YTD: 30-23-1.
Off to a 2-0 start bagging a couple of mid week winners.....lets keep the good times rolling:
Here's what I am playing with the early kicks:
Duke +13.5 over Georgia Tech. What does it say for the state of the ACC that this is the most intriguing game on the docket for the conference? On the same day the Canes and Noles hook up, to boot! OK, so maybe thats hyperbole on my part. But, I really am intrigued by this Duke team. For the first time in years, they appear to have a pulse and playmakers that standout on the field. In the dead even ACC, everyone is a contender and the Jackets, with their still-in-progress offensive transition and the Blue Devils, with their sudden spunk under their new coach, are as much contenders as everyone else. Duke!?!?! Yes, Duke. C'mon Wake won this league 2 years ago, so its not far fetched. At minimum, this squad could become a feel-good bowl story. I like the offense's explosiveness and feel they can hit enough big plays to stay in the game and force Georgia Tech's new offense to work and put points on the board to win, let alone cover. Duke has always been a tough underdog and now they appear to have a decent team. They're still catching a lot of points. Too many, in my opinion, for a team thats 24-10 ATS as a road dog since 2002.
Iowa +7 over MSU. I like Iowa's DL and overall front 7 to whip MSU's front. They will hem Ringer iin, contain him and force Hoyer to try and beat them in the air. He wont do it enough and this one stays close throughout. Iowa's DL will bring it all day and say what you will about their overall team inconsistency, this team's D is statistically top shelf. Maybe Iowa finally has their QB issues ironed, but its worth mentioning that even with D's keying on Ringer, Hoyer has not really done much. Stanzi for Iowa has put up better numbers than him. Iowa has 11 sacks this season, so they will get to Hoyer and his WRs have had drop issues in recent games. A win by Sparty sets up a nice showdown next week in Evanston, but MSU never follows through with hype on the line. The Hawks have covered 5 of 6 in the series.
Ole Miss -2 over South Carolina. I love taking SEC dogs, but I am on the short fave in this one today. Yes, the Rebels have to come down to earth after last week's upset in the Swamp and the Gamecocks have enough ass kickers on D to make life miserable today if the Reb's heads are still in the clouds. But, Ole Miss have looked solid all season long, efficient on offense, able to move the football and all against a pretty tough schedule now in retrospect. The Gamecocks might be or might not be beginning the Stephen Garcia era today. Who knows what the Visor is going to do if Garcia strugggles for a play or two. The hook always looms. I have seen a lot of both of these teams already this season and feel Ole Miss would win SU on a neutral field. Everybody expects a letdown and thats why I am not super gung ho here. But, Ole Miss can dominate this game in the trenches, and I think teams that can do that are not as vulnerable to the emotional letdown as others are. I believe in this Nutt revivial going on in Oxford. It pushes forward today.
Indiana +7.5, -120 over Minnesota. Yikes, trying the alma mater today. IU rolled Minny last year and while the Gophers are better this year than the were last and a good bet to get to a bowl, I dont think the fortunes of these teams have changed so radically that we'll see a 28-point swing in the outcome. Either team can win this sucker today.....and neither team's defense will stop the other offense. This will be a shootout and in the "team with the final possession will win" mold. Indiana's D scares me against hard ass, power run teams, like MSU's last week, or Minnesota in the height of the Mason era. The style the Gohpers play now is a much better matchup for the IU D. Not sure there's such a thing as a good matchup for a Gopher D thats allowed over 32 ppg in their last 25 Big 10 games. The Over looks tempting, but right now I'm a little to wussy about such a high number. But, IU +7.5 is something I'll take.
Off to a 2-0 start bagging a couple of mid week winners.....lets keep the good times rolling:
Here's what I am playing with the early kicks:
Duke +13.5 over Georgia Tech. What does it say for the state of the ACC that this is the most intriguing game on the docket for the conference? On the same day the Canes and Noles hook up, to boot! OK, so maybe thats hyperbole on my part. But, I really am intrigued by this Duke team. For the first time in years, they appear to have a pulse and playmakers that standout on the field. In the dead even ACC, everyone is a contender and the Jackets, with their still-in-progress offensive transition and the Blue Devils, with their sudden spunk under their new coach, are as much contenders as everyone else. Duke!?!?! Yes, Duke. C'mon Wake won this league 2 years ago, so its not far fetched. At minimum, this squad could become a feel-good bowl story. I like the offense's explosiveness and feel they can hit enough big plays to stay in the game and force Georgia Tech's new offense to work and put points on the board to win, let alone cover. Duke has always been a tough underdog and now they appear to have a decent team. They're still catching a lot of points. Too many, in my opinion, for a team thats 24-10 ATS as a road dog since 2002.
Iowa +7 over MSU. I like Iowa's DL and overall front 7 to whip MSU's front. They will hem Ringer iin, contain him and force Hoyer to try and beat them in the air. He wont do it enough and this one stays close throughout. Iowa's DL will bring it all day and say what you will about their overall team inconsistency, this team's D is statistically top shelf. Maybe Iowa finally has their QB issues ironed, but its worth mentioning that even with D's keying on Ringer, Hoyer has not really done much. Stanzi for Iowa has put up better numbers than him. Iowa has 11 sacks this season, so they will get to Hoyer and his WRs have had drop issues in recent games. A win by Sparty sets up a nice showdown next week in Evanston, but MSU never follows through with hype on the line. The Hawks have covered 5 of 6 in the series.
Ole Miss -2 over South Carolina. I love taking SEC dogs, but I am on the short fave in this one today. Yes, the Rebels have to come down to earth after last week's upset in the Swamp and the Gamecocks have enough ass kickers on D to make life miserable today if the Reb's heads are still in the clouds. But, Ole Miss have looked solid all season long, efficient on offense, able to move the football and all against a pretty tough schedule now in retrospect. The Gamecocks might be or might not be beginning the Stephen Garcia era today. Who knows what the Visor is going to do if Garcia strugggles for a play or two. The hook always looms. I have seen a lot of both of these teams already this season and feel Ole Miss would win SU on a neutral field. Everybody expects a letdown and thats why I am not super gung ho here. But, Ole Miss can dominate this game in the trenches, and I think teams that can do that are not as vulnerable to the emotional letdown as others are. I believe in this Nutt revivial going on in Oxford. It pushes forward today.
Indiana +7.5, -120 over Minnesota. Yikes, trying the alma mater today. IU rolled Minny last year and while the Gophers are better this year than the were last and a good bet to get to a bowl, I dont think the fortunes of these teams have changed so radically that we'll see a 28-point swing in the outcome. Either team can win this sucker today.....and neither team's defense will stop the other offense. This will be a shootout and in the "team with the final possession will win" mold. Indiana's D scares me against hard ass, power run teams, like MSU's last week, or Minnesota in the height of the Mason era. The style the Gohpers play now is a much better matchup for the IU D. Not sure there's such a thing as a good matchup for a Gopher D thats allowed over 32 ppg in their last 25 Big 10 games. The Over looks tempting, but right now I'm a little to wussy about such a high number. But, IU +7.5 is something I'll take.
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......anyway, those southern pups are 4-1 this year and 36-10-1 since the start of 2006. The Tide have looked aweseom this year, but UK can play a little D. Its the 3:30 CBS game....its a rule that its close and dramatic.
