Week 10 Arena Football Picks

[Los_Gamblador]

0-2 last week, shoulda been 4-2 had I been able to get Saturday plays out.

Friday Game:

Orlando -2.5 over Toronto

Both teams sit at 4-5 right now, but they are 2 very different 4-5's. Orlando has won 3 of their last 4 and are in a 3-way tie for first. Toronto has lost 4 of their last 5 and find themselves falling out of the playoff picture. Phantoms have lost their starting QB for the year and backup Pat O'Hara has a shoulder injury, but will play. Ricky "Old" Foggie was signed this week and he was cut by the worst tema in the AFL, Detroit, earlier in the year. Jay Gruden has gotten more and more comfortable with the Pred WRs and the defense is finally tackling. This is a motivated team as they find themselves in a much different position than just 4 weeks ago.

 

[Los_Gamblador]

Ton of 2nd half turnovers doomed Orlando last night. Looking for a big day today.

Saturday Games:

Chicago -11 over Detroit
Under 89

2 weeks ago, Rush crushed the Fury 53-17 and really the only way Detroit can win a game is if their opponent scores under 30. Detroit hasn't topped 38 points since the 3rd week of the season and are outscored 50-39 at home, take out their 1 fluke win and that jumps to 52-34. They get pounded by their division 53-33 and turn the ball over nearly 3 times a game. The Rush are coming off a loss, but it was a confidence building loss as they hung with San Jose after getting pounded early and led late in the 4th quarter. They need this win to keep pace with Grand Rapids.

I like the Under in this game because Detroit ranks last in scoring, but they do possess a semi-decent defense that can keep Rush contained. All 3 previous meetings have been Under and if Detroit happens to upset the Rush, this game will be low scoring.

Tampa Bay/Dallas Under 105

I think Dallas will start to feel the loss of Diallo Burks this week, even though his replacement did an admirable job. Dallas probably caught Arizona on their worst day of the year however, they stopped scoring in the 2nd half and had to win on a last second FG. Tampa had to play last week with a LB in the DS position because of injuries, but they get 2 players back this week that will help their depth problem. Tampa averages a mere 40 ppg on the road and allows just 45 and Andy Kelly's penchant for throwing INTs should keep Dallas off the scoreboard enough.

Indiana +10 over Arizona

Going to try Indiana one more time because they are finally healthy and they have to stay at least 1 game back of the division leaders in order to make a run the last few weeks of the season. Arizona has gone into quite a bit of a funk, Bonner has not looked comfortable in the pocket, he was downright dreadful last week. Eddie Brown didn't make too much noise for Indiana last week, just 6 catches for 58 yards, he will make himself known in this game.

New York +17 over San Jose

Amazing line here because even though New York is bad, to spot them 17 points is an insult. They did sign former star QB Aaron Garcia this week and he could see action tonight, I would say he will likely see action tonight. Also this game marks the return of Steve Papin, former Sabercat who did not leave on good terms. He would love nothing more than to have a hand in sending the Cats to their first defeat. While that's unlikely to happen, New York has an offense that can keep up with San Jose, especially if they get a few kickoff returns from Papin.