Got a nice win yesterday after Arizona won in OT. Some good looking plays today and Sunday.
Grand Rapids @ New Jersey
After last week's humilating loss to Chicago, the Gladiators schedule doesn't get any easier as they face Grand Rapids. Rampage are really heating up on offense and average nearly 65 ppg on the road and throughly whipped Arizona last week. They also give up 56 ppg on the road. The Glads have followed each of their previous 2 losses with a win and much better offensive production, that shouldn't be hard against this Grand Rapids team. Plenty of touchdowns here to get Over the total.
Pick: GR/NJ Over 92.5
Detroit @ Chicago
AFL's worst offensive team on the road against a team that has dominated at home and needs a win to keep pace with Grand Rapids. The Fury are in a freefall that hasn't stopped yet while the Rush gain more confidence every week. Detroit acquired former QB Scott Semptimphelter this week to start. Semptimphelter threw 21 INTs last year and that was one of the reasons Detroit let him go after the season, he's only played part of 1 game this year and was unimpressive. Fury average just 33 ppg on the road and do not run the ball at all. Should be easy pickings for Billy Dicken and the Rush offense that finally have a healthy Dameon Porter to compliment Antonio Chatman.
Pick: Chicago -11.5
Indiana @ Dallas
This line really baffles me, you have a team that hasn't won a game at home in 2 tries favored against the best defense in the AFL. Then you have a QB that throws a lot of pick in Andy Kelly against one of the most improved secondaries that gets its best defensive player back tonight in Corneilus Coe. Other good news for the Firebirds is that OS Eddie Brown will be back tonight as well, that will open up the offense big time. Desparadoes have played very well for an expansion team, but this is a crucial game for Indiana, at 3-4 they can't afford to lose and fall further back in the Central Division. The talent is there and with 2 big guns back for Indiana tonight, a Firebird victory is in order. The last 2 Indiana losses have been by 4 points combined.
Pick: Indiana +4.5
San Jose @ Los Angeles
Several questionable coaching calls and a dropped pass led to a loss last week for LA and Dallas capitalized on every break to win. Now LA faces a team without a loss and can bury you before you know it. Avengers didn't score until 5 minutes left in the 1st half last week. If it takes that long this week, they will be down 42 points by then. The LA defense has really struggled this year too, 11th overall, 12th against the pass and last in rushing. I don't see a letdown for SJ here because it is a division game and Sabercats have lost the last 2 times they have played at Staples, so I see extra focus from the team this week. To beat San Jose, you will need to match score for score and get to 60 points, I don't see LA doing that against this defense that is #1 in sacks
Pick: San Jose -7
Sunday Game:
Toronto @ Georgia
Force got their 1st win over a month, but it was against Detroit, who was down to their 3rd string QB, so you can't tell too much from that. This is still the worst defense in the AFL, giving up 56 ppg, last in total and pass defense. Contrast that with Toronto, giving up 42 ppg. Phantoms shut down the Dragons offense for 2 full quarters last week and can take control of the East with a win and a NJ loss. Toronto is 3rd in Turnovers at +6, Georgia is 8th at 0 which shows the lack of defensive pressure. Force are also dead last in FGs, hitting just 3 of 17 and have allowed 16 sacks, dead last in the league. The defense gives up too many 1st downs and commits a ton of penalties. Against a team like Toronto, that is playing with fire.
Pick: Toronto +2
