Week 1/Bet 1--------Tuesday 11/20/01

yyz

Under .500
Forum Member
Mar 16, 2000
41,524
1,372
113
On the course!
Detroit at Toronto

Toronto is falling into one of my big "wager needs". They are just home off of a 6 game/9 day road trip. I've always said a team coming home after a 4 or more game trip is a good go against.

Couple this with Detroit only playing 3 games in the last 7 days, thus being well rested, you have a nice spot for them.

Detroit has also played 3 less games this season.

Of Toronto's three home games, they have eclipsed 100 in all of them, and the game total has surpassed 200. On their last 3 games on the recent road trip, they had less than 90 points each game....the games ended at 181, 181, and 171.

Now, in Detroit over the last 3 games, they lost to Portland 98-100, beat Dallas 115-89, and beat Indiana 104-98....again, all very tall scores.

Putting the seemingly well rested Pistons up against a just home, and tired Raptor team, I see a higher than normal scoring game tonight. Part of this reasoning is based on the fireworks we should see between Stackhouse and Carter. These two will be going tooth and nail to out-do the other.

I would give a strong lean on Detroit tonight, but I like the over even better.

With my normal 1-4 unit per play system, I would rate the over as a 4, and the game as a 3.....Due to my new system, I am doing the following:

Det/Tor over 190 $55/$50 5% play
Detroit +6 $33/$30 3% play.

Record 0-0-0 $1000

[This message has been edited by yyz (edited 11-20-2001).]
 

BadAngel

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 4, 2000
19,301
965
113
Cleve. Ohio
yyz I like Det today too. Good luck. The only other game I like, I don't think anyboby likes. I LOVE the Knicks. Good luck man.
 

yyz

Under .500
Forum Member
Mar 16, 2000
41,524
1,372
113
On the course!
1-1 -$25 ($975)

Started out nice, but the pace slipped up a bit. To the under bettors, congrats.

Note:

The "1st game back after a road trip" theory continues to be a solid tool.

I strongly urge you to handicap these situations with extra effort. It paid off nice tonight, and to those with the balls to play the money line, you smoked out a nice hit!
 
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