I had a idea that the scores would be close in the last preseason week in that most starters (especially on offense) would play minimal. This would also favor the under. Also teasers may be the way to go.
After studying the last 5 years--week 4:
points won by/# of times that number hit:
1/6
2/3
3/9
4/7
5/3
6/3
7/8
8/6
9/1
10/1
11 or greater/28
The percentage of margin of victory less than 7 was 41.3%
greater than 6 was 58.7%
(greater than 10 was 37.3%)
Therefore it indicates that the pointspread number will not be important at all in 6 out of 10 games in preseason week 4. This also shows that teasers also wont be anymore reliable in winning. Teams won by 11 or more almost as often as 6 or less.
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indecision is the KEY to flexibility
After studying the last 5 years--week 4:
points won by/# of times that number hit:
1/6
2/3
3/9
4/7
5/3
6/3
7/8
8/6
9/1
10/1
11 or greater/28
The percentage of margin of victory less than 7 was 41.3%
greater than 6 was 58.7%
(greater than 10 was 37.3%)
Therefore it indicates that the pointspread number will not be important at all in 6 out of 10 games in preseason week 4. This also shows that teasers also wont be anymore reliable in winning. Teams won by 11 or more almost as often as 6 or less.
------------------
indecision is the KEY to flexibility
