3-2 last week to get into positive units for the year. Took a pass yesterday, didn't like any of the games. 3 games today. Will pass on the Sunday game.
YTD 10-9 +0.1 units
San Jose @ Buffalo
This is SJ's 2nd cross country flight in 3 weeks and that could adversely effect them more on defense rather than offense. This juggernaut led by Mark Grieb has rolled up at least 77 points the last 3 weeks. Buffalo will need to keep pace with fast strikes and Fred McNair is capable of doing that. The total of 109 here is extremely reachable when you consider that the lowest total SJ has combined for is 103 and that was Week 1. All other games have been 112 or higher.
Pick: SJ/Buf Over 109
Toronto @ New York
Phantoms have shot themselves in the foot the past 2 weeks and are now in danger of falling into last place if they lose here. Former NFL QB Danny Kanell will get the start here and he did lead a comeback against Detroit, the worst team in the AFL, last week, but he is not a proven AFL QB. His OL is pourous and that spells trouble against the sackmasters of Toronto. Phantoms focused this week on the little things that cost them games and should be prepared to take out the Dragons.
Pick: Toronto +1.5
Dallas @ Los Angeles
I stayed off Avengers last week because I was unsure about the status of Chris Jackson. Without him, Avengers suffer badly. Now that he is back and healthy, LA can make a move in the division. A blocked PAT attempt won the game for LA against Dallas a few weeks ago, however that was on the road. Avengers had held opponents to 24 and 25 points in 2 home games this year, they rush the QB very well and play ball control offense. Desparadoes still cannot get past their rookie mistakes, making penalties at crucial times and allowing a ton of points, almost 57 ppg on the road. Graziani has fell into a comfort zone at QB for LA, 31 TDs against 2 INTs. Laying less than a TD here is what I'll take.
Pick: Los Angeles -6.5
YTD 10-9 +0.1 units
San Jose @ Buffalo
This is SJ's 2nd cross country flight in 3 weeks and that could adversely effect them more on defense rather than offense. This juggernaut led by Mark Grieb has rolled up at least 77 points the last 3 weeks. Buffalo will need to keep pace with fast strikes and Fred McNair is capable of doing that. The total of 109 here is extremely reachable when you consider that the lowest total SJ has combined for is 103 and that was Week 1. All other games have been 112 or higher.
Pick: SJ/Buf Over 109
Toronto @ New York
Phantoms have shot themselves in the foot the past 2 weeks and are now in danger of falling into last place if they lose here. Former NFL QB Danny Kanell will get the start here and he did lead a comeback against Detroit, the worst team in the AFL, last week, but he is not a proven AFL QB. His OL is pourous and that spells trouble against the sackmasters of Toronto. Phantoms focused this week on the little things that cost them games and should be prepared to take out the Dragons.
Pick: Toronto +1.5
Dallas @ Los Angeles
I stayed off Avengers last week because I was unsure about the status of Chris Jackson. Without him, Avengers suffer badly. Now that he is back and healthy, LA can make a move in the division. A blocked PAT attempt won the game for LA against Dallas a few weeks ago, however that was on the road. Avengers had held opponents to 24 and 25 points in 2 home games this year, they rush the QB very well and play ball control offense. Desparadoes still cannot get past their rookie mistakes, making penalties at crucial times and allowing a ton of points, almost 57 ppg on the road. Graziani has fell into a comfort zone at QB for LA, 31 TDs against 2 INTs. Laying less than a TD here is what I'll take.
Pick: Los Angeles -6.5
