Week #4

[NuttyGambler]

Here are my week four picks mostly done using computer modeling. Actually feel good about this week. Note no O/U all look too close to put money on. Comments are welcome.

Cleveland +6
Denver -7
Carolina +7
Jacksonville -3.5 (not getting suckered in by this 1/2 point)
S.D. +3
Vikings +3 (OK this one may be a little emotional - but come on)

Teaser
Denver -1
Tampa Bay -1


YTD
4-3-0
1-1-0 Teasers

Week 1
1-2-0
0-1-0 Teaser

Week 2
Didn't post so won't count

Week3
3-1-0
1-0-0 Teaser

 

[Casino7Man]

I like all your picks except:

Jags -3.5

SD +3

Actually, I am on the Jets and NE.

Jets:
I like your thinking about maybe being tricked into taking the Jets with the hook they are giving. But, what if that is the trick in itself? Jets should have no problem winning this game. The Jets first 3 games were against strong Divisional Rivals, someone had to lose. As far as the whoopin Miami stuck to em... The Jets had beat Miami 8 times in a row before this game, and the Jets came back to win the 8th game last year after trailing by 30+ points. The Jets have talant, but talant against strong divisional rivals... well... anything can happen, especially in the AFC East. The Jets finnaly get to relax this week.. relaxed meaning... no pressure. They still need to play thier best and stay focused, but there is no pressure, as far as, a divisional win, at least. They are 1-2, so maybe some pressure there, but not like the last 3 weeks against strong divisional rivals. Oh and by the way, I am a dolphin fan, and still I like the Jets this week.


NE:
I agree, SD and QB Brezzzze look mighty promising this year, but NE is in a Ultimate high right now, after all the questioning on how the SB Champs would perform and then to come out 3-0. Also, playing Miami the following week... Both Miami and NE know they better both be 4-0 going into that game. SD is rolling nicely also, but someone has to lose, and it won't be NE this week, and they will win by more than a FG.


Minn:
I like your guts here, I hope Culpepper and Moss have a BIG day!

Good Luck this week!

 

[Casino7Man]

Also, like your Teaser!

And I'm all over Clev and Denver too.

And Carolina has a good chance.

 

[NuttyGambler]

Done with teasers

Done with teasers

OK that is it. I'm DONE with teasers. I keep winning half without the added spread, and losing the other.

EVERY loss of a teaser has been that way this year. I would have only lost my vig, which would have been 105/100 vs the 110/100 I pay for a teaser. Also my win both covered the straight spread as well, so it would have been doubled. Therefore. If my 3 Teaser bets would have gone 4-2-0 which is much better then 1-2-0. (Note: I have a couple more teaser I did not post - which still hold true to this - so more "motivation for me)

Man the two straight up I lost Vikings and Denver. Did these two games not look the same.

4-2-0 Straight
0-1-0 Teaser


YTD

8-5-0 Straight
1-2-0 Teaser (NO MORE)