (Toronto Maple Leafs vrs Winnipeg Jets)
10:05 PM NBA Valley View Casino Center - San Diego, CA [713] Golden State Warriors -8-119
1 unit bet pays 9.82......yesterday's 7-teamer lost by 1 leg: all six NHL came in, but not the MLB..
I read here: "Coach Steve Kerr said he wants to get his starters around 30 minutes in the next two preseason games.
He added the starters will get minutes in the fourth quarter. The Warriors have come together nicely, especially with both Klay Thompson and Kevin Durant each clearing 75.0 true shooting percentage."
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Red Wings vs. Rangers
Pick: Rangers
The Rangers picked up their second win of the season (2-1-0) with a 7-4 victory Monday night at Madison Square Garden over the San Jose Sharks. Seven different players scored in the 7-4 win as LW Chris Kreider, a 20-plus goal scorer the last three seasons, has recorded a goal and an assist in each of the first three games. Kreider is the first Ranger to notch six points in the season's first three games since Brian Leetch in 1992-93 and the first to open with three straight multi-point games since Bernie Nicholls (1990-91).
The Red Wings reached the playoffs for the 25th consecutive time last year, which is the longest active streak in the NHL. However, Detroit was eliminated in the first round of the NHL playoffs by the Tampa Lightning in five games. Detroit suffered a YUGE loss over the summer when center Pavel Datsyuk decided to return home to Russia. The Red Wings opened the new season losing 6-4 at Tampa Bay and then 4-1 at Florida, before winning 5-1 at home against Ottawa. Nine players had points in Monday?s win, led by defenseman Mike Green?s hat trick (the first of his career) and new acquisition LW Thomas Vanek, who contributed three assists.
However, the Red Wings are back on the road tonight (0-2, getting outscored 10-5) to face the Rangers at Madison Square Garden, where New York has won both games played there since the start of the season. The Rangers enter this game with 18 different players having contributed at least one point and here at ?The World?s Most Famous Arena,? the Rangers have scored 12 goals in two games. Meanwhile, the Red Wings come in having allowed 10
Maple Leafs vs. Jets
Play: Jets -125
I'll back the Jets in Winnipeg on Wednesday night as the first and second overall picks in last June's draft go head-to-head for the first time in NHL action.
Winnipeg is off to a 1-2 start but it's not all disappointment. Rookies Patrick Laine and Kyle Connor have shown flashes of brilliance while sophomore Nik Ehlers also appears ready to take a big step forward. The Jets have been entertaining to say the least, even if they did take a bit of a step back in Monday's 4-1 loss to the Bruins.
They'll take a step back down in class here, as they welcome the upstart Leafs to MTS Centre.
The Leafs are coming off a big home win over the aforementioned Bruins on Saturday, and have now collected at least a point in each of their first two games. Note that Toronto has yet to click on the power play, going scoreless in eight opportunities so far.
Winnipeg has certainly had Toronto's number in recent years, taking seven of the last eight meetings in this series. I look for that trend to continue here.
LOS ANGELES -104 over Chicago
It wasn?t really a bad pitch that Jake Arrieta threw to Yasmani Grandal. He?d certainly thrown worse. When Arrieta cut loose a 3-2 sinker at 93 miles per hour in the bottom of the fourth inning on Tuesday night in Los Angeles, the Dodgers already led the Cubs 1-0, thanks to a hanging slider righteously thwacked for an RBI single by Corey Seager the inning before.
Rich Hill, meanwhile, had perfectly good feel for the breaking ball that made him the successor to Arrieta?s quickly fading storyline. He threw 51 curveballs in 93 total pitches, and the Cubs were befuddled. Hill also had great success on a handful of big pitches that saw him drop down and fire a cross-body fastball when he needed a strike to terminate a rally or a long at-bat.
The Cubs fielded more or less their best offensive unit, but Hill, Joe Blanton, Grant, Dayton and Kenley Jansen are great pitchers, and the few mistakes they made, they survived. Most of Chicago?s offense seems to be mired in a funk right now, able to work at-bats to some extent, but not able to put their best swings on the ball, nor create consistent hard contact. Too many good swings led to foul balls, and there were too few good swings. There, too, we should note something: hard contact is not actually a specialty of the Cubs. The Dodgers? hitters were fourth in MLB in average exit velocity this season. Fellow playoff teams topped the leaderboard: Washington, Baltimore, Toronto. The Red Sox were sixth. The Rangers were 12th. The Indians were 15th. The Cubs were 24th. Maybe the Cubs don?t have the offensive firepower to hit their way to the World Series, even though they had everything they needed to post some of the best numbers in MLB this season. Then again, maybe they?re just slumping at the wrong time, and running smack into arguably, the best pitching staff in baseball while doing so. Things do not figure to get easier here either.
Julio Urias was one of the top 15 most skilled young starters in 2016 at age 19 with 10.1 K?s/9, 3.2 BB?s/9 and 44% groundballs. Two of his command sub-indicators support his strong level of command too (11% swing and miss rate, 64% first-pitch strike rate). Urias attacks hitters with a plus fastball that sits in the mid-90s mph and can reach 97 mph from a lefty. He commands that fastball to both sides of the plate and usually keeps it down. His curveball is also plus, and reaches around 80 mph. His change-up is also plus (getting the picture yet?). He even throws an occasional slider. To top it all off, he knows how to pitch as if he were a veteran. He knows how to change speeds and keep hitters off balance by pitching backwards. He?s about to emerge into elite status and this is the stage to do it on. That this phenom is a dog at home to John Lackey is a reflection of the market?s unfamiliarity with him.
There is no need to go over Lackey?s credentials. Lackey had a great season at age 37 and he?s not going to show anyone what they haven?t seen before. Lackey?s skills are no better or worse than they?ve been for years. His 3.90 xERA says he?s just as likely to give up four runs as he is two runs. We?ll take either and it?s worth noting again that the Dodgers torch right-handed pitchers.
Surely, the Cubs will take at least some solace in having gotten Jansen into the game last night for 21 pitches when the Dodgers didn?t clearly need him. Dave Roberts will have to wear that one if Jansen is needed in each of the next two games, and begins to look ragged. On the other hand, Roberts beat Joe Maddon soundly during a sequence in the seventh inning. He used Joe Blanton for the seventh inning, rather than the eighth, because Baez, Jorge Soler, and Addison Russell were due to bat. Maddon responded with some too-cute pinch-hitters, and then had to scramble his defense in the bottom of the seventh. Roberts got all the matchups he wanted Tuesday night, on the mound and at the plate. He?s not yet fully atoned for his earlier managerial sins this month, but he?s getting there. If Dodgers? pitchers keep executing this well, and if their sluggers keep finding ways to barrel up Cubs pitching, the memory of those ugly intentional walks will eventually drown in champagne. The Cubbies, for the first time all season long, are feeling the heat and up against it and that is not the right time to step in. Wrong side favored.
Thursday:
Miami / Virginia Tech Over 51
Both of these teams are coming off terrible offensive performances last week against horrible defenses. Tech managed just 17 points against Syracuse on the road while Miami mustered just 13 points against North Carolina. Both Miami and VT were in letdown spots from the previous weekend and both played like it. Miami missed its total by over 30 points and the Hokies were close to doing the same. But prior to last week Tech had been averaging around 40 points per game in their previous four while Miami was putting up a hefty 34 per game in its previous four. I see both teams scoring in the 20's and the winner will probably reach the low-30's. Both new coaches are offensive-minded guys, a change for both programs, and I think they will both bounce back from their losses with points. The 'over' is 4-1 in Virginia Tech's last five home games and the 'over' is 4-1 in Miami's last five games after being held below 20 points. This has generally been a low-scoring series, but I see a breakout here.
Boise State -7
These teams have been playing annually since 2012. The home team has been dominant the last 3 years with margins of victories all by double digits. In 2014, Boise put up 637 yards of offense against BYU on their home field.
Revenge is an angle here and so is the fade on teams coming off an overtime win like BYU. It?s because a let down usually occurs, especially for a team like BYU that had to rally to tie the game then win it in overtime. Boise State?s last 3 wins have not been as dominant as one would have thought and the Broncos are only 2-4 ATS on the season, but this is a single digit spread and one that presents value. There is value because Boise has been a double digit favorite in ALL 6 of their games this year and are only 2-4 ATS, so the oddsmaker has to adjust.
On the other hand, BYU is 4-0 ATS as an underdog to there is an adjustment being made for the Cougars also. This line opened up offshore at Boise -10, before settling at -7 across the board 24 hours later. It?s not often when you see the majority of bets on the underdog, like BYU, which is the case here. I am generally an underdog bettor, but in this case, I want to lay the points with Boise State as I feel that is where the value is. Upon digging deeper, I found that Boise State is 15-0 SU their last 15 home games when at home and a favorite of 10 points or less. They are 14-1 ATS in these 15 games!
The oddsmaker has been forced to make this line smaller than what it should be based on BYU?s close games this year and also on the account that Boise has not been a good covering team. ( I will note that we have seen some Boise State spreads go up (move) on gameday and wouldn?t be surprised if this one does the same thing).
BYU?s losses against Utah (1 point) and UCLA (3 points) don?t look as good as they once did with both of teams struggling this year. The same can be said with their 2 point win against Arizona. The Cougars have been out gained in 4 of their 6 games overall. Their running back, Jamaal Williams is ranked 4th in the nation with 134 yards a game, but QB Taysom Hill is ranked 87th in passer rating. The Broncos will stack the box and force Hill to beat them through the air which I don't? see happening. Hill has thrown 5 interceptions while on his own side of the field and has only a 114 QB rating on 3rd downs.
Boise State?s Brett Rypien has 9 TD/0 INT mark his last 4 games. He has a 159 QB rating on 3rd downs. He has a 192 QB rating in the red zone. BYU is ranked #100 in pass defense this year and I see this Boise State team being the more well rounded offensive team with a running and passing game on offense. I am looking for a final score in the 38-20 range as the Broncos home field is huge here and BYU?s brutal schedule finally takes a toll on them.
