Week 3 NFL Plays - Including another 10 Unit play

BostonBettor

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Ill add more plays as the week goes on, wanted to get this posted now.


I cant remember ever playing 10 Unit plays in back to back week. I usually do not have more than a few in a season.

With that said, you might sense a pattern here:

Tampa Bay +9 (-120) over New England (10 Units) (Line at Pinnacle)

I honestly do not know what team the line makers are watching, but it can not be the Patriots. The Patriots have been pretty damn lucky not to be 1-1 and barely squeaked out a win last week at home over the Jets and have not come within a prayer of covering either of their first 2 games. They have multiple weapons in Armendola, Gronk (I am assuming the Pats will hold him 1 more week even if he is close) and Vereen out. Their primary running back in Ridley has bad fumbling issue and almost coughed one up again last week late. The other tight ends beyond Gronk are non existent and Vareen's backup, Brandon Bolden is suffering with a knee injury. This offense is literally struggling to just score points.

On the other side, Tampa Bay does not have a very good QB in Josh Freeman, but he does have very good weapons in Jackson and Williams for receivers and Doug Martin out of the backfield.

The Patriots defense has been solid this year and should be here as well. The Bucs defense was tremendous at home this week in shutting down the Saints offense and with Revis in the secondary, the Pats receivers are not likely to have a good day.

The under is also worth taking a good look at.

Looking for a final score of New England 17-14, with a tight game right to the end.



Good Luck
 
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hogman14

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be careful

be careful

Tampa is an absolute dumpster fire.

Team internally is in absolute disarray.

Guy from TB radio was on w/local boston guys and said TB could lose 41-0 :(

GL though
 

JMize

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Tampa is an absolute dumpster fire.

Team internally is in absolute disarray.

Guy from TB radio was on w/local boston guys and said TB could lose 41-0 :(

GL though

Hog

im shocked on this...if its true....I watched this game after coming home from Bills game...they sure didn't look in disarray to me...looked solid. .expecially on defense
 

BostonBettor

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Hog, Im not sure the Patriots could score 41-0 in practice right now. Speaking of messes, their offense is a complete one.

Internally the Bucs might be a mess, but they were quite decent on Sunday and trust me on this....every team gets up to play and try to beat the Patriots.

I still believe Gronk will not play, that the Patriots will hold him another week till their schedule gets a lot tougher with Atlanta.

The line has fallen 2 points to -7, would not be surprised if the Pats go down to -6, the offense is that woeful right now. Rookie receivers cant catch the ball or run the right routes.
 

jvenz

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Local Books In Boston Have Already Dropped the Line to -7, Im not seeing -9 anywhere...It might be a good opportunity to buy the pats down to -6.5 and hammer them.
 

jvenz

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What are your thoughts on the SanFran vs. Indy game? I think that SanFran is giving alot of points to Indy. I think it should be around -7 not -10.5
 

hogman14

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Hog, Im not sure the Patriots could score 41-0 in practice right now. Speaking of messes, their offense is a complete one.

:142smilie :142smilie :142smilie

Agree. Timing is everything.

That said, Agree that teams are gearing up to take a shot at the Pats. Also, i thought they'd roll the Jets as well, so what the hell do I know. I live a few blocks from VW75, maybe I can get his thoughts? :shrug:
 

hedgehog

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New England has no receivers that are healthy, and a running back out for the year, I see this game as being close also, loved the way TB played defense last week against NO :0074
 
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BostonBettor

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What are your thoughts on the SanFran vs. Indy game? I think that SanFran is giving alot of points to Indy. I think it should be around -7 not -10.5

Even with Richardson moving to Indy, I would tend to agree the Niners are a bit overpriced. Their top receiver is out, looks like now that Vernon Davis might not play either. Slow down Boldin and the Niners really have no one to throw to. With that said, I do not think Indy's defense is anywhere near good and just do not trust Luck on the road yet against an elite defense....so I would steer clear.

On betting the Pats at -6.5, I think this game is going to be a lot like the ending of the Bills game where the Pats are struggling just to win at the end...forget come close to covering.
 

jvenz

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The pats could lose outright and they are not the same team that they used to be. All dynasty's rise and fall. All good things come to an end. Pats Nation had a good run. New England had a good run. Tom Brady has a couple of years left but the Pats just don't have all the weapons they need to be a top tier team.

Miami is the team to watch in that Division. Miami has spent a couple of years building their team and they will be a contender in the AFC. They don't have the maturity to go too far but if the Pats played them today, Miami would win.
 

BostonBettor

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Here are the rest of the plays for today:

Baltimore ML (+100) over Houston (3 Units)

Washington ML (+101) over Detroit (5 Units)
 
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