SF TT over (30.5) 8.1 to win 6. I went over this prior to the Miami game, but here's the amount of points given up by Washington their last 5 home games: 37, 40 (to Chicago!!), 38, 31 (to the NY Giants!!!), and 45.
NO (+2.5) 6 units. Yeah, sometimes I'm as stubborn as Jord. I'm going to continue betting against Tampa at home. Even with a Saints team that has lost their last 3 road games, had no run game to speak of, and is still inexplicably coached by Dennis Allen. TB allows the most passing yards/game in the league, which means I'm counting on Derek Carr to not suck today. In their 2 divisional home games, TB lost to Atlanta (16-13) and barely beat Carolina (21-18). And, really, is there any way we don't have at least 2 teams tied at the top of this crappy division going into the last week?
Indy (-3.5) 4 units. Ok, this line is begging for Raiders money, right? Not happy laying points with the Colts, but it feels like I have to.
Chicago (-2.5) 5 to win 4. The Bears have won 4 straight home games. Atlanta needs to run the ball. They are 8th in the league, averaging 129.8 yards/game. However, they are only 15th, averaging 4.1 yards/carry. Chicago allows the fewest rushing yards/game (80.7) and the 3rd fewest per carry (3.6). Atlanta on the road this year... lost at Carolina, barely beat the Jets, lost at Arizona, lost at Tennessee, barely beat Tampa, and lost at Detroit.
Cincinnati (ML) 1 to win 2.7. Eh, why not?
NO (+2.5) 6 units. Yeah, sometimes I'm as stubborn as Jord. I'm going to continue betting against Tampa at home. Even with a Saints team that has lost their last 3 road games, had no run game to speak of, and is still inexplicably coached by Dennis Allen. TB allows the most passing yards/game in the league, which means I'm counting on Derek Carr to not suck today. In their 2 divisional home games, TB lost to Atlanta (16-13) and barely beat Carolina (21-18). And, really, is there any way we don't have at least 2 teams tied at the top of this crappy division going into the last week?
Indy (-3.5) 4 units. Ok, this line is begging for Raiders money, right? Not happy laying points with the Colts, but it feels like I have to.
Chicago (-2.5) 5 to win 4. The Bears have won 4 straight home games. Atlanta needs to run the ball. They are 8th in the league, averaging 129.8 yards/game. However, they are only 15th, averaging 4.1 yards/carry. Chicago allows the fewest rushing yards/game (80.7) and the 3rd fewest per carry (3.6). Atlanta on the road this year... lost at Carolina, barely beat the Jets, lost at Arizona, lost at Tennessee, barely beat Tampa, and lost at Detroit.
Cincinnati (ML) 1 to win 2.7. Eh, why not?
