week 15

[moe777]

chiefs + 3 ,3rd straight week im on a chiefs game won the previos 2 now im on them here,ive read them pretty well all year except that bills game.i love taking teams in this kind of spot.must win game for a pretty good team getting points against a team not playing a must win game.when taking a side all you can ask for after handicapping a game is that the side you pick will show up and play 110% and in this spot i think they do and there is a good chance they win this game.i would take them in a pk throw in the 3 points and the injuries to the giants last week i like this play alot.

chargers +9 -120 logic behind this play is about the same as my chiefs play.must win ,will show up and play 110% against a team who has not much to play for,atleast they are leading me to believe like an undeafeted season is not their goal and they dont really care.if thats true i think they are idiots and hope they lose in the playoffs.but anyway i think the chargers were definatly looking ahead to this game and for good reason.LT coming off a off week basicly,will have a huge game i think and they will try to run the hell out of him and keep the colts offence off the field.will it work ?maybe and even if it doesent ive got a 9point margin for error,and my gut feeling is telling me the colts are way over due for a close game.chargers may lose but you got to think they will go out fighting hard for their playoff lives.

browns +3 ,clev hasnt won a road game since week 2 ,i think crennel is going to make a big deal about this and really want them to win their last road game of the year against a team that i am conviced has no fkn idea what their doing and has packed it in for the rest of the year,crennel on the other hand is building a team and i think is on the right track.
hate taking 3 road teams but atleast im getting points.have a couple of other plays brewing and also waiting on some 1st hfs lines to come out that i think i will like.gl...
56 -33 ytd

 

[moe777]

collins names the starter for the raiders game.still like it but obviosly not as much as i did yesterday.to my surprise though the line has stayed the same so far.

 

[Clem D]

Good luck Moe.. I like the Chiefs here as well

 

[moe777]

thxs clem,gl on the bucs play,you got me thinking about that game.i do like the must win scenario the bucs are in and the pats just about clinched their div.im just not sold on simms and caddy yet.and if brady doesnt play i actually like flutie flakes.the points due look tempting though.

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Moe,

Solid picks as usual. As you probably already know, I love the Chargers play. Did you buy the point to -9 or was it already at that at your book? And not sure if you heard, but Cato June and Corey Simon will probably sit for the Colts. Are you going to ML the Chargers at all?

 

[thom24ad]

I like SD and I like your logic behind Cleveland but they are so up and down from week to week and the same goes for Oakland. When it comes to two dog teams playing each other I always tend to lean towards the home team. I feel the same for Houston this week as well.
Thanks for the insight GL with your picks!

 

[moe777]

Moe,

Solid picks as usual. As you probably already know, I love the Chargers play. Did you buy the point to -9 or was it already at that at your book? And not sure if you heard, but Cato June and Corey Simon will probably sit for the Colts. Are you going to ML the Chargers at all?

thxs glenn, i got at 9 -120 at pinny,my local still has it up at +7.5 ,so i dont mind going -120,i saw it at +9-118 at one point but now its up to +9 -125,so im happy with it..im not a big ml player on dogs unless i parlay them and i will parlay these 3 on the ml.straight wager id rather have the points the +290 or whatever is not worth the extra stress to me unless i parlay it for a nice payout.

 

[moe777]

I like SD and KC and I like your logic behind Cleveland but they are so up and down from week to week and the same goes for Oakland. When it comes to two dog teams playing each other I always tend to lean towards the home team. I feel the same for Houston this week as well.
Thanks for the insight GL with your picks!

your probably right,i usually end up regretting playing teams like the browns on the road.they killed me against minny,but we now know minny had some gas left in the tank,i think the raiders are dead and so is their coach after this year.

 

[moe777]

Parlay 5-Team Parlay 95.00 3,724.72
1. 17-Dec-05 Football/NFL (Money) Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants for Game (+125) Pending
2. 18-Dec-05 Football/NFL (Money) San Diego Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts for Game (+280) Pending
3. 18-Dec-05 Football/NFL (Money) New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins for Game (-405) Pending
4. 18-Dec-05 Football/NFL (Money) Cleveland Browns vs Oakland Raiders for Game (+140) Pending
5. 18-Dec-05 Football/NFL (Money) Philadelphia Eagles vs St Louis Rams for Game (-175) Pending

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Moe,

Good luck with that parlay! My book sucks, and I never had anything close to +9. It opened at +8 and stayed that way the whole time until today, then it went down to +7.5 when Dungy said he would probably sit June and Simon. I was going to jump on it right away but when I heard other sites had it at +9 I thought I would wait to see if it went up for me. It ended up going the other way. I'm still confident with the +7.5 though. I have a big bet plus the points, and a very small bet (about the same amount as your parlay bet) on the ML. Good luck again...

 

[BadAngel]

Good luck Moe. I like KC alot.

 

[theGibber1]

Thanks for the picks moe

you have done some real good around here this year.

keep up the good work

gib

 

[moe777]

what a pitiful display of tackling by the cheifs in a must win game.i look for spots that a team will show up and play 100% and they put up that effort makes me sick.barber is very good and what was up with all of those personal foul calls.they couldve found a way to keep that game within 3.i do feel bad for vermeil though.gotta root for that guy.gl the rest of the week.

 

[moe777]

rams -3..both teams suck right now but if you watched the rams game last week they had 3 to in the red zone,flitzpatrick was obviosly having trouble in the away dome.i know the eagles also played well last week but that was against their div rival at home i think this week we will see how much impact the loss of mc,to,and westbrook will have.their defence is still good but i dont see them getting up for this game,gl.

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

I handicap games the exact same way Moe. I'm a big situational player. I had TB in the early game for the same reason. Huge game for them, maybe not must-win, but it definitely meant more to them than NE. And yet somehow they came out and lay an egg. I have the Chargers for the same reason tomorrow. Seeing KC and TB drop the ball in huge games is beginning to make me worry about that Chargers game.

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

One more note Moe... if you're looking for a silver lining in your Chiefs loss, it helps our SD bet tomorrow. SD now knows a win against Indy will put them a full game up on KC for the wildcard. And next week SD plays AT KC.

 

[moe777]

panthers -6 1st hf


chargers down to 7 -115 :scared

 

[trolln4walii]

GL today moe. I took it on the chin with the Chiefs yesterday as well. Their tackling yesterday was as pitiful as the Bears did against Pitt last week :cursin: (I think KC was afraid to wrap up the ball carrier yesterday for fear of the ref throwing a flag for hitting too hard :mj07: ) Congrats to you on the awsome job you're doing this year. SOLID!! :mj14:

 

[moe777]

thxs guys and gl today

titans +7.5 ..seahawks still suck on the road.my buddy (who just started gambling on the nfl)calls me and i tell him on the titans and he says i should just give him my money b/c he has seattle/pitt/bengals str8..teased /ml parlayed and these are locks and has the dough he made this year to prove it. well see i tell him.cmon titans!

im a little surprised im having a great year ,i tend to play more dogs.gl..

 

[moe777]

3-2 so far,browns pending for a good day.

chargers :clap:
panthers :clap:
titans :clap:
chiefs & rams :cursin: