Week 3, Day 3

[Ernie_Money]

I hate taking Unders, so I will drop my bet from the last 2 days down a tad as I take:

Washington/Arizona under 10, laying $105 to win $100

Reasoning:

Not sure if the Dome will be open at Phoenix, but Tony Armas has a 2.98 ERA in Day games this season (compared to 6.15 at night). Armas is showing signs of pitching better the last 2 times out and Livan Hernandez allowed just 2 hits in 7 innings in his last appearance at Home. The Nationals just had 6 straight Overs before going Under last night, and often times these streaks will reverse themselves once they have gone the other way the first time. Another factor is the Home Plate umpire angle. Angel Hernandez has had 8 Unders in his last 10 games, had an Under the only time he had Armas behind the dish in his career and has had 3 Unders in 4 games (the Over was a 9, just 1/2 a run over the total) in his career with Livan Hernandez starting. A lot of things point to the Under, so I will go with the flow here.


Week 3: 2-0, +$300
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913

 

[skufft]

Good luck E_M!

 

[hammer1]

Yer on your way ta be in a STAR!!!!

Yer on your way ta be in a STAR!!!!

NICE JOB !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

G LUCK!!!!

 

[Jaxx]

Good luck Ernie!

 

[Dock1]

thanks again em, you are on fire

 

[Jaxx]

Nice under Ernie! Tailed for a unit.:mj06:

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

damn, missed the post....and another winner.

congrats.

 

[stepfwd]

Congratulation Earnie,

Congratulation Earnie,

I planned on quitting baseball for the season since I got slaughtered the last two weeks. Been following your post for thel ast two weeks and was going to follow you yesterday on the houston/St Louis over 8, but missed the bet. I could not help myself today but followed your post. Thank you for the win.

Most appreciated and wish you all the best.

Stepfwd

 

[Ernie_Money]

Thank you folks.

I really do like sharing my handicapping knowledge. However, with that said, since I decided to do this in a public forum for the first time in years, I must also post some advice to go with the plays.

Be smart.
Past results don't guarantee future performance.
Bet with your head, not over it.

As hot as I am now, I can turn ice cold in the blink of an eye.

Just be careful. That's all. I am betting these games for the same amount I post, so I am trying to win these games, I am not just flipping coins, throwing darts or whistling dixie here. But cold streaks can pop up at any time, so I must say:

Proceed with caution.

I handicap every game on the board and try and keep my bets to 5 or less a day, and lately, it's been 1 or 2 a day. But hey, it's been working for now.

Thank you for the well-wishes, though.

 

[okolepuka]

hey ernie money.

thanks for all your winners. i've been watching your plays since day one. although it was a loser you came back with a vengence. i think your only downfall was, when you told all of us to just watch for 2 months or so. then coattail you. well i already wasted 2 weeks already. so i decided it was time to jump in and play your houston/stlouis over 8 on tuesday. although i had 8 1/2, i still played it. what the hell.and today your wash/arizona under 10. and cashed that also.

anyway i just want to say, BOL to you and everyone else who follow. and keep those winners coming in.

oko :firing: