Weej 13, Saturday

Toledo Prophet

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YTD: 88-70-5....had that UB game all the way last night.....:SIB ....i'll take lucky over good every day of the week.

The Saturdays are dwindling my friends....lets win some money today!!

So far, just one play for me in the nooners....and I going to play it as a larger than usual bet. I like the play a lot.

NC St +11.5 over UNC

Its been fun watching UNC's football ressurection this fall. Butch Davis certainly has got it going and everyone is talking about a future ACC power. But, has anyone seen the job being done in Raleigh? Oh sure, its not a smooth winning machine, but the Pack are playing solid ball. Important to this forum is the fact, the Pack are 7-2 ATS this season and have covered all their ACC games this season. For that, I'd nominate OBrien as coach of the year if that keeps up for to more weeks. The Pack are solid. The run defense has stepped up in recent weeks with the return of Nate Irving and the back 7 can ball hawk with the best of them. UNC has explosiveness on offense, but the Packs D is good enough to contain that and force a team with some QB doubt into mistakes. On offense, they're running the football weill on offense with a couple different tailbacks and young QB Russell Wilson has a 12-1 TD/INT ration. He has thrown for 2 TDs in four straight games. I expect all those trends for NC St to continue today. The Heels are a real good team and will likely win this game. But, the Pack have not been blown out their ACC games and will be in this the whole way.

Last season, after a slow start, OBrien's crew rebounded a became a bit of a moneymaker, closing out with five covers in seven games. Included in that was a 4-point, 31-27 win and cover over the Heels. The Pack did struggle by dropping their last two, but I think OBrien has more of his program and team in place now than he did a year ago. They ran out of gas. This year, they're playing better, are more talented and peaking......this could be a sneaky, sneaky upset, but I dont have the balls to go the ML route.

Traditionally this is an underdog series. The Dog has gone 15-8 ATS since 1985, 8-2 ATS the last 10 years.

NCST has perennially been one of the best road dogs plays out there. The Pack are 20-7 ATS as road dogs this decade, including 3-1 this year. They're 16-5 in that role in conference play.

Love the Pack today!!

Good Luck!! :toast:
 

Toledo Prophet

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A couple smaller plays here to add to me card which has a big play on NC St already.

These games start at noon or after:

IU +11.5 over Purdue
Vandy -3 over Vols
CSU -1 over Wyoming
Arky -1 over Miss St

Good Luck!!!
 

Toledo Prophet

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Thanks guys!!! The smaller plays are not going that great, but the Pack is making it all good!!

How about that AR!!! :toast:

Anyway....onto the 330 starts.....playing all of these small, meaning I am sticking with the big winner ncst and playing just for fun the rest of the way.

Here goes:

Illi -2.5, -125, over NW.....I just cant quit the Illini.

Stanford +9 over Cal.....I like what Harbaugh has done with Stanford. My heart wants him to in, so he can get to a bowl I know you should not bet with your heart, but I think the Card has enough to keep this close and within a score the whole way.

WF ML, +116, over BC....In Jim Grobe I Trust. Yes, WF has been meh on O and are playing a stout BC D, but I like Grobe to come up with something. BC is no great shakes, and as long as WF is not out athleted (is that a word) I dont mind being on their side in ACC coin flips.

MSU +14.5 over PSU.....I think this hook looms large. I could see a 35-21 final. While I like what PSU has done this year, I do think MSU's balance will cause them some problems and make this a game the whole way through. I do not trust Daryl Clark to make the clutch 2nd half throw yet. He has not done that. MSU has a big play secondary, I think they can get enough takeaways to stay in this.

MSU/PSU Ober 47......these teams have played 15 times since the Lions joined the Big 10. All but two have exceeded 50 points. I'll ride that history here.

Good Luck!!!!:toast:
 

Toledo Prophet

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Yikes....really not going well today, other than the ncst pick. :sadwave:


Onward to tonight:

Pitt +6 over Cincy
Minny +6 over Iowa
Minn/Iowa O 43
Maryland +1 over FSU
Zona -2.5 over OSU
TT +7 over OU
TT/OU over 75

Goo Luck!! :toast:
 
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