week 3-early look/leanings

[pepin46]

tampa/minny

probable a skippo, although i have a feeling minny is going to hit bottom on this one.

kc/wash

a great opportunity for both teams to get a much needed win. kc offense has been so bad, i will have to think about this one, though leaning to kc.

miami/stlouis

miami was on their way to a controlled win last week, until catastrophe struck. they did manage to come back and get the win, though. st lou also had their hands full with sf. tough line at 5 or 6, but leaning to miami once again.

gb/carol

carolina was well tamed by atlanta, and we now know that their win in minny was more a negative on minny than a plus for carol. gb is kicking a..., and not demeaning carol and their qb, g.b. continues to roll here.

indy/new england

this line should be about 14, but i will pass anyway. indy is bound to take this lightly and not cover. the under looks like a winner, though.

n.o/giants

will the real giants, please stand up? giants should be the dogs here, thus my leaning to n.o.

pitt/buff

0-0 into overtime? certainly a low scoring game in the cards, but won't take a side. under.

atl/ariz

ariz looked like they might keep up with denver prior to an interception, and that was the end of that. atl is a decent team that feel asleep in sf, but came back to re-assert themselves vs carol. i will probably give the points here.

balt/denver

once again, denver in a good spot, while balt tries to put together an offense. denver's offense is clicking and should prevail by more than a td.

cinci/sandiego

game of the week. both going in the same direction, so something must give. cinci's first away game of the season will test what they are really made of. this should be a 3 point game, so will side with cinci at this stage.

clev/jax

it took 7 interceptions for cleveland to get up to 24 points, and it will take at least 2 more to get to 10 points here. jax with or without taylor wins, but the line is too high, considering clev's defense capabilities. probably a pass.

seattle/oak

another big line. must look at the database on this one for precedent. leaning toward seattle.

dallas/phil

looks too high as well. leaning toward dallas.

sf/jets

jets unspectacular against n.e. will look for s.f. to win outright, possibly destroy the jets.

pep

 

[Night Owl]

With Seattle being my home team, I have to say, I'd be really surprised to see them move the ball with ANY sort of sustained efficiency against Oakland. Last year, Seattle got drubbed 31-3 at Oakland and their offense might even be worse this time around. Their defense is a little better than last year, but will get worn down -- like always -- from being on the field so much. Furthermore, the young and inexperienced Seattle corners should have a tough time keeping tabs on wily veteran WRs Brown and Rice. Also, Seahawks play-calling remains exceptionally conservative and the O-line play is as bad as ever. I feel comfortable in playing Oakland -10.5 in this one for 2 units. Good luck to all in whatever you decide to play!

Night Owl

 

[yearofthesnake]

why does it seem when a home town guy fades his team and posts why, their team always seem to cover.

not knocking your reasoning for picking against them though. It seems as if I like all big favs as well this week...with the exception of Indy, which is another exception.

 

[pepin46]

night owl

after looking at the database, i will have to agree. on my first impressions i was probably thinking about s.d.

this is not so much an against seattle, but a for oakland play. then, taking seattle's recent performance and oakland's home record, the game should be a laugher. their 2 non-covers were a loss to denver and a low scoring affair vs. sandiego.

oakland is not shy at all about opening up huge leads at home; the record is outstanding, and calls for a cover here by oakland. this would be a nice alternative for me as opposed to indy at n.e.


pep