Overall 1-0 +3units
Texas Tech -37 1unit
I'm taking my team again this week but it will be a smaller play than last week. I actually like this game quite a bit but 37 is too high to feel very confident about.
I like this game for several reasons. The first being Kingsburys first home game being HC for Tech. I think he'll try to put on a show for the home crowd and the way he does that is by putting up big offensive numbers. Tech is deep enough at WR that when backups come in there wont't be much of a drop off and they'll be trying to show they belong. IMO they have more speed in their backup positions, most of which are young players. Jace Amaro will also be playing the full game this week and like I said last week he's a matchup nightmare and that even more so the case against a small school. Davis Webb should get some playing time at QB this weekend and will want to be putting up big numbers. He's a frosh but came to campus in January to get an early start on things. From everything I've heard and read he's very good. The only reason he didn't start last week is because he doesn't scramble as well. This week that shouldn't be a factor.
SFAs offense should help in this game. Their QB has thrown 46 INTs in his last 23 games. He goes for the big plays but pays the price too often. Last year they lost 52-0 vs SMU and a similar score vs. Baylor.
Look for Tech to blitz very often in this game. It's been a big talking point for the new DC. In the game against SMU they blitzed more than we're use to and the fans are excited about it.
Lubbock is usually a difficult place to play and I expect the electricity in the stadium to be high because of Kingsbury. I think Tech gets in the 30s in the 1 half. If they can keep SFA from scoring on broken plays then the cover should be easy.
One more thing to add. I don't think the oddsmakers have accounted for the speed of play yet. I can't remember off hand how many plays they ran but in the 2nd half the pace was as fast as I've seen a team play. I expect the same in this game.
Texas Tech -37 1unit
I'm taking my team again this week but it will be a smaller play than last week. I actually like this game quite a bit but 37 is too high to feel very confident about.
I like this game for several reasons. The first being Kingsburys first home game being HC for Tech. I think he'll try to put on a show for the home crowd and the way he does that is by putting up big offensive numbers. Tech is deep enough at WR that when backups come in there wont't be much of a drop off and they'll be trying to show they belong. IMO they have more speed in their backup positions, most of which are young players. Jace Amaro will also be playing the full game this week and like I said last week he's a matchup nightmare and that even more so the case against a small school. Davis Webb should get some playing time at QB this weekend and will want to be putting up big numbers. He's a frosh but came to campus in January to get an early start on things. From everything I've heard and read he's very good. The only reason he didn't start last week is because he doesn't scramble as well. This week that shouldn't be a factor.
SFAs offense should help in this game. Their QB has thrown 46 INTs in his last 23 games. He goes for the big plays but pays the price too often. Last year they lost 52-0 vs SMU and a similar score vs. Baylor.
Look for Tech to blitz very often in this game. It's been a big talking point for the new DC. In the game against SMU they blitzed more than we're use to and the fans are excited about it.
Lubbock is usually a difficult place to play and I expect the electricity in the stadium to be high because of Kingsbury. I think Tech gets in the 30s in the 1 half. If they can keep SFA from scoring on broken plays then the cover should be easy.
One more thing to add. I don't think the oddsmakers have accounted for the speed of play yet. I can't remember off hand how many plays they ran but in the 2nd half the pace was as fast as I've seen a team play. I expect the same in this game.
