using last weeks stats. this is basically me guessing lines with minimal research, I'll update this later in the week with more accurate stuff.
Panthers 25-25-27-11 offense 16-14-16-20
@Packers 9-5-2-32 off 7-11-20-8 def
Packers -7 -3HF = -10
Giants 7-15-21-6 offense 14-7-9-11 defense
@Detroit 6-12-9-21 offense 23-28-30-12 defense
Farve showed a good pass game trashes the giants
Giants just a little better than philly and washington
Giants stats are inflated from weak schedule
Detroit line will be lower because they lost to a weak team. Detroit does better at home.
Detroits pass defense is really bad.
Detroit is 4 points worse than Giants, home field makes them a pk
LIONS +3 -116
Dolphins 15-18-18-12 off 31-23-6-31 def
@Eagles 18-9-11-15 offense 11-12-21-7 defense
Eagles -7 -3hf = -10
Raiders 20-22-28-4 offense 21-16-4-30 defense
@Vikings 14-14-30-1 offense 10-22-31-2 defense
This game is funny. Both these teams have really lopsided offense and defense as far as passing and running. Vikings look 3 points better, is petersen worth 3 points? not sure. i'll say MIN -3
Oak is +5.5 -105, but I hate betting Oak
Chargers 10-21-22-14....17-25-24-22
@Jaguars 19-16-25-5 offense 9-24-26-16 defense
I will bet JAC if they are less than 10 point favs. SD blows and the line will be jacked from last weeks fluke.
JAC -2.5 -115
Browns 4-4-7-17 offense 30-32-32-27 defense
@Ravens 26-23-24-19 and 13-3-10-3
Ravens -4
my ravens line is way off again, but for now I like Ravens +3 -120
Cardinals 17-19-13-25, 19-9-7-18
@Bengals 8-7-5-28 offense 32-31-28-28 defense
Hey look warner gets to beat up a bad pass defense again this week. this game should be fun.
Bengals -2
Buccaneers 21-15-16-15 off 3-6-3-18
@Falcons 30-27-20-20 offense 18-18-15-23 defense
TB has nice defense stats. Coming off a bye. TB -1
I'll take ATL +3 +105
Saints 12-6-4-24 offense 25-21-27-10 defense
@Texans 11-9-7-24 offense 26-17-13-24
Texans should crush the saints pass defense like St louis did last week. coming off a bye. Texans -4 -3hf -7
Hey texans are -110 ml I'll take it.
HOU ml -110
Chiefs 30-30-17-31 offense 10-14-19-17
@Colts 3-3-8-7 offense 3-5-3-15 defense
Colts -10 -3hf so -13
Steelers 5-8-19-2 off 1-1-1-4
@jets 23-29-22-21 offense 27-30-23-32
wow look at this jets squad. they are almost as bad as San Diego
I suck at capping when an elite team is playing a bottom tier team. I think i'll hunt around for some power lines, dvoa stuff, see if kneifl likes the steelers cause he's good picking huge favorite winners.
Rams 32-29-16-29 offense 28-19-13-25
@49ers 32-32-32-23 offense 23-21-15-25
rams small edge, they have some people back.
rams pk
Redskins 21-20-26-9 offense 15-10-18-9
@Cowboys 2-2-3-10 offense 20-8-17-5
Skins are slightly worse than Giants. Should be 7 point neutral field, i put at -10.
Bears 23-26-14-31 offense 22-27-22-26 defense
@Seattle 15-12-9-22 offense 7-19-24-14
feel like i got screwed by the bears last week. grossman just pulls a 57 yard pass out of his ass.
Seattle isn't as good as they looked last night, but their pass game is solid and the bears suck at defending that. Chicago with no offense. DVOA has them at #28. maybe -6 and homefield for -9.5
I'm loading up on the Seattle -6
Patriots @ buffalo
Another elite vs bad. i need power ratings.
i'm getting NE -14.5 -110 because it may go up, but it won't go down
Titans 16-24-31-3 offense 2-2-12-1 defense
@Broncos 16-12-13 offense 29-8-32 defense
No idea what happened to titans last week. got to look at that game. lookat EVERYONE is running on the broncos. I wonder if titans can win running every single play. Broncos -1
So for now i'm on
Lions
Jax
Bal
Atl
Hou
NE
Panthers 25-25-27-11 offense 16-14-16-20
@Packers 9-5-2-32 off 7-11-20-8 def
Packers -7 -3HF = -10
Giants 7-15-21-6 offense 14-7-9-11 defense
@Detroit 6-12-9-21 offense 23-28-30-12 defense
Farve showed a good pass game trashes the giants
Giants just a little better than philly and washington
Giants stats are inflated from weak schedule
Detroit line will be lower because they lost to a weak team. Detroit does better at home.
Detroits pass defense is really bad.
Detroit is 4 points worse than Giants, home field makes them a pk
LIONS +3 -116
Dolphins 15-18-18-12 off 31-23-6-31 def
@Eagles 18-9-11-15 offense 11-12-21-7 defense
Eagles -7 -3hf = -10
Raiders 20-22-28-4 offense 21-16-4-30 defense
@Vikings 14-14-30-1 offense 10-22-31-2 defense
This game is funny. Both these teams have really lopsided offense and defense as far as passing and running. Vikings look 3 points better, is petersen worth 3 points? not sure. i'll say MIN -3
Oak is +5.5 -105, but I hate betting Oak
Chargers 10-21-22-14....17-25-24-22
@Jaguars 19-16-25-5 offense 9-24-26-16 defense
I will bet JAC if they are less than 10 point favs. SD blows and the line will be jacked from last weeks fluke.
JAC -2.5 -115
Browns 4-4-7-17 offense 30-32-32-27 defense
@Ravens 26-23-24-19 and 13-3-10-3
Ravens -4
my ravens line is way off again, but for now I like Ravens +3 -120
Cardinals 17-19-13-25, 19-9-7-18
@Bengals 8-7-5-28 offense 32-31-28-28 defense
Hey look warner gets to beat up a bad pass defense again this week. this game should be fun.
Bengals -2
Buccaneers 21-15-16-15 off 3-6-3-18
@Falcons 30-27-20-20 offense 18-18-15-23 defense
TB has nice defense stats. Coming off a bye. TB -1
I'll take ATL +3 +105
Saints 12-6-4-24 offense 25-21-27-10 defense
@Texans 11-9-7-24 offense 26-17-13-24
Texans should crush the saints pass defense like St louis did last week. coming off a bye. Texans -4 -3hf -7
Hey texans are -110 ml I'll take it.
HOU ml -110
Chiefs 30-30-17-31 offense 10-14-19-17
@Colts 3-3-8-7 offense 3-5-3-15 defense
Colts -10 -3hf so -13
Steelers 5-8-19-2 off 1-1-1-4
@jets 23-29-22-21 offense 27-30-23-32
wow look at this jets squad. they are almost as bad as San Diego
I suck at capping when an elite team is playing a bottom tier team. I think i'll hunt around for some power lines, dvoa stuff, see if kneifl likes the steelers cause he's good picking huge favorite winners.
Rams 32-29-16-29 offense 28-19-13-25
@49ers 32-32-32-23 offense 23-21-15-25
rams small edge, they have some people back.
rams pk
Redskins 21-20-26-9 offense 15-10-18-9
@Cowboys 2-2-3-10 offense 20-8-17-5
Skins are slightly worse than Giants. Should be 7 point neutral field, i put at -10.
Bears 23-26-14-31 offense 22-27-22-26 defense
@Seattle 15-12-9-22 offense 7-19-24-14
feel like i got screwed by the bears last week. grossman just pulls a 57 yard pass out of his ass.
Seattle isn't as good as they looked last night, but their pass game is solid and the bears suck at defending that. Chicago with no offense. DVOA has them at #28. maybe -6 and homefield for -9.5
I'm loading up on the Seattle -6
Patriots @ buffalo
Another elite vs bad. i need power ratings.
i'm getting NE -14.5 -110 because it may go up, but it won't go down
Titans 16-24-31-3 offense 2-2-12-1 defense
@Broncos 16-12-13 offense 29-8-32 defense
No idea what happened to titans last week. got to look at that game. lookat EVERYONE is running on the broncos. I wonder if titans can win running every single play. Broncos -1
So for now i'm on
Lions
Jax
Bal
Atl
Hou
NE
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