Week 12 Analysis

NFL2004Fan

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Sep 14, 2004
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Hi folks,

Did some research and analysis, here are the games for Week 12 (Note: I've used the lines/spreads issued by my lottery retailer so it might be different than Vegas lines).

Chicago vs Dallas -3.5
Chicago's VISITOR ATS is 4-1 (5x underdog)
Covered against GB, Minny, NJ, Tennessee
Losing to TB

Dallas's HOME ATS 2-3 (1x underdog, 4x fav)
Covered against Cleveland, Detroit
Losing to NJ, Pittsburgh, Philly

Conclusion: Chicago based on strong defensive plays and rookie QB starting for Dallas and not much of a running game available.

San Diego vs KC -2.5 (yes, KC is favoured)
SD VISITOR ATS 4-1 (4x underdog, 1x favorited)
Covered against Houston, Atl, Carolina, Oakland
Losing to Denver

KC's HOME ATS 2-3 (2x underdog, 3x favorited)
Covered again Atl, Indy
Losing to Carolina, Houston, New England

Conclusion: SD...

Cleveland vs Cincinnati -5.5
Cleveland VISITOR ATS 0-4 (4x underdog)
Losing to Dallas, NJ, Pittsburgh, Baltimore

Cincy HOME ATS 3-2 (4x underdog, 1x favorite)
Covered against Denver, Dallas, Pittsburgh
Losing to Miami, Balitmore

Conclusion: Cincy...

Buffalo vs Seattle -4.5
Buffalo VISITOR ATS 2-2 (4x underdog)
Covered against Oakland, New York
Losing to Baltimore, New England

Seattle HOME ATS 1-3 (4x favorite)
Covered against SF
Losing to St. Louis, Carolina, Miami

Conclusion: Buffalo based on strong defensive plays and RB. Hasselbeck sitting out this game.

St. Louis vs Green Bay -6.5
St. Louis VISITOR ATS 2-3 (2 underdog, 3x fav)
Covered against SF, Seattle
Losing to Atlanta, Miami, Buffalo

Green Bay HOME ATS 1-4 (5x favourite)
Covered against Dallas
Losing to Chicago, NJ, Tennesse, Minnesota

Conclusion: St. Louis...1 good week follow by 1 bad week...what a viscious cycle...Like them to cover in Lambeau this week.

Those are the games that I looked into...if you have other games you would like to see, please let me know and I'll post them up.

So what do you guys think of the picks?
 
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