Haven't posted NFL here in a while. Like this week's card.
Arizona +4.5
Have a hard time laying any chalk on this Bears' offense with Stewart at QB and without a proven RB as Thomas and Peterson are both out. Arizona's problem is against good passing team as they have no pass rush and teams have been able to get WRs open against the cover 2 but I don't think the Bears have the weapons on offense to exploit their pass defense. Shipp has been running the ball real well since Smith went out and he could have another big day against the Bears who are giving up 4.7 ypr on the season. Think this game will be close so taking the points.
Pittsburgh -2.5
Steelers' running game looked much better last week after getting their tackle back as Bettis rushed for 93 yards which is probably his best game of the season. If Pitt can get a running game going against the Bengals who allow 4.5 ypr it may make Maddox more effective in getting the ball to Ward and Burress. While Cincy has improved greatly this season, they haven't done that well on the road going 2-3 and losing at Arizona, Oakland, and Buffalo. Steelers' defense is still pretty good allowing just 300 ypg so like their chances at home.
Carolina -1.5
Philly has been a hot team but think Carolina gets it done at home. Philly's weakness has been against the run allowing 4.3 ypr and I don't think Philly has the WRs to exploit the Carolina secondary. When Davis is able to run the ball Dehlomme has been very good and I think Carolina will be able to put up more than enough points to get the win at home.
Baltimore under 37
I think the Ravens' last game was an aberration. Two real solid defenses and two teams that like to run the ball first. 49ers' weakness is at the corners but don't think the Ravens can throw well enough to hurt them there. Garcia should be back to the 49ers which may hurt their offense in the passing game as Rattay has been doing a nice job on the deep balls. I think both teams will be pretty conservative and play field position and think one of these teams could be held under 10 points so like the under.
Looking at Denver under 42, New Orleans +1, New Orleans under 41, SD +7 and Jax +4 in the later games.
Arizona +4.5
Have a hard time laying any chalk on this Bears' offense with Stewart at QB and without a proven RB as Thomas and Peterson are both out. Arizona's problem is against good passing team as they have no pass rush and teams have been able to get WRs open against the cover 2 but I don't think the Bears have the weapons on offense to exploit their pass defense. Shipp has been running the ball real well since Smith went out and he could have another big day against the Bears who are giving up 4.7 ypr on the season. Think this game will be close so taking the points.
Pittsburgh -2.5
Steelers' running game looked much better last week after getting their tackle back as Bettis rushed for 93 yards which is probably his best game of the season. If Pitt can get a running game going against the Bengals who allow 4.5 ypr it may make Maddox more effective in getting the ball to Ward and Burress. While Cincy has improved greatly this season, they haven't done that well on the road going 2-3 and losing at Arizona, Oakland, and Buffalo. Steelers' defense is still pretty good allowing just 300 ypg so like their chances at home.
Carolina -1.5
Philly has been a hot team but think Carolina gets it done at home. Philly's weakness has been against the run allowing 4.3 ypr and I don't think Philly has the WRs to exploit the Carolina secondary. When Davis is able to run the ball Dehlomme has been very good and I think Carolina will be able to put up more than enough points to get the win at home.
Baltimore under 37
I think the Ravens' last game was an aberration. Two real solid defenses and two teams that like to run the ball first. 49ers' weakness is at the corners but don't think the Ravens can throw well enough to hurt them there. Garcia should be back to the 49ers which may hurt their offense in the passing game as Rattay has been doing a nice job on the deep balls. I think both teams will be pretty conservative and play field position and think one of these teams could be held under 10 points so like the under.
Looking at Denver under 42, New Orleans +1, New Orleans under 41, SD +7 and Jax +4 in the later games.
