Week 4 - my subscriber picks and write up

bleedingpurple

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New Orleans Saints + 3 (-115) DraftKings Sportsbook OVER the Minnesota Vikings

Nothing has gone right for the Saint’s offense this season. They have played from behind almost the entire season, forcing them to throw the ball more than they like. Winston has been a turnover machine but what about this week? I think Alvin Kamara and that running game can get it going and keep the down and distance manageable. Also, what gets Winston in trouble is the blitz, teams just send blitzes at him and he misses wide open receivers or he throws the ball into tight coverage and gets picked off. The Vikings aren’t a huge blitzing team and if they do blitz, I don’t think they have the players in the secondary to play man and Chris Olave will eat.
On defense I can see the Saint’s front dominating the Vikes interior offensive line making it very tough for the Vikings to run the football. I can see the Vikings being in third and long then struggling. This defense isn’t like Detroits, they are faster and more physical. They have CB Marcus Lattimore who should be on WR Justin Jefferson making that connection a little more difficult. Vikes will have to once again lean on Thielen and Osborne.
Vikes were very lucky to win last week but no this week. Take the Saints plus the points. Saints 20 Vikes 17

New York Giants -3 (-115) vs. Chicago Bears
When Daniel Jones has struggled,he has been under heavy pass rush and I don’t think the Bears will rattle him. Not to mention, I think RB Saquon Barkley will run over the Bears and Jones will be efficient throwing the ball to whatever receivers they have out there.
The Bears should be able to run a little on the Giants but QB Justin Fields just can’t make any plays right now. I think the Bears are very fortunate they played the Niners in the monsoon game and a Houston Texans team who can’t stop the run. Giants will play up to stop the run and Fields will struggle. Giants 27-13

Player Prop Alvin Kamra OVER yards rushing (JUST WAITING FOR LINE TO COME OUT)
Saints offensive line should control middle of Vikes interior and I expect Kamara to have his best game of the season to date. Look for 20 plus touches and 80 yards or more.

PICKS 4-1 YTD
 

bleedingpurple

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More Shark Play Picks NFL week 4
Detroit Lions -4 vs. Seattle Seahawks
I know the Lions are dealing with the injury bug but I feel they won’t miss a beat. The Lions have an explosive offense and should have beat the Minnesota Vikings last week. I don’t see how the Seahawks keep the Lions under 30 points as everyone the Seattle has played has moved the ball up and down the field. You can also say the same about the Lion’s defense as well, they have struggled to stop anyone but the Lions love to blitz and I think they cause problems for QB Geno Smith and force a couple turnovers. Look for the Lions to win 31-16.
Buffalo Bills -3 vs. Baltimore Ravens
Not a fan of playing many road favorites especially in Baltimore but from what I have seen the Bills are the better team and it’s not close. The Bills have the better defense by far and they have more play makers on offense. The Ravens rely on the legs of Jackson but struggle at times to get another player to step up. Bills 34-24.
Player Prop Alvin Kamara OVER 54.5 Rushing Yards
Last week Kamara rushed for 61 yards on 15 carries. I think he will easily eclipse the 54.5 if he gets that type of volume. The Vikings gave up 87 yards to RB Jamaal Williams last week and 80 yards to Miles Sanders the week before. I see the Saints front pushing the Vikes around a bit as they just don’t have the run stopping horses. Look for Kamara to push the 80 yard range.
 

bleedingpurple

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Adding Steelers/Jets OVER 41. 5

I think this game has shoot out written on it as I dont think either defesne is good and Wilson will pick up the pace for the jets. both teams get into the 20s
 

Magking1

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Havent seen you at the other spot for a while....they have gone woke AF

As far as gambling goes, really like the over 26.5 receiving on Kamara as well with Winston out.....On top of the regular throws and planned plays, Dalton is far more likely to check it down more often to Kamara, maybe get an extra or 2 catches....

Maybe the combined total at around 83 yds looks good as well



Good to see your thoughts on games, where can I read your other posts?
 
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bleedingpurple

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Havent seen you at the other spot for a while....they have gone woke AF

As far as gambling goes, really like the over 26.5 receiving on Kamara as well with Winston out.....On top of the regular throws and planned plays, Dalton is far more likely to check it down more often to Kamara, maybe get an extra or 2 catches....

Maybe the combined total at around 83 yds looks good as well



Good to see your thoughts on games, where can I read your other posts?

Hi there buddy. I have very limited time especially for politics, it's the same people mad at each other and it never evolves. I have been really busy this past year writing articles for fantasy sports. I bought the NFL Plus so I am watching tons and tons of football. Plus we are still having great weather for the most part here in Northwest WI so I am taking advantage of that when I can. I really cant give out too much but google dr roto.

I am starting to do podcasts on some apps and maybe once it gets going I will talk to Jack. I think a MadJack Sports Podcast would be great.
 
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