Week 5 Plays

[Codyman]

YTD Record:

7 Star: 2-0
5 Star: 3-2
4 Star: 3-4
3 Star: 7-2
2 Star: 2-0
1 Star: 0-0

Overall: 17-8


Wanted to get these 2 plays up early. Another week another 7 Unit play. Just cant believe these lines, they make no sense at all. More plays later, but if you like the plays, I think both lines will move towards the dog as the week progresses.



Buffalo +3 over Cincinnati *******

The Bengals bounced into the win column yesterday against probably the worst team in football. Now though, they return to playing good teams and will go right back to being the Bungels. Andy Dalton remains a poor QB and Buffalo's defense is very solid and now their offense is starting to play better. Beating Atlanta on the road is a great win and the Bills totally shut down Denver in Buffalo as well. Buffalo should be able to both run and pass on the Bengals. Absolutely look for Buffalo win this game outright. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS this season and about to make it 5-0. Buffalo 23-16


Tampa Bay +5.5 over New England *****

Much like last year when the books didn't learn on the Patriots kept setting lines they covered easily, this is the reverse. The Patriots defense is right now the worst in football, being terrible against the run and a complete no show against the passing game. Tampa Bay has been mediocre so far this season, but Winston will have an incredible day, as every single QB has against the Patriots defense this season. The game is a total tossup to me and 5.5 points is tremendous value. Tampa Bay 28-27.

 

[Codyman]

Tampa Bay +5.5 over New England *****

Much like last year when the books didn't learn on the Patriots kept setting lines they covered easily, this is the reverse. The Patriots defense is right now the worst in football, being terrible against the run and a complete no show against the passing game. Tampa Bay has been mediocre so far this season, but Winston will have an incredible day, as every single QB has against the Patriots defense this season. The game is a total tossup to me and 5.5 points is tremendous value. Tampa Bay 28-27.[/QUOTE]


I've seen the line drop all the way to 3 points. I wouldnt play under 3 as an FYI.

 

[Codyman]

Sometimes your saved by the hook

 

[Tenpin832]

Sometimes your saved by the hook

Lol,well ,it wasn't by the kicker...keep it going codyman!

 

[Codyman]

Here are the rest of the plays:

Detroit -2.5 over Carolina *****

Detroit's defense may be the most underrated in the NFL. Newton is not going to have wide open receivers and all day to throw like he did against the Patriots or get the tons of penalty help he did last week either. I like Detroit's offense to put over 20 here and that should be plenty against a Carolina team I do not think is very good. Detroit 23-13.


LA Chargers +3.5 (-115) over Ny Giants ****

Both these teams are pretty dysfunctional, can not finish games and look really bad at times. The Chargers though can run the ball and if it wasn't for their kicking game, would be in the win column already. The Giants just should not be giving 3.5 points to anyone, as their offense is horrible, its throw to OBJ and pray. LA Chargers 17-16.


LA Rams -1.5 over Seattle ***

The Rams gave Seattle fits for years when the Rams were awful. The Rams can pressure the QB, which should force Wilson back into looking like he has in the first few weeks. Goff has played solid mistake free football and Gurley is at the top of his game. Seattle still has a top notch defense, but their offense just won't score enough points. LA Rams 20-13.

 

[Codyman]

Adding one more play:

Kansas City/Houston OVER 44.5 points **

These are 2 teams averaging over 27 points per game on offense. Their defenses have big name players but teams with good offenses can put points up. I think once again here, this become more of an offensive game than expected and the total comes in about 50 points. Kansas City 26-24

 

[Codyman]

Going to play a prop for tonight's game.

T.Cohen OVER 60.5 yards rushing + receiving (-125) ***

The Bears are likely to feature the running game and short passing game this evening. Cohen is very strong at taking short passes and turning them into YAC. He also has been an effective runner this season, good for one long run a game. I can see the Bears wanting to limit the throws down the field and the check downs to Cohen should be there.